Sebastian Noe
Position
Guest Researcher
Affiliation
Publications
Academic article
- Eurico Mesquita Noleto Filho; Friedrich W․ Keppeler; José Amorim Reis-Filho et al. (2026). FoodwebAI: Creating and augmenting food webs with natural language models. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Fumiaki Ogawa; Hisashi Nakamura et al. (2026). Oceanic fronts shape hemispheric contrasts in polar stratospheric extremes. (external link)
- Zichen Tang; Song Yang; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2026). The interdecadal Pacific oscillation drives an extratropical tripole pattern in northern hemisphere summer rainfall anomalies. (external link)
- Fei Li; V. A. Semenov; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2026). Unveiling the Role of Sea-Ice Loss in Early-20th-Century Arctic Warming. (external link)
- Marianne Williams-Kerslake; Helene R. Langehaug; Ragnheid Skogseth et al. (2026). Characterising marine heatwaves in the Svalbard Archipelago and surrounding seas. (external link)
- Wenchao Tang; Bo Sun; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2025). Reversed tropical-Arctic teleconnection under climate change. (external link)
- I. Vilela; P. De Luca; Shunya Koseki et al. (2025). AMOC weakening modulates global warming impacts on precipitation over Brazil. (external link)
- David Alberto Rivas Camargo; Filippa Fransner; Shunya Koseki et al. (2025). Physical drivers and reconstruction of the interannual variability of satellite-derived chlorophyll-a in key regions of the tropical and south Atlantic. (external link)
- Hans Segura; Xabier Pedruzo-Bagazgoitia; Philipp Weiss et al. (2025). nextGEMS: entering the era of kilometer-scale Earth system modeling. (external link)
- Caoyi Dong; Zhongshi Zhang; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2025). Intensification of extreme cold events in East Asia in response to global mean sea-level rise. (external link)
- William E. Chapman; Francine Janneke Schevenhoven; Judith Berner et al. (2025). Implementation and validation of a supermodeling framework into Community Earth System Model version 2.1.5. (external link)
- Wenju Cai; Chris Reason; Elsa Mohino et al. (2025). Climate impacts of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation in Africa. (external link)
- Ying Gao; Xuguang Sun; Xiu-Qun Yang et al. (2025). Dominant modes of interannual winter SAT covariability between the Arctic and the Tibetan Plateau: spatio-temporal structures and dynamical linkages. (external link)
- Ingo Richter; Ping Chang; Ping-Gin Chiu et al. (2025). The Tropical Basin Interaction Model Intercomparison Project (TBIMIP). (external link)
- Marie-Lou Bacherely; Julien Brajard; Massimiliano Patacchiola et al. (2025). Predicting Atlantic and Benguela Niño events with deep learning. (external link)
- Edson Silva; Francois Stephane Counillon; Julien Brajard et al. (2025). Warming and freshening coastal waters impact harmful algal bloom frequency in high latitudes. (external link)
- Manman Yin; Xiu-Qun Yang; Linyuan Sun et al. (2025). Amplified wintertime Arctic warming causes Eurasian cooling via nonlinear feedback of suppressed synoptic eddy activities. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Stephane Counillon; Lea Svendsen et al. (2025). An ensemble-based coupled reanalysis of the climate from 1860 to the present (CoRea1860+). (external link)
- Regina R. Rodrigues; Camila Artana; Afonso Gonçalves Neto et al. (2025). Extreme compound events in the equatorial and South Atlantic. (external link)
- Jeroen Steenbeek; Pablo Ortega; Raffaele Bernardello et al. (2024). Making Ecosystem Modeling Operational–A Novel Distributed Execution Framework to Systematically Explore Ecological Responses to Divergent Climate Trajectories. (external link)
- Vladimir A. Semenov; Tatiana A. Aldonina; Fei Li et al. (2024). Arctic Sea Ice Variations in the First Half of the 20th Century: A New Reconstruction Based on Hydrometeorological Data. (external link)
- Luca Famooss Paolini; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Alessio Bellucci et al. (2024). Nonstationarity in the NAO–Gulf Stream SST Front Interaction. (external link)
- Annika Drews; Torben Schmith; Tian Tian et al. (2024). The Crucial Role of the Subpolar North Atlantic for Skillful Decadal Climate Predictions. (external link)
- Astrid Ogilvie; Lesley A. King; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2024). Recent Ventures in Interdisciplinary Arctic Research: The ARCPATH Project. (external link)
- Shunya Koseki; Lander Rodriguez Crespo; Jerry Tjiputra et al. (2024). Assessing the tropical Atlantic biogeochemical processes in the Norwegian Earth System Model. (external link)
- Folly Serge Tomety; Serena Illig; Marek Ostrowski et al. (2024). Long-term climatological trends driving the recent warming along the Angolan and Namibian coasts. (external link)
- Abdoulaye Sarre; Hervé Demarcq; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2024). Climate change impacts on small pelagic fish distribution in Northwest Africa: trends, shifts, and risk for food security. (external link)
- Ingo Richter; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Tomoki Tozuka et al. (2024). Comment on “Resolving the Tropical Pacific/Atlantic Interaction Conundrum” by Feng Jiang et al. (2023). (external link)
- Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue; Peter Brandt; Arthur Prigent et al. (2024). Drivers and impact of the 2021 extreme warm event in the tropical Angolan upwelling system. (external link)
- Jia Wu; Hanjie Fan; Shuheng Lin et al. (2024). Boosting effect of strong western pole of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the decay of El Niño events. (external link)
- Ashneel Chandra; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Lea Svendsen et al. (2024). Processes Driving Subseasonal Variations of Upper Ocean Heat Content in the Equatorial Indian Ocean. (external link)
- Lilian Carolina Garcia-Oliva; Francois Stephane Counillon; Ingo Bethke et al. (2024). Intercomparison of initialization methods for seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions with the NorCPM. (external link)
- Akhilesh Sivaraman Nair; Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Improving subseasonal forecast skill in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model using soil moisture data assimilation. (external link)
- Ke-Xin Li; Fei Zheng; Jiang Zhu et al. (2024). Advancing annual global mean surface temperature prediction to 2 months lead using physics based strategy. (external link)
- Yanxin Zheng; Shuangling Li; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2024). Projecting Spring Consecutive Rainfall Events in the Three Gorges Reservoir Based on Triple-Nested Dynamical Downscaling. (external link)
- Francine Janneke Schevenhoven; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Francois Stephane Counillon et al. (2023). Supermodeling: Improving Predictions with an Ensemble of Interacting Models. (external link)
- David Alberto Rivas Camargo; Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2023). On dynamical downscaling of ENSO-induced oceanic anomalies off Baja California Peninsula, Mexico: role of the air-sea heat flux. (external link)
- Lina Boljka; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2023). Identifying quasi-periodic variability using multivariate empirical mode decomposition: a case of the tropical Pacific. (external link)
- B.A. Babanov; V.A. Semenov; M.G. Akperov et al. (2023). Occurrence of Winter Atmospheric Circulation Regimes in Euro-Atlantic Region and Associated Extreme Weather Anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere. (external link)
- S.J. Shin; S.W. Yeh; S.I. An et al. (2023). Southern Ocean Control of 2°C Global Warming in Climate Models. (external link)
- Ho Nam Cheung; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Fumiaki Ogawa et al. (2023). Pacific oceanic front amplifies the impact of Atlantic oceanic front on North Atlantic blocking. (external link)
- Shunya Koseki; Jerry Tjiputra; Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner et al. (2023). Disentangling the impact of Atlantic Niño on sea-air CO<inf>2</inf> flux. (external link)
- Wan-Ling Tseng; Yu-Chi Lee; Yi-Chi Wang et al. (2023). Characterizing Atlantic interhemispheric teleconnection established by South American monsoon in austral summer. (external link)
- Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Are Olsen; Marius Årthun et al. (2023). Phytoplankton abundance in the Barents Sea is predictable up to five years in advance. (external link)
- Martin Peter King; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Camille Li (2023). ENSO teleconnections in terms of non-NAO and NAO atmospheric variability. (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Shuo Wang et al. (2023). Framework for an Ocean-Connected Supermodel of the Earth System. (external link)
- Hyacinth C. Nnamchi; Riccardo Farneti; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2023). Pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation linked to ocean circulation. (external link)
- Mark R. Payne; Gokhan Danabasoglu; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2022). Skilful decadal-scale prediction of fish habitat and distribution shifts. (external link)
- Lander Rodriguez Crespo; Arthur Prigent; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2022). Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming. (external link)
- Leon Hermanson; Doug Smith; Melissa Seabrook et al. (2022). WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update A Prediction for 2021-25. (external link)
- Sunil Kumar Pariyar; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Wan-Ling Tseng et al. (2022). The role of air–sea coupling on November–April intraseasonal rainfall variability over the South Pacific. (external link)
- Lander Rodriguez Crespo; María Belén Rodríguez-Fonseca; Irene Polo et al. (2022). Multidecadal variability of ENSO in a recharge oscillator framework. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Katja Matthes et al. (2022). Coupled stratosphere-troposphere-Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection. (external link)
- Panos J. Athanasiadis; Fumiaki Ogawa; Nour-Eddine Omrani et al. (2022). Mitigating climate biases in the midlatitude North Atlantic by increasing model resolution: SST gradients and their relation to blocking and the jet. (external link)
- Ho-Nam Cheung; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Torben Koenigk et al. (2022). Assessing the influence of sea surface temperature and arctic sea ice cover on the uncertainty in the boreal winter future climate projections. (external link)
- Helene R. Langehaug; Pablo Ortega; Francois Stephane Counillon et al. (2021). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and Their Predictive Potential along the Atlantic Water Pathway. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Morven Muilwijk et al. (2021). Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends in the Arctic during the twentieth century. (external link)
- Arielle Stela Imbol Nkwinkwa; Mathieu Rouault; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2021). Impact of the Agulhas Current on Southern Africa Precipitation: A Modeling Study. (external link)
- Edson Silva; François Counillon; Julien Brajard et al. (2021). Twenty-One Years of Phytoplankton Bloom Phenology in the Barents, Norwegian, and North Seas. (external link)
- Ingo Bethke; Yiguo Wang; Francois Stephane Counillon et al. (2021). NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Thomas Toniazzo et al. (2021). Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic. (external link)
- Hyacinth C Nnamchi; Mojib Latif; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2021). Diabatic heating governs the seasonality of the Atlantic Niño. (external link)
- Sunil Kumar Pariyar; Noel Keenlyside; Asgeir Sorteberg et al. (2020). Factors affecting extreme rainfall events in the South Pacific. (external link)
- Jorge López-Parages; Pierre-Amaël Auger; Belén Rodriguez-Fonseca et al. (2020). El Niño as a predictor of round sardinella distribution along the northwest African coast. (external link)
- Hao Luo; Fei Zheng; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2020). Ocean–atmosphere coupled Pacific Decadal variability simulated by a climate model. (external link)
- Hyacinth C Nnamchi; Mojib Latif; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2020). A Satellite Era Warming Hole in the Equatorial Atlantic Ocean. (external link)
- Xiao-Ying Yang; Guihua Wang; Noel Keenlyside (2020). The Arctic sea ice extent change connected to Pacific decadal variability. (external link)
- Akintomide Afolayan Akinsanola; Wen Zhou; Tianjun Zhou et al. (2020). Amplification of synoptic to annual variability of West African summer monsoon rainfall under global warming. (external link)
- Doug M. Smith; Adam A Scaife; Rosie Eade et al. (2020). North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. (external link)
- Wenju Cai; Lixin Wu; Matthieu Lengaigne et al. (2019). Pantropical climate interactions. (external link)
- Fei Li; Yvan Orsolini; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2019). Impact of snow initialization in subseasonal-to-seasonal winter forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Jan Wohland; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Dirk Witthaut et al. (2019). Inconsistent Wind Speed Trends in Current Twentieth Century Reanalyses. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Lars H. Smedsrud et al. (2019). Impact of ocean and sea ice initialisation on seasonal prediction skill in the Arctic. (external link)
- Youfang Yan; Lea Svendsen; Chunzai Wang et al. (2019). A North-South Contrast of Subsurface Salinity Anomalies in the Northwestern Pacific From 2002 to 2013. (external link)
- Fan Jia; Wenju Cai; Lixin Wu et al. (2019). Weakening Atlantic Niño-Pacific connection under greenhouse warming. (external link)
- Jan Wohland; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2019). Significant multidecadal variability in German wind energy generation. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Fumiaki Ogawa; Hisashi Nakamura et al. (2019). Key Role of the Ocean Western Boundary currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2019). Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF. (external link)
- Chau-Ron Wu; Yong-Fu Lin; You-Lin Wang et al. (2019). An Atlantic-driven rapid circulation change in the North Pacific Ocean during the late 1990s. (external link)
- Aurore Voldoire; Eleftheria Exarchou; Emilia Sánchez-Gómez et al. (2019). Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the tropical Atlantic. (external link)
- Francine Janneke Schevenhoven; Frank Selten; Alberto Carrassi et al. (2019). Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels. (external link)
- Pedro C.M. Tchipalanga; Marcus Dengler; Peter Brandt et al. (2018). Eastern boundary circulation and hydrography off Angola building Angolan oceanographic capacities. (external link)
- Ho Nam Cheung; Noel Keenlyside; Nour-Eddine Omrani et al. (2018). Remarkable link between projected uncertainties of Arctic sea-ice decline and winter Eurasian climate. (external link)
- Arielle Stela Nkwinkwa Njouodo; Shunya Koseki; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2018). Atmospheric signature of the Agulhas current. (external link)
- Torben Köenigk; Yongqi Gao; Guillaume Gastineau et al. (2018). Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemispheric land areas. (external link)
- Ralf Hand; Noel Keenlyside; Nour-Eddine Omrani et al. (2018). The role of local sea surface temperature pattern changes in shaping climate change in the North Atlantic sector. (external link)
- Feifei Luo; Shuanglin Li; Yongqi Gao et al. (2018). The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon since the Industrial Revolution is intrinsic to the climate system. (external link)
- Martin Peter King; Ivana Herceg-Bulic; Ileana Blade et al. (2018). Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro-Atlantic sector. (external link)
- Shunya Koseki; Benjamin Pohl; Bhuwan Chandra Bhatt et al. (2018). Insights into the Summer Diurnal Cycle over Eastern South Africa. (external link)
- Matthew Collins; Shoshiro Minobe; Marcelo Barreiro et al. (2018). Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Ingo Bethke et al. (2018). Pacific contribution to the early twentieth-century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Noel Keenlyside; Yongqi Gao et al. (2018). Evaluating Impacts of Recent Arctic Sea Ice Loss on the Northern Hemisphere Winter Climate Change. (external link)
- Marius Årthun; Erik Wilhelm Kolstad; Tor Eldevik et al. (2018). Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability. (external link)
- Lander Rodriguez Crespo; Noel Keenlyside; Shunya Koseki (2018). The role of the sea surface temperature in the atmospheric seasonal cycle of the equatorial Atlantic. (external link)
- Marius Årthun; Bjarte Bogstad; Ute Daewel et al. (2018). Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock.. (external link)
- Feifei Luo; Shuanglin Li; Yongqi Gao et al. (2017). The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon in the CMIP5 models. (external link)
- Stephanie Nikola Gleixner; Noel Keenlyside; Teferi Dejene Demissie et al. (2017). Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models. (external link)
- Ingo Richter; Takeshi Doi; Swadhin K Behera et al. (2017). On the link between mean state biases and prediction skill in the tropics: an atmospheric perspective. (external link)
- Marius Årthun; Tor Eldevik; Ellen Viste et al. (2017). Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean. (external link)
- Wan-Ling Tseng; Huang-Hsiung Hsu; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2017). Effects of surface orography and land-sea contrast on the Madden-Julian oscillation in the maritime continent: A numerical study using ECHAM5-SIT. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke et al. (2017). Optimising assimilation of hydrographic profiles into isopycnal ocean models with ensemble data assimilation. (external link)
- Mao-Lin Shen; Noel Keenlyside; Bhuwan Chandra Bhatt et al. (2017). Role of atmosphere-ocean interactions in supermodeling the tropical Pacific climate. (external link)
- Jana Sillmann; Thordis Linda Thorarinsdottir; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2017). Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities. (external link)
- Shunya Koseki; Noel Keenlyside; Teferi Dejene Demissie et al. (2017). Causes of the large warm bias in the Angola–Benguela Frontal Zone in the Norwegian Earth System Model. (external link)
- Martin Peter King; Ivana Herceg-Bulić; Fred Kucharski et al. (2017). Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Hisashi Nakamura et al. (2017). Impact of Oceanic Front on the Tropospheric Climatic Trend Induced by Ozone Depletion. (external link)
- Hyacinth C Nnamchi; Fred Kucharski; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2017). Analogous seasonal evolution of the South Atlantic SST dipole indices. (external link)
- Davide Zanchettin; Carlo Gaetan; Maeregu Woldeyes Arisido et al. (2017). Structural decomposition of decadal climate prediction errors: A Bayesian approach. (external link)
- William Cabos; Dmitry V. Sein; Joaquim G. Pinto et al. (2016). The South Atlantic Anticyclone as a key player for the representation of the tropical Atlantic climate in coupled climate models. (external link)
- Elsa Mohino; Noel Keenlyside; Holger Pohlmann (2016). Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack thereof) come from?. (external link)
- Bastien Dieppois; Benjamin Pohl; Mathieu Rouault et al. (2016). Interannual to interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections. (external link)
- Annika Reintges; Thomas Martin; Mojib Latif et al. (2016). Uncertainty in twenty-first century projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; Dietmar Dommenget (2016). The fingerprint of global warming in the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Carlos R. Mechoso; Teresa Losada; Shunya Koseki et al. (2016). Can reducing the incoming energy flux over the Southern Ocean in a CGCM improve its simulation of tropical climate?. (external link)
- Mao-Lin Shen; Noel Keenlyside; Frank Selten et al. (2016). Dynamically combining climate models to "supermodel" the tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Jürgen Bader; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2016). Troposphere–stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model. (external link)
- Hyacinth C. Nnamchi; Jianping Li; Fred Kucharski et al. (2016). An equatorial-extratropical dipole structure of the Atlantic Niño. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside; Ingo Bethke et al. (2016). Flow-dependent assimilation of sea surface temperature in isopycnal coordinates with the Norwegian climate prediction model. (external link)
- Stephanie Nikola Gleixner; Noel Keenlyside; Ellen Viste et al. (2016). The El Niño effect on Ethiopian summer rainfall. (external link)
- Martin Peter King; Momme Hell; Noel Keenlyside (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. (external link)
- Hui Ding; Noel Keenlyside; Mojib Latif et al. (2015). The impact of mean state errors on equatorial Atlantic interannual variability in a climate model. (external link)
- Jennifer V. Mecking; Noel Keenlyside; Richard J. Greatbatch (2015). Multiple timescales of stochastically forced North Atlantic Ocean variability: A model study. (external link)
- Chiung-Wen June Chang; Wan-Ling Tseng; Hsu Huang-Hsiung et al. (2015). The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a warmer world. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Kazuaki Nishii et al. (2015). Ozone-induced climate change propped up by the Southern Hemisphere oceanic front. (external link)
- Hyacinth C Nnamchi; Jianping Li; Fred Kucharski et al. (2015). Thermodynamic controls of the Atlantic Niño. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Steffen Hetzinger; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2014). Marine-based multiproxy reconstruction of Atlantic multidecadal variability. (external link)
- Yongqi Gao; Jianqi Sun; Fei Li et al. (2014). Arctic sea ice and Eurasian climate: A review. (external link)
- Jin Ba; Noel Keenlyside; Mojib Latif et al. (2014). A multi-model comparison of Atlantic multidecadal variability. (external link)
- Wan-Ling Tseng; Ben-Jei Tsuang; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2014). Resolving the upper-ocean warm layer improves the simulation of the Madden-Julian oscillation. (external link)
- Ralf Hand; Noel Keenlyside; Nour-Eddine Omrani et al. (2014). Simulated response to inter-annual SST variations in the Gulf Stream region. (external link)
- J. V. Mecking; Noel Keenlyside; R. J. Greatbatch (2014). Stochastically-forced multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a model study. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Noel Keenlyside; Jürgen Bader et al. (2014). Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions. (external link)
- Stephanie Nikola Gleixner; Noel Keenlyside; Kevin I. Hodges et al. (2014). An inter-hemispheric comparison of the tropical storm response to global warming. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2014). Seasonal-to-decadal predictions with the ensemble kalman filter and the Norwegian earth System Model: A twin experiment. (external link)
- Holger Pohlmann; Doug M. Smith; Magdalena A. Balmaseda et al. (2013). Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Nils G Kvamstø; Noel Keenlyside (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Sergey K. Gulev; Mojib Latif; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2013). North Atlantic Ocean control on surface heat flux on multidecadal timescales. (external link)
- Jin Ba; Noel Keenlyside; Wonsun Park et al. (2013). A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; Hui Ding; Mojib Latif (2013). Potential of equatorial Atlantic variability to enhance El Niño prediction. (external link)
- Steffen Hetzinger; Jochen Halfar; Jennifer V. Mecking et al. (2012). Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic climate. (external link)
Academic book chapter
- Noel Keenlyside; Yu Kosaka; Nicholas Vigaud et al. (2020). Basin Interactions and predictability. (external link)
- Astrid Ogilvie; Yongqi Gao; Níels Einarsson et al. (2020). The ARCPATH Project: Assessing Risky Environments and Rapid Change: Research on Climate, Adaptation and Coastal Communities in the North Atlantic Arctic. (external link)
- Shuting Yang; Yongqi Gao; Torben Koenigk et al. (2020). The Climate Model: An ARCPATH Tool to Understand and Predict Climate Change. (external link)
- Francine Janneke Schevenhoven; Frank Selten; Alberto Carrassi et al. (2019). Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels.. (external link)
- Gregory Duane; Wim Wiegerinck; Frank Selten et al. (2018). Supermodeling: Synchronization of Alternative Dynamical Models of a Single Objective Process. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; Jin Ba; Jennifer V. Mecking et al. (2015). North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. (external link)
Academic literature review
- Belén Rodríguez-Fonseca; Elena Calvo-Miguélez; Lucia Montoya-Carramolino et al. (2025). ENSO impacts on marine ecosystems and fisheries in the tropical and South Atlantic. (external link)
- Aixue Hu; Ingo Richter; Yuko Okumura et al. (2025). Unraveling the Complexity of Global Climate Dynamics: Interactions among El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, and Tropical Basins Across Different Timescales. (external link)
- Terence J. O'Kane; Adam A. Scaife; Yochanan Kushnir et al. (2023). Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions. (external link)
- Gregory R. Foltź; Peter Brandt; Ingo Richter et al. (2019). The tropical Atlantic observing system. (external link)
- Sunil Kumar Pariyar; Noel Keenlyside; Bhuwan Chandra Bhatt et al. (2019). The dominant patterns of intraseasonal rainfall variability in May-October and November-April over the tropical western Pacific. (external link)
- Joke F Lubbecke; Belén Rodriguez-Fonseca; Ingo Richter et al. (2018). Equatorial Atlantic variability?Modes, mechanisms, and global teleconnections. (external link)
- Alessio Bellucci; Reindert J. Haarsma; Nicolas Bellouin et al. (2015). Advancements in decadal climate predictability: The role of nonoceanic drivers. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; Nour-Eddine Omrani (2014). Has a warm North Atlantic contributed to recent European cold winters?. (external link)
Conference lecture
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Noel Keenlyside (2026). A hybrid statistical–dynamical framework for a coupled multidecadal NAO–AMV oscillation. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2026). The CLIVAR Research Focus on Tropical Basin Interaction: Achievements and Reflections. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; Tarkeshwar Singh; Francois Counillon et al. (2026). Supermodelling as a high-level AI approach. (external link)
- Ping-Gin Chiu; Noel Keenlyside (2026). Disentangling equatorial Atlantic’s influence on ENSO since 1980. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Ingo Bethke; Francois Stephane Counillon et al. (2026). Development of NorCPM2 for CMIP7 DCPP: Ocean-Sea ice Initialisation Strategy. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2025). Atlantic multi-decadal variability contributing to Arctic warming. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2025). Robust influence of equatorial Atlantic SST on the El Niño Southern Oscillation. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2025). Supermodelling towards improved seasonal prediction. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2025). Atlantic multi-decadal variability driving Arctic warming. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Ingo Bethke; Annika Reintges et al. (2025). Wind stress pacemakers and Atlantic variability. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Ping-Gin Chiu (2025). Robust impact of Atlantic on Pacific, despite weakening of Atlantic Niño variability. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2025). Atlantic and Benguela Niño predictable months in advance, After All!. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2025). Overcoming the spring predictability barrier with a supermodel. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Stephane Counillon; Lea Svendsen et al. (2025). An ensemble-based coupled reanalysis of the climate from 1860 to the present (CoRea1860+). (external link)
- Marianne Williams-Kerslake; Helene Reinertsen Langehaug; Annette Samuelsen et al. (2025). Characterising Marine Heatwaves (MHWs) around the Svalbard Archipelago. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Ping-Gin Chiu (2024). Weakening of tropical Atlantic - Pacific interactions post 2000. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Supermodelling to Improve Climate Prediction. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Isolating Tropical Pacific and Atlantic Interactions on Interannual Timescales. (external link)
- Akhilesh Sivaraman Nair; Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Improving subseasonal forecast skill in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model using soil moisture data assimilation. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Tarkeshwar Singh; Ping-Gin Chiu et al. (2024). Supermodelling Towards Improved Climate Prediction. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Advancing climate/marine-ecosystems predictions in the Tropical/South Atlantic,. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). European Perspective on Climate Prediction and Services. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Multi-annual predictions. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Supermodelling Towards Improved Climate Prediction. (external link)
- Marianne Williams-Kerslake; Helene R. Langehaug; Annette Samuelsen et al. (2024). Characterising Marine Heatwaves (MHWs) in the Arctic Region. (external link)
- Tarkeshwar Singh; Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2024). Supermodelling towards improved climate prediction. (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Yiguo Wang; Ingo Bethke et al. (2023). Climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM). (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Shunya Koseki et al. (2023). Supermodeling for improving the representation of climate variability. (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Francine Janneke Schevenhoven et al. (2023). Supermodeling for improving the representation of climate variability. (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Yiguo Wang; Nicholas Williams et al. (2023). Climate prediction in Norway “Bjerknes Climate Prediction Unit”. (external link)
- Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Are Olsen; Marius Årthun et al. (2023). Multiyear phytoplankton predictability in the Barents Sea. (external link)
- Ingo Bethke; Tarkan Aslan Bilge; Ping-Gin Chiu et al. (2023). Atmospheric circulation key driver of observed regional sea level change. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2023). Tropical Atlantic Forcing of Different ENSO Regimes. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2023). Internal climate dynamics as a key source of recent Atlantic climate decadal variability. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2023). Tropical Indian Ocean and its influences on ENSO and teleconnections to Africa. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Fei Li (2023). Accelerated Arctic and Tibetan Plateau Warming: Opportunities and Challenges. (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Yiguo Wang; Ingo Bethke et al. (2023). Long coupled Earth System reanalysis with a focus on ocean and sea ice . (external link)
- Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Marius Årthun; Ingo Bethke et al. (2022). Skillful Prediction of Barents Sea Phytoplankton Concentration. (external link)
- Ashneel Chandra; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Lea Svendsen et al. (2022). Processes driving changes of heat in the upper equatorial Indian Ocean. (external link)
- Edson Silva; Francois Stephane Counillon; Julien Brajard et al. (2022). Twenty-one years of Phytoplankton bloom phenology in the Barents, Norwegian and North seas. (external link)
- Ingo Bethke; Antonio Bonaduce; Kristin Richter et al. (2022). Sea Level Projection and Reconstruction Unit (SeaPR) highlight talk: Regional sea-level change attribution with NorESM experiments. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2022). Ensemble approaches to enhance climate prediction. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2022). The Super Atlantic Niño of 2021. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2022). Seasonal Prediction of Sea Surface Temperatures in the North Atlantic Ocean and Norwegian Seas. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2022). Supermodelling – an interactive ensemble approach to improve predictions, Intellectual Exchange Talk. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2022). Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2022). Driver of the recent decadal surface warming trend over northeastern Canada and Greenland. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2022). Weakening of the Atlantic Niño under global warming. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2021). Towards providing more reliable regional climate change projections. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2021). Approaches to reduce model errors and enhance climate predictions. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2021). Towards next generation climate prediction. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2021). Next generation ensemble modelling. (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Shuo Wang; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2021). Application of supermodeling to Earth system modelling. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2021). Towards next generation climate prediction. (external link)
- Shuo Wang; Francois Stephane Counillon; Shunya Koseki et al. (2021). Recent development of a supermodel - an interactive multi- model ensemble. (external link)
- Shunya Koseki; Lander Rodriguez Crespo; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2021). An assessment of marine biogeochemical processes in the tropical Atlantic in NorESMs. (external link)
- Helene R. Langehaug; Pablo Ortega; Francois Stephane Counillon et al. (2021). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential in the Northern North Atlantic. (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Thomas Toniazzo et al. (2021). Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic. (external link)
- Helene R. Langehaug; Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2020). Attribution of Predictive Skill Along the Atlantic Water Pathway. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Noel Keenlyside; Katja Matthes et al. (2020). Damped multidecadal stratosphere/troposphere/Ocean-coupled oscillation as framework for northern hemisphere climate variability. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; Fei Li; Sébastien Barthélémy et al. (2020). Approaches to reduce model biases and initialize high-resolution climate models. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2020). Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Yu Kosaka; Bunmei Taguchi; Noel Keenlyside (2020). Pacific versus Atlantic Contributions to Multidecadal Variability in the Arctic: A Multi-Model Intercomparison. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Yiguo Wang et al. (2019). Assessing the contribution of ocean and sea ice initialization for seasonal prediction in the Arctic. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2019). Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating SST data with the EnKF. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Ingo Bethke; Francois Counillon et al. (2019). NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2019). Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM). (external link)
- Marius Årthun; Bjarte Bogstad; Ute Daewel et al. (2019). Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. (external link)
- Fei Li; Yvan Orsolini; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2019). Impact of Snow Initialization in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Winter Forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Yu Kosaka et al. (2019). Pacific contribution to decadal temperature trends in the Arctic during the 20th century. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2018). Seasonal prediction skill in the tropical Atlantic using anomaly coupling. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Cecilia M. Bitz et al. (2018). Optimised assimilation of sea ice concentration and implications for climate prediction. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Noel Keenlyside; Yongqi Gao et al. (2018). Evaluating impacts of recent Arctic sea-ice loss on the northern hemisphere winter climate change. (external link)
- Torben Koenigk; Yongqi Gao; Guillaume Gastineau et al. (2018). Evaluating impacts of the Arctic sea ice loss and variation on the northern hemisphere climate. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; Teferi Dejene Demissie; Shunya Koseki et al. (2018). Tropical Atlantic model error and regional projections of climate change. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Ingo Bethke et al. (2018). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Ingo Bethke; Yiguo Wang; Francois Counillon et al. (2018). Subtropical North Atlantic preconditioning key to skilful subpolar gyre prediction. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside; Helene R. Langehaug et al. (2018). Can we use flow dependent assimilation with a high resolution Earth System Model ?. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Counillon; Madlen Kimmritz et al. (2018). Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Noel Keenlyside (2018). Driver of the recent decadal warming over Greenland and Northern Canada. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Ingo Bethke et al. (2017). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Ingo Bethke; Francois Counillon et al. (2017). Climate prediction with the Norwegian model NorCPM. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Yiguo Wang et al. (2017). Climate prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Ingo Bethke et al. (2017). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Yongqi Gao; Astrid Ogilvie; King Leslie et al. (2017). Arctic Climate Predictions: Pathways to Resilient, Sustainable Societies. (external link)
- Torben Koenigk; Yongqi Gao; Guillaume Gustineau et al. (2017). Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemisphere land areas in multi-model ensemble simulations. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Ho Nam Cheung; Yongqi Gao et al. (2017). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change -GREENICE project. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Ho Nam Cheung; Yongqi Gao et al. (2017). A coordinated multi-model study on the impacts of recent Arctic sea ice loss on northern hemisphere climate changes. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Ho Nam Cheung; Yongqi Gao et al. (2017). Impact of Sea Ice/SST Changes for the Observed Climate Change. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Ho Nam Cheung; Yongqi Gao et al. (2017). A coordinated multi-model study on the impacts of recent Arctic sea ice loss on northern hemisphere climate changes. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke et al. (2016). Assimilating sea ice in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Fei-Fei Luo; Syam Sankar et al. (2016). External forcing as a source for the observed multi-decadal relation between AMV and the Indian summer monsoon. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Fei-Fei Luo; Syam Sankar et al. (2016). The link between Atlantic multi-decadal variability and the Indian summer monsoon. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Yongqi Gao et al. (2016). Data assimilation of sea ice within the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Yongqi Gao; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2016). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Kazuaki Nishii et al. (2016). Importance of mid-latitude oceanic frontal zone and associated baroclinic eddies on the ozone-induced stratosphere/troposphere coupling. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Ingo Bethke et al. (2015). Investigating the role of the Atlantic and Pacific in the early 20th century warming. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Yongqi Gao et al. (2015). The Indian Summer Monsoon and Atlantic Multi-decadal variability. (external link)
- Edvard Hviding; Noel Keenlyside (2015). The Pacific Ocean as a climate change frontline: Anthropology and Meteorology. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Yongqi Gao; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2015). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Kazuaki Nishii et al. (2015). Role of the Midlatitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed by Aqua Planet experiments. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Kazuaki Nishii et al. (2015). Potential Importance of a Midlatitude Oceanic Frontal Zone in the Annular-Mode Variability and Relevant Climate Change as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Yongqi Gao et al. (2014). The influence of Atlantic multi-decadal variability on the Indian summer monsoon. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke; Yiguo Wang et al. (2014). Seasonal-to-decadal prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke; Yiguo Wang et al. (2014). Seasonal to decadal prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2014). Seasonal to decadal prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Nils G Kvamstø; Noel Keenlyside (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Nils Gunnar Kvamstø; Noel Keenlyside (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Steffen Hetzinger et al. (2013). Multi-decadal variability in Atlantic SST and Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall in proxy records. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Nils G Kvamstø; Noel Keenlyside (2013). Weakening AMOC connects equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2013). Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experiment. (external link)
- N. Omrani; Noel Keenlyside; Jürgen Bader et al. (2013). THE IMPORTANCE OF THE STRATOSPHERE FOR WINTERTIME ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO ATLANTIC MULTI-DECADAL VARIABILITY. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2013). Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experiment. (external link)
- N. Omrani; Noel Keenlyside; Jürgen Bader et al. (2013). THE IMPORTANCE OF THE STRATOSPHERE FOR WINTERTIME ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO ATLANTIC MULTI-DECADAL VARIABILITY. (external link)
- H. Ding; Noel Keenlyside; M. Latif et al. (2013). SENSITIVITY OF EQUATORIAL ATLANTIC VARIABILITY TO MEAN STATE BIASES. (external link)
- Nils G Kvamstø; Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside (2012). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; Q. Meng; M. Latif et al. (2012). Twentieth century Walker Circulation change: data analysis and model experiments. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; J. Ba; J. Mecking et al. (2012). North Atlantic Decadal-to-Multidecadal Variability - Mechanism and Predictability. (external link)
- W.L. Tseng; B.J. Tsuang; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2012). The role of the stratosphere in decadal climate variability in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere in winter. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2012). Near-term climate prediction: new opportunities and challenge. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2012). Near-term climate prediction: new opportunities and challenge. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; S.K. Gulev; M. Latif et al. (2012). NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN CONTROL ON SURFACE HEAT FLUX AT MULTIDECADAL TIMESCALES. (external link)
- H. Ding; Noel Keenlyside; M. Latif et al. (2012). SENSITIVITY OF EQUATORIAL ATLANTIC VARIABILITY TO MEAN STATE BIASES. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke; Mats Bentsen et al. (2012). Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM. (external link)
- W.L. Tseng; B.J. Tsuang; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2012). OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTION KEY ASPECT OF THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; S.K. Gulev; M. Latif et al. (2012). ATLANTIC OCEAN CONTROL ON SURFACE HEAT FLUX AT MULTIDECADAL TIMESCALES. (external link)
Conference poster
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2026). Robust influence of equatorial Atlantic SST on the El Niño Southern Oscillation. (external link)
- Mariko Koseki; Ingo Bethke; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2026). Real-time seasonal forecasts with NorCPM1. (external link)
- Mariko Koseki; Ingo Bethke; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2025). Real-time seasonal forecast with NorCPM1. (external link)
- Isabelle Vilela; Doris Veleda; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2024). A dynamical perspective of the extreme rainfall event over eastern Northeast Brazil in May, 2022. (external link)
- Isabelle Vilela; Doris Veleda; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). A dynamical perspective of the extreme rainfall event over eastern Northeast Brazil in May, 2022. (external link)
- Akhilesh Sivaraman Nair; Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2023). Improving subseasonal prediction with land surface initialisation in NorCPM. (external link)
- Akhilesh Sivaraman Nair; Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2023). Improving subseasonal prediction with land data assimilation in NorCPM. (external link)
- Ashneel Chandra; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Lea Svendsen et al. (2022). INTRASEASONAL OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VARIATIONS IN THE TROPICAL INDIAN OCEAN. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Morven Muilwijk et al. (2022). Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends during the 20th century. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Katja Matthes et al. (2022). Coupled stratosphere-troposphere Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Sandro W. Lubis; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside et al. (2022). The key role of ocean-induced non-conservative processes in Northern Hemisphere stratospheric response to climate changes. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Ingo Bethke; Francois Stephane Counillon et al. (2021). Coupled reanalyses of NorCPM1 contributed to CMIP6 DCPP. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2021). Anomaly assimilation of hydrographic profile data with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM). (external link)
- Francine Janneke Schevenhoven; Shuo Wang; Francois Stephane Counillon et al. (2021). Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels. (external link)
- Mao-Lin Shen; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Ping-Gin Chiu (2021). Understanding intrinsic ocean variability by suppressing regional stochastic variability. (external link)
- Sara Filippa Krusmynta Fransner; Ingo Bethke; Francois Stephane Counillon et al. (2021). Predictability of Barents Sea Phytoplankton Concentration. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Sunil Kumar Pariyar; Ingo Bethke et al. (2021). Seasonal prediction in northern Atlantic Ocean and Norwegian Seas. (external link)
- Ashneel Chandra; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Lea Svendsen et al. (2021). Intraseasonal variations of Ocean Heat Content in the tropical Indian and Pacific Ocean. (external link)
- Edson Silva; Francois Stephane Counillon; Julien Brajard et al. (2021). Phytoplankton bloom phenology along the Norwegian continental shelf. (external link)
- Yvan J. Orsolini; Fei Li; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2020). Subseasonal-to-seasonal Winter Forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model: Role of Snow-Atmosphere Coupling at High Latitudes. (external link)
- Ingo Bethke; Francois Counillon; Yiguo Wang et al. (2019). Sensitivity of decadal climate predictions in the North Atlantic to anomaly initialisation choices. (external link)
- Fei Li; Yvan Orsolini; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2019). Impact of snow initialisation in subseasonal-to-seasonal winter forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Marius Årthun; Erik Wilhelm Kolstad; Tor Eldevik et al. (2018). Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Ingo Bethke et al. (2018). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2018). Seasonal-to-decadal prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside; Shunya Koseki et al. (2018). Relating model bias and prediction skill in the tropical Atlantic. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Ingo Bethke et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and its impacts for climate prediction. (external link)
- Torben Koenigk; Yongqi Gao; Guillaume Gastineau et al. (2018). The impact of the Arctic sea ice loss and variation on lower latitudes. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Cecilia m. Bitz et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Yiguo Wang et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and impacts for climate prediction. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Yiguo Wang et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and its impacts for climate prediction. (external link)
- Ingo Bethke; Francois Counillon; Yiguo Wang et al. (2018). A minimalistic damped harmonic oscillator framework for assessing decadal climate predictability in the Subpolar North Atlantic. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Ingo Bethke et al. (2016). Investigating the Role of the Atlantic and Pacific in the Early 20th Century Warming. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Belén Rodriguez-Fonseca; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2016). Does the impact of Atlantic Niños on the Indian summer monsoon depend on the background state?. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Kazuaki Nishii et al. (2016). Extratropical frontal- and meso- scale air-sea interaction: Impact of oceanic front on the ozone-induced stratosphere/troposphere coupling of the Southern Annular Mode. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Yongqi Gao; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2016). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Fumiaki Ogawa; Kazuaki Nishii et al. (2016). Extratropical frontal- and meso-scale air-sea interaction: Impact of oceanic front on the northern hemispheric coupled stratosphere/troposphere-system. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Yongqi Gao; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2016). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Yongqi Gao; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2015). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Martin Peter King; Ivana Herceg-Bulic; Fred Kucharski et al. (2015). Northern Hemisphere atmospheric response to tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly in late autumn. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; Mao-Lin Shen; Frank Selten et al. (2015). Climate change projection with reduced model systematic error over tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Yongqi Gao; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2015). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Yongqi Gao; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2015). Role of the Midlatitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Steffen Hetzinger; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2014). Marine-based multiproxy reconstruction of Atlantic multidecadal variability. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Kazuaki Nishii et al. (2014). The role of the mid-latitude oceanic front in the ozone-induced climate change in the Southern Hemisphere as revealed in aqua planet experiments. (external link)
- Fumiaki Ogawa; Nour-Eddine Omrani; Kazuaki Nishii et al. (2014). Role of the Mid-latitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Steffen Hetzinger; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2013). Marine-based multi-proxy reconstruction of Atlantic multi-decadal variability. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Nils G Kvamstø; Noel Keenlyside (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Martin Peter King; Lars Henrik Smedsrud; Noel Keenlyside (2012). Seasonal changes in Arctic sea ice – atmosphere interaction. (external link)
- Jennifer Mecking; Steffen Hetzinger; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2012). Marine proxy and model links between the extra-tropical North Pacific and North Atlantic on decadal timescales. (external link)
- Mao-Lin Shen; Noel Keenlyside; Frank Selten et al. (2012). Wim Wiegerinck, Reducing Model Systematic Error through Super Modellin. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Nils G Kvamstø; Noel Keenlyside (2012). Simulated response of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation to a weakening Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in the Bergen Climate Model. (external link)
Doctoral thesis (PhD)
- Edson Silva; Francois Stephane Counillon; Julien Brajard et al. (2023). Prediction of Harmful Algae Blooms Impacting Shellfish Farms in Norway. (external link)
- Lander Rodriguez Crespo; Noel Keenlyside; Shunya Koseki et al. (2019). Ocean-atmosphere interactions in the tropical Atlantic seasonal cycle and multidecadal variability of ENSO. (external link)
- Stephanie Nikola Gleixner; Noel Keenlyside (2017). Impacts of the Walker-Circulation on inter-annual Ethiopian rainfall variability and future changes in tropical cyclones. (external link)
- Lea Svendsen; Noel Keenlyside; Yongqi Gao (2016). Impacts of Atlantic multi-decadal variability on the Indo-Pacific and Northern Hemisphere climate. (external link)
Editorial/Leader article
Journal corrigendum
- Ho-Nam Cheung; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Torben Koenigk et al. (2022). Correction to: Assessing the influence of sea surface temperature and arctic sea ice cover on the uncertainty in the boreal winter future climate projections (Climate Dynamics, (2022), 59, 1-2, (433-454), 10.1007/s00382-022-06136-0). (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Fumiaki Ogawa; Hisashi Nakamura et al. (2020). Author Correction: Key Role of the Ocean Western Boundary currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate (Scientific Reports, (2019), 9, 1, (3014), 10.1038/s41598-019-39392-y). (external link)
Lecture
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2026). Atlantic multi-decadal variability driving Arctic warming. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2026). The Atlantic multi-decadal variability will shape climate change over the coming decades. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Fei Li; Nour-Eddine Omrani (2025). Internal climate variability driving Arctic sea and Eurasian Climate on decadal timescales. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Tropical Basin Interactions on seasonal to decadal timescale. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Supermodelling – a new approach to reduce model biases and improve prediction. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Updates from the CLIVAR Tropical Basin Interaction Focus. (external link)
- Esperanza Diaz; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2024). Could the sea be the key to pandemic preparedness. (external link)
- Ingo Bethke; Francois Stephane Counillon; Yiguo Wang et al. (2023). NorCPM – status and plans for CMIP7. (external link)
- Akhilesh Sivaraman Nair; Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2022). Improving sub-seasonal prediction skill of NorCPM using soil moisture assimilation. (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2022). Process level characterization of Earth System Model diversity using observations and AIML based emulators: A case study using E3SM and NorESM.. (external link)
- Francois Stephane Counillon; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Shuo Wang et al. (2022). Supermodeling for improving the representation of climate variability. (external link)
- Noel Sebastian Keenlyside (2021). Climate predictions: Pathways to resilient, sustainable societies. (external link)
- Nour-Eddine Omrani; Noel Sebastian Keenlyside; Katja Matthes et al. (2021). Understanding the multidecadal Northern Hemisphere climate variability from the perspective of stratosphere/troposphere/Atlantic coupled oscillation. (external link)
- Barbara Berx; Sean Henley; Jacob Høyer et al. (2021). Debate on Ocean Connections from the Arctic across the globe. (external link)
- Filippa Fransner; Noel Keenlyside; Marius Årthun (2020). Forecasting the Ocean - from temperature to fish. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Yiguo Wang et al. (2019). Recent developments of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model for seasonal to decadal predictions. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside; Shunya Koseki et al. (2019). The role of model bias for prediction skill and methods to constrain it. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside; Yiguo Wang et al. (2019). Status of climate prediction and future challenges: a perspective from Norway. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside; Sébastien Barthélémy et al. (2019). Enhancing the skill of dynamical climate prediction: Avenue explored with the NorCPM. (external link)
- Madlen Kimmritz; Francois Counillon; Yiguo Wang et al. (2018). Enhanced skill of dynamical prediction in the Arctic. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2018). Development and current S2D prediction skill of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Yiguo Wang; Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2018). Dynamical climate predictions at the Bjerknes Center. (external link)
- Martin Peter King; Ivana Herceg-Bulic; Fred Kucharski et al. (2017). Interannual tropical Pacific SST anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere in November. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside; Ingo Bethke et al. (2016). Reanalysis and climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside; Madlen Kimmritz et al. (2016). Reanalysis and climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside; Ingo Bethke et al. (2016). Flow dependent assimilation of SST in isopycnal coordinate with the NorCPM. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2015). Mid-Latitude Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside; Chuing-Wen June Chang; Wan-Ling Tseng et al. (2015). The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a Warming World. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2015). The North Atlantic Ocean role in shaping regional climate change. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2015). Linking Barents Kara sea ice in autumn to the winter atmospheric circulation. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2015). The Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM) and Pacemaker experiments. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2015). The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2015). Impact of global warming on tropical cyclones, The Rising Ocean: The Pacific Islands and Global Climate Change. (external link)
- Martin Peter King; Momme Hell; Noel Keenlyside (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere.. (external link)
- Martin Peter King; Momme Hell; Noel Keenlyside (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere.. (external link)
- Martin Peter King; Momme Hell; Noel Keenlyside (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2015). The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Noel Keenlyside (2015). The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
Media interview
Non-fiction book chapter
Popular science article
Research report
- Benjamin Planque; JoLynn Carroll; Filippa Fransner et al. (2020). Best practices for ecological model evaluation I : Workshop Report. (external link)
- Sebastien Billeau; Francois Counillon; Noel Keenlyside et al. (2016). IMPACT OF CHANGING THE ASSIMILATION CYCLE: CENTERED VS STAGGERED, SNAPSHOT VS MONTHLY AVERAGED. (external link)