Andrea Saltelli er en italiensk forsker som har arbeidet innen fagområder som fysisk kjemi, miljøvitenskap, anvendt statistikk, konsekvensutredning og vitenskap for politikkutvikling.

Hans hovedfokus ligger på sensitivitetsanalyse av modellutdata; et fagfelt der statistiske verktøy brukes til å tolke resultatene fra matematiske eller datagenererte modeller, og såkalt "sensitivity auditing", en utvidelse av sensitivitetsanalyse som omfatter hele prosessen med å samle inn dokumentasjon til bruk i politikkutvikling.

Andrea har tidligere arbeidet ved Europakommisjonen der han ledet en enhet for økonometri og anvendt statistikk fra 2005 til 2015. Fra november 2016 til juni 2020 var han forsker ved Senter for vitenskapsteori (SVT) ved Universitetet i Bergen (UIB). Han er for tiden gjesteforsker ved SVT og Institutt for kognitiv vitenskap og teknologi ved Det italienske forskningsrådet (CNR), og akademisk veileder ved UPF Barcelona School of Management.

Hans mest nylige forskningsarbeider har tatt for seg sensitivitetsanalyse og "sensitivity auditing", vitenskapens reproduksjonskrise, konsekvensutredning, kvantifiseringsetikk, regulatorisk fangst (regulatory capture), rangeringer i høyere utdanning, vitenskapens integritet og post-sannhetsdiskusjonen. Sommeren 2023 ble boken "The Politics of Modelling, Numbers Between Science and Policy” publisert av Oxford University Press, der han bidro som redaktør og forfatter.

Andrea underviser i sensitivitetsanalyse, "sensitivity auditing", vitenskapens integritet og kvantifiseringsetikk.

Vitenskapelig artikkel

• Saltelli, Andrea; Melsen, Lieke A.; Puy, Arnald (2025). Digital Twins of the Earth Between Vision and Fiction. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea (2025). Models and the common good. (ekstern lenke)
• Melsen, Lieke A.; Puy, Arnald; Torfs, Paul J. J. F. et al. (2025). The rise of the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency in hydrology. (ekstern lenke)
• Piano, Samuele Lo; Saltelli, Andrea (2025). Energy policy-making in the European Union between past and present. (ekstern lenke)
• Kuc-Czarnecka, Marta; Saltelli, Andrea (2025). Ranking the rankers. An analysis of science-wide author databases of standardised citation indicators. (ekstern lenke)
• Puy, Arnald; Bacon, Ethan; Carmona, Alba et al. (2025). Socio-environmental modeling shows physics-like confidence with water modeling surpassing it in numerical claims. (ekstern lenke)
• Puy, Arnald; Roy, Pamphile; Saltelli, Andrea (2024). Discrepancy Measures for Global Sensitivity Analysis. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Gigerenzer, Gerd; Hulme, Mike et al. (2024). Bring digital twins back to Earth. (ekstern lenke)
• Tarantola, Stefano; Ferretti, Federico; Piano, Samuele Lo et al. (2024). An annotated timeline of sensitivity analysis. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Puy, Arnald; Fiore, Monica Di (2024). Mathematical models: a state of exception. (ekstern lenke)
• Kepp, Kasper P.; Aavitsland, Preben; Ballin, Marcel et al. (2024). Panel stacking is a threat to consensus statement validity. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Sturmberg, Joachim P.; Sarewitz, Daniel et al. (2023). What did COVID-19 really teach us about science, evidence and society?. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Kuc-Czarnecka, Marta; Piano, Samuele Lo et al. (2023). Impact assessment culture in the European Union. Time for something new?. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Puy, Arnald (2023). What can mathematical modelling contribute to a sociology of quantification?. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea (2023). What is Post-normal Science? A Personal Encounter. (ekstern lenke)
• Piano, Samuele Lo; Lőrincz, Máté János; Puy, Arnald et al. (2023). Unpacking the modeling process for energy policy making. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea (2023). Teaching scientific research integrity: A case study. (ekstern lenke)
• Piano, Samuele Lo; Borgonovo, Emanuele; Maeso, Arnald Puy et al. (2022). Improving the reliability of cohesion policy databases. (ekstern lenke)
• Maeso, Arnald Puy; Lankford, Bruce; Meier, Jonas et al. (2022). Large variations in global irrigation withdrawals caused by uncertain irrigation efficiencies. (ekstern lenke)
• Maeso, Arnald Puy; Becker, William; Piano, Samuele Lo et al. (2022). A COMPREHENSIVE COMPARISON OF TOTAL-ORDER ESTIMATORS FOR GLOBAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS. (ekstern lenke)
• Maeso, Arnald Puy; Beneventano, Pierfrancesco; Levin, Simon A. et al. (2022). Models with higher effective dimensions tend to produce more uncertain estimates. (ekstern lenke)
• Piano, Samuele Lo; Sheikholeslami, Razi; Maeso, Arnald Puy et al. (2022). Unpacking the modelling process via sensitivity auditing. (ekstern lenke)
• Fiore, Monica Di; Kuc-Czarnecka, Marta; Piano, Samuele Lo et al. (2022). The Challenge of Quantification: An Interdisciplinary Reading. (ekstern lenke)
• Biggeri, Annibale; Saltelli, Andrea (2021). The Strange Numbers of Covid-19. (ekstern lenke)
• Vineis, Paolo; Fiore, Monica Di; Portaluri, Tommaso et al. (2021). The Immunity Capital. (ekstern lenke)
• Razavi, Saman; Jakeman, Anthony; Saltelli, Andrea et al. (2021). The Future of Sensitivity Analysis: An essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support. (ekstern lenke)
• Becker, William; Paruolo, Paolo; Saltelli, Andrea (2021). Variable Selection in Regression Models Using Global Sensitivity Analysis. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Jakeman, Anthony; Razavi, Saman et al. (2021). Sensitivity analysis: A discipline coming of age. (ekstern lenke)
• Piano, Samuele Lo; Ferretti, Federico; Maeso, Arnald Puy et al. (2021). Variance-based sensitivity analysis: The quest for better estimators and designs between explorativity and economy. (ekstern lenke)
• Maeso, Arnald Puy; Piano, Samuele Lo; Saltelli, Andrea (2021). Is VARS more intuitive and efficient than Sobol’ indices?. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Dankel, Dorothy Jane; Fiore, Monica Di et al. (2021). Science, the endless frontier of regulatory capture. (ekstern lenke)
• Kuc‑Czarnecka, Marta; Piano, Samuele Lo; Saltelli, Andrea (2020). Quantitative Storytelling in the Making of a Composite Indicator. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Piano, Samuele Lo; Maeso, Arnald Puy (2020). Current models underestimate future irrigated areas. (ekstern lenke)
• Sareen, Siddharth; Saltelli, Andrea; Rommetveit, Kjetil (2020). Ethics of quantification: illumination, obfuscation and performative legitimation. (ekstern lenke)
• Maeso, Arnald Puy; Piano, Samuele Lo; Saltelli, Andrea (2020). A sensitivity analysis of the PAWN sensitivity index. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Benini, Lorenzo; Funtowicz, Silvio Oscar et al. (2020). The technique is never neutral. How methodological choices condition the generation of narratives for sustainability. (ekstern lenke)
• Waltner-Toews, David; Biggeri, Annibale; Marchi, Bruna De et al. (2020). Pandemie post-normali. Perché CoViD-19 richiede un nuovo approccio alla scienza. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea (2020). Ethics of quantification or quantification of ethics?. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Boulanger, Paul-Marie (2020). Technoscience, policy and the new media. Nexus or vortex?. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Aleksankina, Ksenia; Becker, William et al. (2019). Why so many published sensitivity analyses are false: A systematic review of sensitivity analysis practices. (ekstern lenke)
• Piano, Samuele Lo; Saltelli, Andrea; Sluijs, Jeroen P van der (2019). Silver as a Constraint for a Large-Scale Development of Solar Photovoltaics? Scenario-Making to the Year 2050 Supported by Expert Engagement and Global Sensitivity Analysis. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea (2019). A short comment on statistical versus mathematical modelling. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Piano, Samuele Lo (2018). Doing the Sum Right or the Right Sums? Techno-Optimist Numbers in Food Security Scenarios. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea (2018). Why science’s crisis should not become a political battling ground. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Giampietro, Mario (2017). What is wrong with evidence based policy, and how can it be improved?. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Stark, Philip B. (2017). Statistics at the time of the crisis [Statistiche al tempo della crisi]. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Funtowicz, Silvio Oscar (2017). What is science’s crisis really about?. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Piano, Samuele Lo (2017). Problematic Quantifications: a Critical Appraisal of Scenario Making for a Global ‘Sustainable’ Food Production. (ekstern lenke)
• Pereira, Angela Guimaraes; Saltelli, Andrea (2017). Post-normal institutional identities: Quality assurance, reflexivity and ethos of care. (ekstern lenke)
• Araujo, Luisa; Saltelli, Andrea; Schnepf, Sylke V. (2017). Do PISA data justify PISA-based education policy?. (ekstern lenke)
• Saltelli, Andrea; Pereira, Ângela Guimarães; Sluijs, Jeroen P van der et al. (2013). What do i make of your latinorum? Sensitivity auditing of mathematical modelling. (ekstern lenke)

Se en full oversikt over publikasjoner i Cristin