I'm interested in the interactions between ocean physics and biogeochemistry, and how it shapes the marine environment. I'm mainly working with numerical models, and like to combine them with data from the field. My research is currently focusing on near-time (interannual-to-decadal) biogeochemical predictions, including primary production and air-sea CO2 exchange. 

Academic article

• Marcela Conceicao Nascimento; Filippa Fransner; Robinson Hordoir et al. (2025). Future poleward distribution shifts of community and functional groups in the Barents Sea modelled under different climate and fisheries scenarios. (external link)
• David Alberto Rivas Camargo; Filippa Fransner; Shunya Koseki et al. (2025). Physical drivers and reconstruction of the interannual variability of satellite-derived chlorophyll-a in key regions of the tropical and south Atlantic. (external link)
• Yong-Yub Kim; June-Yi Lee; Yoshimitsu Chikamoto et al. (2025). Robust Estimates of Earth System Predictability of the 1st kind using the CESM2 Multiyear Prediction System (CESM2-MP). (external link)
• Filippa Fransner; Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke et al. (2020). Ocean Biogeochemical Predictions—Initialization and Limits of Predictability. (external link)
• Shunya Koseki; Lander Rodriguez Crespo; Jerry Tjiputra et al. (2024). Assessing the tropical Atlantic biogeochemical processes in the Norwegian Earth System Model. (external link)
• Benjamin Planque; Johanna Myrseth Aarflot; Lucie Buttay et al. (2022). A standard protocol for describing the evaluation of ecological models. (external link)
• Joël J.-M. Hirschi; Eleanor Frajka-Williams; Adam T Blaker et al. (2019). Loop current variability as trigger of coherent gulf stream transport anomalies. (external link)
• Shunya Koseki; Jerry Tjiputra; Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner et al. (2023). Disentangling the impact of Atlantic Niño on sea-air CO<inf>2</inf> flux. (external link)
• Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Friederike Fröb; Jerry Tjiputra et al. (2022). Acidification of the Nordic Seas. (external link)
• Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Are Olsen; Marius Årthun et al. (2023). Phytoplankton abundance in the Barents Sea is predictable up to five years in advance. (external link)
• Houda Beghoura; Thomas Gorgues; Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner et al. (2023). Contrasting responses of the ocean’s oxygen minimum zones to artificial re-oxygenation. (external link)
• Itzel Ruvalcaba Baroni; Elin Almroth-Rosell; Lars Axell et al. (2024). Validation of the coupled physical-biogeochemical ocean model NEMO-SCOBI for the North Sea-Baltic Sea system. (external link)
• Ingo Bethke; Yiguo Wang; Francois Stephane Counillon et al. (2021). NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. (external link)
• Robinson Hordoir; Lars Axell; Anders Höglund et al. (2019). Nemo-Nordic 1.0: A NEMO-based ocean model for the Baltic and North seas - Research and operational applications. (external link)
• Robinson Hordoir; Patrick Samuelsson; Semjon Schimanke et al. (2019). Changes of the overturning of a fjord-type estuary in a warmer climate, a test case in the Northern Baltic sea. (external link)
• Tatiana Ilyina; Li Hongmei; Aaron Spring et al. (2021). Predictable variations of the carbon sinks and atmospheric CO2 growth in a multi‐model framework. (external link)
• Aitor Aldama-Campino; Filippa Fransner; Malin Ödalen et al. (2020). Meridional Ocean Carbon Transport. (external link)
• Ina Nilsen; Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Are Olsen et al. (2023). Trivial gain of downscaling in future projections of higher trophic levels in the Nordic and Barents Seas. (external link)
• Filippa Fransner; Agneta Ingrid Fransson; Christoph Humborg et al. (2019). Remineralization rate of terrestrial DOC as inferred from CO2 supersaturated coastal waters. (external link)

Academic literature review

• Belén Rodríguez-Fonseca; Elena Calvo-Miguélez; Lucia Montoya-Carramolino et al. (2025). ENSO impacts on marine ecosystems and fisheries in the tropical and South Atlantic. (external link)
• Marius Årthun; van Khuong Dinh; Jakob Simon Dörr et al. (2025). The future Barents Sea- A synthesis of physical, biogeochemical, and ecological changes toward 2050 and 2100. (external link)

Conference lecture

• Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Marius Årthun; Ingo Bethke et al. (2022). Skillful Prediction of Barents Sea Phytoplankton Concentration. (external link)
• Marcela Conceicao Do Nascimento; Torstein Pedersen; Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner et al. (2023). How can Functional Groups be Affected by Low and High Carbon Emissions Scenarios in the Barents Sea?. (external link)
• Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Are Olsen; Marius Årthun et al. (2023). Multiyear phytoplankton predictability in the Barents Sea. (external link)

Lecture

• Benjamin Planque; Johanna Myrseth Aarflot; Lucie Buttay et al. (2023). A standard protocol for describing the evaluation of ecological models. (external link)
• Filippa Fransner; Noel Keenlyside; Marius Årthun (2020). Forecasting the Ocean - from temperature to fish. (external link)
• Filippa Fransner; Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke et al. (2019). Biogeochemical Predictions - Initialization and Sources of Potential Predictability. (external link)
• Filippa Fransner; Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke et al. (2019). Biogeochemical Predictions - An update from Bergen. (external link)
• Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Are Olsen; Jerry Tjiputra et al. (2019). Biogeochemical Predictions Working Group. (external link)
• Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Francois Stephane Counillon; Ingo Bethke et al. (2019). Biogeochemical Predictions - What happens in Bergen?. (external link)

Conference poster

• Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Ingo Bethke; Francois Stephane Counillon et al. (2021). Predictability of Barents Sea Phytoplankton Concentration. (external link)
• Lilli Weniger; Filippa Fransner; Elin Maria K. Darelius (2025). Seasonal and interannual changes in the biogeochemistry of Masfjorden. (external link)
• Filippa Fransner; Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke et al. (2020). Ocean Biogeochemical Predictions. (external link)

Research report

• Ingunn Skjelvan; Emil Jeansson; Melissa Chierici et al. (2022). Trender i havforsuring og antropogent karbon i de nordiske hav, Nordsjøen og Skagerrak. (external link)
• Benjamin Planque; JoLynn Carroll; Filippa Fransner et al. (2020). Best practices for ecological model evaluation I : Workshop Report. (external link)
• Benjamin Planque; Johanna Myrseth Aarflot; Luice Buttay et al. (2020). Best practices for ecological model evaluation II: Workshop Report. (external link)

See a complete overview of publications in NVA.

Nansen Legacy