Noel Sebastian Keenlyside
Position
Professor
Affiliation
Research groups
Research
New CLIVAR Exchanges Special Issue on Tropical Atlantic Ocean Observing System (TAOS)
Current research interest
- Decadal variability and predictability of climate
- Tropical interannual climate variability and predictability
- Extra-tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction
- Super climate modelling
- Climate-based predictions of marine ecosystems
Master projects
I can offer the following potential master thesis topics:
- Why is the ITCZ North of the Equator? (Noel Keenlyside, Nils Gunnar Kvamstø)
- Variability and predictability of the Atlantic Niño (Noel Keenlyside, Shunya Koseki)
- Atlantic decadal variability and prediction (Noel Keenlyside, Francois Counillon)
- Climate Services (Noel Keenlyside)
You can read more information here, or please contact me by email.
Five recent publications
- Schevenhoven, F., N. Keenlyside, .... (2023), Supermodeling: improving predictions with an ensemble of interacting models, BAMS, E1670–E1686
- Koseki, S., J. Tjiputra, F. Fransner, L. R. Crespo, and N. S. Keenlyside (2023), Disentangling the impact of Atlantic Niño on sea-air CO2 flux, Nature Communications, 14(1), 3649, 10.1038/s41467-023-38718-9.
- Fransner, F., A. Olsen, M. Årthun, F. Counillon, J. Tjiputra, A. Samuelsen, and N. Keenlyside, 2023: Phytoplankton abundance in the Barents Sea is predictable up to five years in advance. Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 141.
- Nnamchi, H. C., R. Farneti, N. S. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, M. Latif, A. Reintges, and T. Martin, 2023: Pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation linked to ocean circulation. Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 121
- Crespo, L. R., A. Prigent, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki, L. Svendsen, I. Richter, and E. Sánchez-Gómez (2022), Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming, Nat. Clim. Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01453-y
Book chapters
- Keenlyside, N., Y. Kosaka, N. Vigaud, A. Robertson, Y. Wang, D. Dommenget, J.-J. Luo, and D. Matei (2019), Basin Interactions and Predictability, in Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins: Observations, Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts, edited by C. R. Mechoso, Cambridge University Press.
- Keenlyside, N. S., J. Ba, J. Mecking, N.-O. Omrani, M. Latif, R. Zhang, and R. Msadek, 2015: North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond, C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif, and M. Wallace, Eds., World Scientific Publishing.
Teaching
Master projects
I can offer the following potential master thesis topics:
- The Indian summer monsoon in the Norwegian earth system model (Lea Svendsen, Noel Keenlyside)
- Why is the ITCZ North of the Equator? (Noel Keenlyside, Nils Gunnar Kvamstø)
- Variability and predictability of the Atlantic Niño (Noel Keenlyside, Shunya Koseki)
- Atlantic decadal variability and prediction (Noel Keenlyside, Francois Counillon)
- Marine heatwaves, their predictability and implications to Norwegian fishery (Jana Sillman (CICERO), Noel Keenlyside)
- Hemispheric atmospheric wave resonance and the effect on Nordic energy production (Noel Keenlyside, Tarjei Breiteig (Agder Energi))
You can read more information here, or please contact me by email.
Courses
GEOF348: Advanced Climate Dynamics
Previous
GEOF327: The General Circulation of the Atmosphere
GEOF212: Physical Climatology
Publications
Academic lecture
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Isolating Tropical Pacific and Atlantic Interactions on Interannual Timescales. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Supermodelling to Improve Climate Prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Chiu, Ping-Gin (2024). Weakening of tropical Atlantic - Pacific interactions post 2000. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Multi-annual predictions. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Supermodelling Towards Improved Climate Prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Advancing climate/marine-ecosystems predictions in the Tropical/South Atlantic,. (external link)
- Nair, Akhilesh Sivaraman; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Improving subseasonal forecast skill in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model using soil moisture data assimilation. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Singh, Tarkeshwar; Chiu, Ping-Gin et al. (2024). Supermodelling Towards Improved Climate Prediction. (external link)
- Williams-Kerslake, Marianne; Langehaug, Helene R.; Samuelsen, Annette et al. (2024). Characterising Marine Heatwaves (MHWs) in the Arctic Region. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Internal climate dynamics as a key source of recent Atlantic climate decadal variability. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Bilge, Tarkan Aslan; Chiu, Ping-Gin et al. (2023). Atmospheric circulation key driver of observed regional sea level change. (external link)
- Fransner, Sara Filippa Krusmynta; Olsen, Are; Årthun, Marius et al. (2023). Multiyear phytoplankton predictability in the Barents Sea. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Schevenhoven, Francine Janneke et al. (2023). Supermodeling for improving the representation of climate variability. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Wang, Yiguo; Williams, Nicholas et al. (2023). Climate prediction in Norway “Bjerknes Climate Prediction Unit”. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2023). Supermodeling for improving the representation of climate variability. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Tropical Indian Ocean and its influences on ENSO and teleconnections to Africa. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Tropical Atlantic Forcing of Different ENSO Regimes. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Li, Fei (2023). Accelerated Arctic and Tibetan Plateau Warming: Opportunities and Challenges. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2023). Climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM). (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2023). Long coupled Earth System reanalysis with a focus on ocean and sea ice . (external link)
- Fransner, Sara Filippa Krusmynta; Årthun, Marius; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2022). Skillful Prediction of Barents Sea Phytoplankton Concentration. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Bonaduce, Antonio; Richter, Kristin et al. (2022). Sea Level Projection and Reconstruction Unit (SeaPR) highlight talk: Regional sea-level change attribution with NorESM experiments. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Seasonal Prediction of Sea Surface Temperatures in the North Atlantic Ocean and Norwegian Seas. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Driver of the recent decadal surface warming trend over northeastern Canada and Greenland. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Weakening of the Atlantic Niño under global warming. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Ensemble approaches to enhance climate prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). The Super Atlantic Niño of 2021. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Supermodelling – an interactive ensemble approach to improve predictions, Intellectual Exchange Talk. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming. (external link)
- Chandra, Ashneel; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Svendsen, Lea et al. (2022). Processes driving changes of heat in the upper equatorial Indian Ocean. (external link)
- Silva, Edson; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Brajard, Julien et al. (2022). Twenty-one years of Phytoplankton bloom phenology in the Barents, Norwegian and North seas. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Towards providing more reliable regional climate change projections. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Approaches to reduce model errors and enhance climate predictions. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Wang, Shuo; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2021). Application of supermodeling to Earth system modelling. (external link)
- Wang, Shuo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2021). Recent development of a supermodel - an interactive multi- model ensemble. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Towards next generation climate prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Towards next generation climate prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Next generation ensemble modelling. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Toniazzo, Thomas et al. (2021). Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic. (external link)
- Koseki, Shunya; Crespo, Lander Rodriguez; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). An assessment of marine biogeochemical processes in the tropical Atlantic in NorESMs. (external link)
- Langehaug, Helene R.; Ortega, Pablo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential in the Northern North Atlantic. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel; Matthes, Katja et al. (2020). Damped multidecadal stratosphere/troposphere/Ocean-coupled oscillation as framework for northern hemisphere climate variability. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2020). Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Li, Fei; Barthélémy, Sébastien et al. (2020). Approaches to reduce model biases and initialize high-resolution climate models. (external link)
- Langehaug, Helene R.; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2020). Attribution of Predictive Skill Along the Atlantic Water Pathway. (external link)
- Kosaka, Yu; Taguchi, Bunmei; Keenlyside, Noel (2020). Pacific versus Atlantic Contributions to Multidecadal Variability in the Arctic: A Multi-Model Intercomparison. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2019). Assessing the contribution of ocean and sea ice initialization for seasonal prediction in the Arctic. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Kosaka, Yu et al. (2019). Pacific contribution to decadal temperature trends in the Arctic during the 20th century. (external link)
- Årthun, Marius; Bogstad, Bjarte; Daewel, Ute et al. (2019). Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. (external link)
- Li, Fei; Orsolini, Yvan; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Impact of Snow Initialization in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Winter Forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois et al. (2019). NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating SST data with the EnKF. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM). (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2018). Evaluating impacts of recent Arctic sea-ice loss on the northern hemisphere winter climate change. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2018). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bitz, Cecilia M. et al. (2018). Optimised assimilation of sea ice concentration and implications for climate prediction. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Kimmritz, Madlen et al. (2018). Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2018). Tropical Atlantic model error and regional projections of climate change. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Langehaug, Helene R. et al. (2018). Can we use flow dependent assimilation with a high resolution Earth System Model ?. (external link)
- Koenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gastineau, Guillaume et al. (2018). Evaluating impacts of the Arctic sea ice loss and variation on the northern hemisphere climate. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Keenlyside, Noel (2018). Driver of the recent decadal warming over Greenland and Northern Canada. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois et al. (2018). Subtropical North Atlantic preconditioning key to skilful subpolar gyre prediction. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2018). Seasonal prediction skill in the tropical Atlantic using anomaly coupling. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2017). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change -GREENICE project. (external link)
- Koenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gustineau, Guillaume et al. (2017). Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemisphere land areas in multi-model ensemble simulations. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2017). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Gao, Yongqi; Ogilvie, Astrid; Leslie, King et al. (2017). Arctic Climate Predictions: Pathways to Resilient, Sustainable Societies . (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2017). Climate prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois et al. (2017). Climate prediction with the Norwegian model NorCPM. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2017). A coordinated multi-model study on the impacts of recent Arctic sea ice loss on northern hemisphere climate changes. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2017). Impact of Sea Ice/SST Changes for the Observed Climate Change. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2017). A coordinated multi-model study on the impacts of recent Arctic sea ice loss on northern hemisphere climate changes. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2017). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2016). Importance of mid-latitude oceanic frontal zone and associated baroclinic eddies on the ozone-induced stratosphere/troposphere coupling. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2016). Assimilating sea ice in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2016). Data assimilation of sea ice within the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Luo, Fei-Fei; Sankar, Syam et al. (2016). External forcing as a source for the observed multi-decadal relation between AMV and the Indian summer monsoon. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Luo, Fei-Fei; Sankar, Syam et al. (2016). The link between Atlantic multi-decadal variability and the Indian summer monsoon. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Hviding, Edvard; Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The Pacific Ocean as a climate change frontline: Anthropology and Meteorology. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2015). Role of the Midlatitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed by Aqua Planet experiments. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2015). Potential Importance of a Midlatitude Oceanic Frontal Zone in the Annular-Mode Variability and Relevant Climate Change as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2015). The Indian Summer Monsoon and Atlantic Multi-decadal variability. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2015). Investigating the role of the Atlantic and Pacific in the early 20th century warming. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2015). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2014). Seasonal to decadal prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2014). Seasonal to decadal prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2014). Seasonal-to-decadal prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2014). The influence of Atlantic multi-decadal variability on the Indian summer monsoon. (external link)
- Omrani, N.; Keenlyside, Noel; Bader, Jürgen et al. (2013). THE IMPORTANCE OF THE STRATOSPHERE FOR WINTERTIME ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO ATLANTIC MULTI-DECADAL VARIABILITY. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel (2013). Weakening AMOC connects equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2013). Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experiment. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2013). Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experiment. (external link)
- Omrani, N.; Keenlyside, Noel; Bader, Jürgen et al. (2013). THE IMPORTANCE OF THE STRATOSPHERE FOR WINTERTIME ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO ATLANTIC MULTI-DECADAL VARIABILITY. (external link)
- Ding, H.; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, M. et al. (2013). SENSITIVITY OF EQUATORIAL ATLANTIC VARIABILITY TO MEAN STATE BIASES. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils Gunnar; Keenlyside, Noel (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Hetzinger, Steffen et al. (2013). Multi-decadal variability in Atlantic SST and Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall in proxy records. (external link)
- Kvamstø, Nils G; Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel (2012). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Gulev, S.K.; Latif, M. et al. (2012). NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN CONTROL ON SURFACE HEAT FLUX AT MULTIDECADAL TIMESCALES. (external link)
- Ding, H.; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, M. et al. (2012). SENSITIVITY OF EQUATORIAL ATLANTIC VARIABILITY TO MEAN STATE BIASES. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Gulev, S.K.; Latif, M. et al. (2012). ATLANTIC OCEAN CONTROL ON SURFACE HEAT FLUX AT MULTIDECADAL TIMESCALES. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2012). Near-term climate prediction: new opportunities and challenge. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2012). Near-term climate prediction: new opportunities and challenge. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Bentsen, Mats et al. (2012). Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM. (external link)
- Tseng, W.L.; Tsuang, B.J.; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2012). OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTION KEY ASPECT OF THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Ba, J.; Mecking, J. et al. (2012). North Atlantic Decadal-to-Multidecadal Variability - Mechanism and Predictability. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Meng, Q.; Latif, M. et al. (2012). Twentieth century Walker Circulation change: data analysis and model experiments. (external link)
- Tseng, W.L.; Tsuang, B.J.; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2012). The role of the stratosphere in decadal climate variability in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere in winter. (external link)
Popular scientific lecture
- Diaz, Esperanza; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Could the sea be the key to pandemic preparedness. (external link)
- Nair, Akhilesh Sivaraman; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Improving sub-seasonal prediction skill of NorCPM using soil moisture assimilation. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Climate predictions: Pathways to resilient, sustainable societies. (external link)
- Fransner, Filippa; Keenlyside, Noel; Årthun, Marius (2020). Forecasting the Ocean - from temperature to fish. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Impact of global warming on tropical cyclones, The Rising Ocean: The Pacific Islands and Global Climate Change. (external link)
Poster
- Vilela, Isabelle; Veleda, Doris; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2024). A dynamical perspective of the extreme rainfall event over eastern Northeast Brazil in May, 2022. (external link)
- Vilela, Isabelle; Veleda, Doris; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). A dynamical perspective of the extreme rainfall event over eastern Northeast Brazil in May, 2022. (external link)
- Nair, Akhilesh Sivaraman; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Improving subseasonal prediction with land data assimilation in NorCPM. (external link)
- Nair, Akhilesh Sivaraman; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Improving subseasonal prediction with land surface initialisation in NorCPM . (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Lubis, Sandro W.; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2022). The key role of ocean-induced non-conservative processes in Northern Hemisphere stratospheric response to climate changes. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Muilwijk, Morven et al. (2022). Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends during the 20th century . (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Matthes, Katja et al. (2022). Coupled stratosphere-troposphere Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection. (external link)
- Chandra, Ashneel; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Svendsen, Lea et al. (2022). INTRASEASONAL OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VARIATIONS IN THE TROPICAL INDIAN OCEAN. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). Coupled reanalyses of NorCPM1 contributed to CMIP6 DCPP. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Anomaly assimilation of hydrographic profile data with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM). (external link)
- Schevenhoven, Francine Janneke; Wang, Shuo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels. (external link)
- Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Chiu, Ping-Gin (2021). Understanding intrinsic ocean variability by suppressing regional stochastic variability. (external link)
- Chandra, Ashneel; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Svendsen, Lea et al. (2021). Intraseasonal variations of Ocean Heat Content in the tropical Indian and Pacific Ocean. (external link)
- Fransner, Sara Filippa Krusmynta; Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). Predictability of Barents Sea Phytoplankton Concentration. (external link)
- Silva, Edson; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Brajard, Julien et al. (2021). Phytoplankton bloom phenology along the Norwegian continental shelf. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Pariyar, Sunil Kumar; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2021). Seasonal prediction in northern Atlantic Ocean and Norwegian Seas. (external link)
- Orsolini, Yvan J.; Li, Fei; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2020). Subseasonal-to-seasonal Winter Forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model: Role of Snow-Atmosphere Coupling at High Latitudes. (external link)
- Li, Fei; Orsolini, Yvan; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Impact of snow initialisation in subseasonal-to-seasonal winter forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2019). Sensitivity of decadal climate predictions in the North Atlantic to anomaly initialisation choices. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2018). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and its impacts for climate prediction . (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2018). Relating model bias and prediction skill in the tropical Atlantic. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2018). Seasonal-to-decadal prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Koenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gastineau, Guillaume et al. (2018). The impact of the Arctic sea ice loss and variation on lower latitudes. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and its impacts for climate prediction. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and impacts for climate prediction. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bitz, Cecilia m. et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2018). A minimalistic damped harmonic oscillator framework for assessing decadal climate predictability in the Subpolar North Atlantic. (external link)
- Årthun, Marius; Kolstad, Erik Wilhelm; Eldevik, Tor et al. (2018). Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2016). Extratropical frontal- and meso- scale air-sea interaction: Impact of oceanic front on the ozone-induced stratosphere/troposphere coupling of the Southern Annular Mode. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2016). Extratropical frontal- and meso-scale air-sea interaction: Impact of oceanic front on the northern hemispheric coupled stratosphere/troposphere-system. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2016). Investigating the Role of the Atlantic and Pacific in the Early 20th Century Warming. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belén; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). Does the impact of Atlantic Niños on the Indian summer monsoon depend on the background state?. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulic, Ivana; Kucharski, Fred et al. (2015). Northern Hemisphere atmospheric response to tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly in late autumn. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2015). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Shen, Mao-Lin; Selten, Frank et al. (2015). Climate change projection with reduced model systematic error over tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2015). Role of the Midlatitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2015). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2014). The role of the mid-latitude oceanic front in the ozone-induced climate change in the Southern Hemisphere as revealed in aqua planet experiments. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2014). Role of the Mid-latitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2014). Marine-based multiproxy reconstruction of Atlantic multidecadal variability. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2013). Marine-based multi-proxy reconstruction of Atlantic multi-decadal variability. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel (2012). Simulated response of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation to a weakening Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in the Bergen Climate Model. (external link)
- Mecking, Jennifer; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2012). Marine proxy and model links between the extra-tropical North Pacific and North Atlantic on decadal timescales. (external link)
- Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Selten, Frank et al. (2012). Wim Wiegerinck, Reducing Model Systematic Error through Super Modellin. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Smedsrud, Lars Henrik; Keenlyside, Noel (2012). Seasonal changes in Arctic sea ice – atmosphere interaction. (external link)
Lecture
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Updates from the CLIVAR Tropical Basin Interaction Focus. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Tropical Basin Interactions on seasonal to decadal timescale. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Supermodelling – a new approach to reduce model biases and improve prediction. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2023). NorCPM – status and plans for CMIP7. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Process level characterization of Earth System Model diversity using observations and AIML based emulators: A case study using E3SM and NorESM. . (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Wang, Shuo et al. (2022). Supermodeling for improving the representation of climate variability. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Matthes, Katja et al. (2021). Understanding the multidecadal Northern Hemisphere climate variability from the perspective of stratosphere/troposphere/Atlantic coupled oscillation. (external link)
- Berx, Barbara; Henley, Sean; Høyer, Jacob et al. (2021). Debate on Ocean Connections from the Arctic across the globe. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Barthélémy, Sébastien et al. (2019). Enhancing the skill of dynamical climate prediction: Avenue explored with the NorCPM. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2019). Status of climate prediction and future challenges: a perspective from Norway. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2019). The role of model bias for prediction skill and methods to constrain it. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2019). Recent developments of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model for seasonal to decadal predictions. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2018). Enhanced skill of dynamical prediction in the Arctic. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2018). Development and current S2D prediction skill of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model . (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2018). Dynamical climate predictions at the Bjerknes Center. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulic, Ivana; Kucharski, Fred et al. (2017). Interannual tropical Pacific SST anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere in November. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2016). Flow dependent assimilation of SST in isopycnal coordinate with the NorCPM. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2016). Reanalysis and climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model . (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Kimmritz, Madlen et al. (2016). Reanalysis and climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model . (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere.. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere.. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Mid-Latitude Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Chang, Chuing-Wen June; Tseng, Wan-Ling et al. (2015). The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a Warming World. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM) and Pacemaker experiments. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The North Atlantic Ocean role in shaping regional climate change. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Linking Barents Kara sea ice in autumn to the winter atmospheric circulation. (external link)
Academic article
- Zheng, Yanxin; Li, Shuangling; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2024). Projecting Spring Consecutive Rainfall Events in the Three Gorges Reservoir Based on Triple-Nested Dynamical Downscaling. (external link)
- Paolini, Luca Famooss; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Bellucci, Alessio et al. (2024). Nonstationarity in the NAO–Gulf Stream SST Front Interaction. (external link)
- Ogilvie, Astrid; King, Lesley A.; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2024). Recent Ventures in Interdisciplinary Arctic Research: The ARCPATH Project. (external link)
- Garcia Oliva, Lilian Carolina; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2024). Intercomparison of initialization methods for seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions with the NorCPM. (external link)
- Imbol Koungue, Rodrigue Anicet; Brandt, Peter; Prigent, Arthur et al. (2024). Drivers and impact of the 2021 extreme warm event in the tropical Angolan upwelling system. (external link)
- Wu, Jia; Fan, Hanjie; Lin, Shuheng et al. (2024). Boosting effect of strong western pole of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the decay of El Niño events. (external link)
- Steenbeek, Jeroen; Ortega, Pablo; Bernardello, Raffaele et al. (2024). Making Ecosystem Modeling Operational–A Novel Distributed Execution Framework to Systematically Explore Ecological Responses to Divergent Climate Trajectories. (external link)
- Chandra, Ashneel; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Svendsen, Lea et al. (2024). Processes Driving Subseasonal Variations of Upper Ocean Heat Content in the Equatorial Indian Ocean. (external link)
- Sarre, Abdoulaye; Demarcq, Hervé; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2024). Climate change impacts on small pelagic fish distribution in Northwest Africa: trends, shifts, and risk for food security. (external link)
- Semenov, Vladimir A.; Aldonina, Tatiana A.; Li, Fei et al. (2024). Arctic Sea Ice Variations in the First Half of the 20th Century: A New Reconstruction Based on Hydrometeorological Data. (external link)
- Tomety, Folly Serge; Illig, Serena; Ostrowski, Marek et al. (2024). Long-term climatological trends driving the recent warming along the Angolan and Namibian coasts. (external link)
- Drews, Annika; Schmith, Torben; Tian, Tian et al. (2024). The Crucial Role of the Subpolar North Atlantic for Skillful Decadal Climate Predictions. (external link)
- Koseki, Shunya; Crespo, Lander Rodriguez; Tjiputra, Jerry et al. (2024). Assessing the tropical Atlantic biogeochemical processes in the Norwegian Earth System Model. (external link)
- Boljka, Lina; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Identifying quasi-periodic variability using multivariate empirical mode decomposition: a case of the tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Cheung, Ho Nam; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ogawa, Fumiaki et al. (2023). Pacific oceanic front amplifies the impact of Atlantic oceanic front on North Atlantic blocking. (external link)
- Babanov, B.A.; Semenov, V.A.; Akperov, M.G. et al. (2023). Occurrence of Winter Atmospheric Circulation Regimes in Euro-Atlantic Region and Associated Extreme Weather Anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere. (external link)
- Shin, S.J.; Yeh, S.W.; An, S.I. et al. (2023). Southern Ocean Control of 2°C Global Warming in Climate Models. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Li, Camille (2023). ENSO teleconnections in terms of non-NAO and NAO atmospheric variability. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Wang, Shuo et al. (2023). Framework for an Ocean-Connected Supermodel of the Earth System. (external link)
- Fransner, Sara Filippa Krusmynta; Olsen, Are; Årthun, Marius et al. (2023). Phytoplankton abundance in the Barents Sea is predictable up to five years in advance. (external link)
- Koseki, Shunya; Tjiputra, Jerry; Fransner, Sara Filippa Krusmynta et al. (2023). Disentangling the impact of Atlantic Niño on sea-air CO<inf>2</inf> flux. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C.; Farneti, Riccardo; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2023). Pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation linked to ocean circulation. (external link)
- Rivas Camargo, David Alberto; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). On dynamical downscaling of ENSO-induced oceanic anomalies off Baja California Peninsula, Mexico: role of the air-sea heat flux. (external link)
- Schevenhoven, Francine Janneke; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2023). Supermodeling: Improving Predictions with an Ensemble of Interacting Models. (external link)
- Tseng, Wan-Ling; Lee, Yu-Chi; Wang, Yi-Chi et al. (2023). Characterizing Atlantic interhemispheric teleconnection established by South American monsoon in austral summer. (external link)
- Cheung, Ho-Nam; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Koenigk, Torben et al. (2022). Assessing the influence of sea surface temperature and arctic sea ice cover on the uncertainty in the boreal winter future climate projections. (external link)
- Rodriguez Crespo, Lander; Rodríguez-Fonseca, María Belén; Polo, Irene et al. (2022). Multidecadal variability of ENSO in a recharge oscillator framework. (external link)
- Payne, Mark R.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2022). Skilful decadal-scale prediction of fish habitat and distribution shifts. (external link)
- Rodriguez Crespo, Lander; Prigent, Arthur; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2022). Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming. (external link)
- Pariyar, Sunil Kumar; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Tseng, Wan-Ling et al. (2022). The role of air–sea coupling on November–April intraseasonal rainfall variability over the South Pacific. (external link)
- Hermanson, Leon; Smith, Doug; Seabrook, Melissa et al. (2022). WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update A Prediction for 2021-25. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Matthes, Katja et al. (2022). Coupled stratosphere-troposphere-Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection. (external link)
- Athanasiadis, Panos J.; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine et al. (2022). Mitigating climate biases in the midlatitude North Atlantic by increasing model resolution: SST gradients and their relation to blocking and the jet. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Muilwijk, Morven et al. (2021). Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends in the Arctic during the twentieth century. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2021). Diabatic heating governs the seasonality of the Atlantic Niño. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Toniazzo, Thomas et al. (2021). Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. (external link)
- Silva, Edson; Counillon, François; Brajard, Julien et al. (2021). Twenty-One Years of Phytoplankton Bloom Phenology in the Barents, Norwegian, and North Seas. (external link)
- Nkwinkwa, Arielle Stela Imbol; Rouault, Mathieu; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2021). Impact of the Agulhas Current on Southern Africa Precipitation: A Modeling Study. (external link)
- Langehaug, Helene R.; Ortega, Pablo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and Their Predictive Potential along the Atlantic Water Pathway. (external link)
- Yang, Xiao-Ying; Wang, Guihua; Keenlyside, Noel (2020). The Arctic sea ice extent change connected to Pacific decadal variability. (external link)
- Luo, Hao; Zheng, Fei; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2020). Ocean–atmosphere coupled Pacific Decadal variability simulated by a climate model. (external link)
- Akinsanola, Akintomide Afolayan; Zhou, Wen; Zhou, Tianjun et al. (2020). Amplification of synoptic to annual variability of West African summer monsoon rainfall under global warming. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2020). A Satellite Era Warming Hole in the Equatorial Atlantic Ocean. (external link)
- López-Parages, Jorge; Auger, Pierre-Amaël; Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belén et al. (2020). El Niño as a predictor of round sardinella distribution along the northwest African coast. (external link)
- Pariyar, Sunil Kumar; Keenlyside, Noel; Sorteberg, Asgeir et al. (2020). Factors affecting extreme rainfall events in the South Pacific. (external link)
- Smith, Doug M.; Scaife, Adam A; Eade, Rosie et al. (2020). North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. (external link)
- Wohland, Jan; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Significant multidecadal variability in German wind energy generation. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Nakamura, Hisashi et al. (2019). Key Role of the Ocean Western Boundary currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate. (external link)
- Wohland, Jan; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Witthaut, Dirk et al. (2019). Inconsistent Wind Speed Trends in Current Twentieth Century Reanalyses. (external link)
- Yan, Youfang; Svendsen, Lea; Wang, Chunzai et al. (2019). A North-South Contrast of Subsurface Salinity Anomalies in the Northwestern Pacific From 2002 to 2013. (external link)
- Cai, Wenju; Wu, Lixin; Lengaigne, Matthieu et al. (2019). Pantropical climate interactions. (external link)
- Wu, Chau-Ron; Lin, Yong-Fu; Wang, You-Lin et al. (2019). An Atlantic-driven rapid circulation change in the North Pacific Ocean during the late 1990s. (external link)
- Schevenhoven, Francine Janneke; Selten, Frank; Carrassi, Alberto et al. (2019). Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels. (external link)
- Voldoire, Aurore; Exarchou, Eleftheria; Sánchez-Gómez, Emilia et al. (2019). Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the tropical Atlantic. (external link)
- Jia, Fan; Cai, Wenju; Wu, Lixin et al. (2019). Weakening Atlantic Niño-Pacific connection under greenhouse warming. (external link)
- Li, Fei; Orsolini, Yvan; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Impact of snow initialization in subseasonal-to-seasonal winter forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Smedsrud, Lars H. et al. (2019). Impact of ocean and sea ice initialisation on seasonal prediction skill in the Arctic. (external link)
- Cheung, Ho Nam; Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine et al. (2018). Remarkable link between projected uncertainties of Arctic sea-ice decline and winter Eurasian climate. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2018). Evaluating Impacts of Recent Arctic Sea Ice Loss on the Northern Hemisphere Winter Climate Change. (external link)
- Hand, Ralf; Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine et al. (2018). The role of local sea surface temperature pattern changes in shaping climate change in the North Atlantic sector. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2018). Pacific contribution to the early twentieth-century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Nkwinkwa Njouodo, Arielle Stela; Koseki, Shunya; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2018). Atmospheric signature of the Agulhas current. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulic, Ivana; Blade, Ileana et al. (2018). Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro-Atlantic sector. (external link)
- Köenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gastineau, Guillaume et al. (2018). Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemispheric land areas. (external link)
- Luo, Feifei; Li, Shuanglin; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2018). The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon since the Industrial Revolution is intrinsic to the climate system. (external link)
- Tchipalanga, Pedro C.M.; Dengler, Marcus; Brandt, Peter et al. (2018). Eastern boundary circulation and hydrography off Angola building Angolan oceanographic capacities. (external link)
- Årthun, Marius; Bogstad, Bjarte; Daewel, Ute et al. (2018). Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. . (external link)
- Koseki, Shunya; Pohl, Benjamin; Bhatt, Bhuwan Chandra et al. (2018). Insights into the Summer Diurnal Cycle over Eastern South Africa. (external link)
- Rodriguez Crespo, Lander; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya (2018). The role of the sea surface temperature in the atmospheric seasonal cycle of the equatorial Atlantic. (external link)
- Collins, Matthew; Minobe, Shoshiro; Barreiro, Marcelo et al. (2018). Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics. (external link)
- Årthun, Marius; Kolstad, Erik Wilhelm; Eldevik, Tor et al. (2018). Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nakamura, Hisashi et al. (2017). Impact of Oceanic Front on the Tropospheric Climatic Trend Induced by Ozone Depletion. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Kucharski, Fred; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2017). Analogous seasonal evolution of the South Atlantic SST dipole indices. (external link)
- Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Bhatt, Bhuwan Chandra et al. (2017). Role of atmosphere-ocean interactions in supermodeling the tropical Pacific climate. (external link)
- Zanchettin, Davide; Gaetan, Carlo; Arisido, Maeregu Woldeyes et al. (2017). Structural decomposition of decadal climate prediction errors: A Bayesian approach. (external link)
- Richter, Ingo; Doi, Takeshi; Behera, Swadhin K et al. (2017). On the link between mean state biases and prediction skill in the tropics: an atmospheric perspective. (external link)
- Luo, Feifei; Li, Shuanglin; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2017). The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon in the CMIP5 models. (external link)
- Koseki, Shunya; Keenlyside, Noel; Demissie, Teferi Dejene et al. (2017). Causes of the large warm bias in the Angola–Benguela Frontal Zone in the Norwegian Earth System Model. (external link)
- Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Demissie, Teferi Dejene et al. (2017). Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2017). Optimising assimilation of hydrographic profiles into isopycnal ocean models with ensemble data assimilation. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulić, Ivana; Kucharski, Fred et al. (2017). Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November. (external link)
- Sillmann, Jana; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2017). Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities. (external link)
- Tseng, Wan-Ling; Hsu, Huang-Hsiung; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2017). Effects of surface orography and land-sea contrast on the Madden-Julian oscillation in the maritime continent: A numerical study using ECHAM5-SIT. (external link)
- Årthun, Marius; Eldevik, Tor; Viste, Ellen et al. (2017). Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Bader, Jürgen; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). Troposphere–stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model. (external link)
- Mohino, Elsa; Keenlyside, Noel; Pohlmann, Holger (2016). Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack thereof) come from?. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2016). Flow-dependent assimilation of sea surface temperature in isopycnal coordinates with the Norwegian climate prediction model . (external link)
- Cabos, William; Sein, Dmitry V.; Pinto, Joaquim G. et al. (2016). The South Atlantic Anticyclone as a key player for the representation of the tropical Atlantic climate in coupled climate models. (external link)
- Dieppois, Bastien; Pohl, Benjamin; Rouault, Mathieu et al. (2016). Interannual to interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections. (external link)
- Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Viste, Ellen et al. (2016). The El Niño effect on Ethiopian summer rainfall. (external link)
- Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Selten, Frank et al. (2016). Dynamically combining climate models to "supermodel" the tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C.; Li, Jianping; Kucharski, Fred et al. (2016). An equatorial-extratropical dipole structure of the Atlantic Niño. (external link)
- Reintges, Annika; Martin, Thomas; Latif, Mojib et al. (2016). Uncertainty in twenty-first century projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Dommenget, Dietmar (2016). The fingerprint of global warming in the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Mechoso, Carlos R.; Losada, Teresa; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2016). Can reducing the incoming energy flux over the Southern Ocean in a CGCM improve its simulation of tropical climate?. (external link)
- Chang, Chiung-Wen June; Tseng, Wan-Ling; Huang-Hsiung, Hsu et al. (2015). The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a warmer world. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. (external link)
- Mecking, Jennifer V.; Keenlyside, Noel; Greatbatch, Richard J. (2015). Multiple timescales of stochastically forced North Atlantic Ocean variability: A model study. (external link)
- Ding, Hui; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, Mojib et al. (2015). The impact of mean state errors on equatorial Atlantic interannual variability in a climate model. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2015). Ozone-induced climate change propped up by the Southern Hemisphere oceanic front. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Li, Jianping; Kucharski, Fred et al. (2015). Thermodynamic controls of the Atlantic Niño. (external link)
- Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Hodges, Kevin I. et al. (2014). An inter-hemispheric comparison of the tropical storm response to global warming. (external link)
- Mecking, J. V.; Keenlyside, Noel; Greatbatch, R. J. (2014). Stochastically-forced multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a model study. (external link)
- Ba, Jin; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, Mojib et al. (2014). A multi-model comparison of Atlantic multidecadal variability. (external link)
- Tseng, Wan-Ling; Tsuang, Ben-Jei; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2014). Resolving the upper-ocean warm layer improves the simulation of the Madden-Julian oscillation. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2014). Seasonal-to-decadal predictions with the ensemble kalman filter and the Norwegian earth System Model: A twin experiment. (external link)
- Gao, Yongqi; Sun, Jianqi; Li, Fei et al. (2014). Arctic sea ice and Eurasian climate: A review. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2014). Marine-based multiproxy reconstruction of Atlantic multidecadal variability. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel; Bader, Jürgen et al. (2014). Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions. (external link)
- Hand, Ralf; Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine et al. (2014). Simulated response to inter-annual SST variations in the Gulf Stream region. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Pohlmann, Holger; Smith, Doug M.; Balmaseda, Magdalena A. et al. (2013). Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system. (external link)
- Ba, Jin; Keenlyside, Noel; Park, Wonsun et al. (2013). A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Ding, Hui; Latif, Mojib (2013). Potential of equatorial Atlantic variability to enhance El Niño prediction. (external link)
- Gulev, Sergey K.; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2013). North Atlantic Ocean control on surface heat flux on multidecadal timescales. (external link)
- Hetzinger, Steffen; Halfar, Jochen; Mecking, Jennifer V. et al. (2012). Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic climate. (external link)
Academic literature review
- O'Kane, Terence J.; Scaife, Adam A.; Kushnir, Yochanan et al. (2023). Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions. (external link)
- Pariyar, Sunil Kumar; Keenlyside, Noel; Bhatt, Bhuwan Chandra et al. (2019). The dominant patterns of intraseasonal rainfall variability in May-October and November-April over the tropical western Pacific. (external link)
- Foltź, Gregory R.; Brandt, Peter; Richter, Ingo et al. (2019). The tropical Atlantic observing system. (external link)
- Lubbecke, Joke F; Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belén; Richter, Ingo et al. (2018). Equatorial Atlantic variability?Modes, mechanisms, and global teleconnections. (external link)
- Bellucci, Alessio; Haarsma, Reindert J.; Bellouin, Nicolas et al. (2015). Advancements in decadal climate predictability: The role of nonoceanic drivers. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine (2014). Has a warm North Atlantic contributed to recent European cold winters?. (external link)
Doctoral dissertation
- Silva, Edson; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Brajard, Julien et al. (2023). Prediction of Harmful Alage Blooms impacting Shellfish Farms in Norway. (external link)
- Rodriguez Crespo, Lander; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2019). Ocean-atmosphere interactions in the tropical Atlantic seasonal cycle and multidecadal variability of ENSO. (external link)
- Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel (2017). Impacts of the Walker-Circulation on inter-annual Ethiopian rainfall variability and future changes in tropical cyclones. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi (2016). Impacts of Atlantic multi-decadal variability on the Indo-Pacific and Northern Hemisphere climate. (external link)
Errata
- Cheung, Ho-Nam; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Koenigk, Torben et al. (2022). Correction to: Assessing the influence of sea surface temperature and arctic sea ice cover on the uncertainty in the boreal winter future climate projections (Climate Dynamics, (2022), 59, 1-2, (433-454), 10.1007/s00382-022-06136-0). (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Nakamura, Hisashi et al. (2020). Author Correction: Key Role of the Ocean Western Boundary currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate (Scientific Reports, (2019), 9, 1, (3014), 10.1038/s41598-019-39392-y). (external link)
Academic chapter/article/Conference paper
- Keenlyside, Noel; Kosaka, Yu; Vigaud, Nicholas et al. (2020). Basin Interactions and predictability. (external link)
- Ogilvie, Astrid; Gao, Yongqi; Einarsson, Níels et al. (2020). The ARCPATH Project: Assessing Risky Environments and Rapid Change: Research on Climate, Adaptation and Coastal Communities in the North Atlantic Arctic. (external link)
- Yang, Shuting; Gao, Yongqi; Koenigk, Torben et al. (2020). The Climate Model: An ARCPATH Tool to Understand and Predict Climate Change. (external link)
- Schevenhoven, Francine Janneke; Selten, Frank; Carrassi, Alberto et al. (2019). Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels. . (external link)
- Duane, Gregory; Wiegerinck, Wim; Selten, Frank et al. (2018). Supermodeling: Synchronization of Alternative Dynamical Models of a Single Objective Process. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Ba, Jin; Mecking, Jennifer V. et al. (2015). North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. (external link)
Report
- Planque, Benjamin; Carroll, JoLynn; Fransner, Filippa et al. (2020). Best practices for ecological model evaluation I : Workshop Report. (external link)
- Billeau, Sebastien; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). IMPACT OF CHANGING THE ASSIMILATION CYCLE: CENTERED VS STAGGERED, SNAPSHOT VS MONTHLY AVERAGED . (external link)
Website (informational material)
- Kong, Yuen Man; Keenlyside, Noel (2020). Nansen Tutu TRIATLAS Summer School on Ocean, Climate, and Marine Ecosystems. (external link)
- Ladstein, Miriam Ylvasdatter; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Pariyar, Sunil Kumar (2019). Why is the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) important for Pacific Island countries?. (external link)
Popular scientific article
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Submitted manuscripts
- Yin, M., X.-Q. Yang, L. Sun, L. Tao, N. Keenlyside, Amplified wintertime Arctic warming causes Eurasian cooling via nonlinear feedback of suppressed synoptic eddy activities, submitted
- Noleto-Filho, E., F. Keppeler, J. A. Reis-Filho, T. Giarrizzo, N. Keenlyside, A. Carvalho, Adriana, M. Coll, J. Steenbeek, R. Angelini, FoodWebAI: Creating and augmenting food webs with natural language models, submitted
- Bachèlery, M.-L., J. Brajard, M. Patacchiola, S. Illig, N. Keenlyside, Predicting Atlantic and 1 Benguela Niño events with deep learning, submitted
- Tian, F., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, P. Fernández, S. Koseki, F. Li (2024) Resolution-Dependent Sensitivity of Tropical Precipitation and Latent Heat Flux in the NorESM Model, submitted to JAMES
- Cai, W., .... , N.S. Keenlyside, ..... (2024), Impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on African climate, submitted
- Rodriguez-Fonseca, B., ... N. Keenlyside, ... (2024) ENSO Impact on marine ecosystems and fisheries in the tropical and South Atlantic, NREE, submitted
- Omrani, N.-E., S. W. Lubis, N. Keenlyside, F. Ogawa (2022) Response of Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar night jet to climate change: key role of tropical Ocean and diffusive mixing, submitted
- Rodrıguez-Fonseca, B., I. Polo, E. Mohino, T. Losada, M. Martın-Rey, C.R. Mechoso, N. Keenlyside (2021) Multidecadal Modulation of Tropical Atlantic Impacts on ENSO, submitted
- Crespo, L. R., S. Koseki, N. Keenlyside and Y.-C. He (2021). Thermodynamic ocean-atmosphere interactions control the equatorial Atlantic seasonal cycle, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science: submitted.
Peer-reviewed
- Nair, A, F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, Improving subseasonal forecast skill in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model using soil moisture data assimilation, accepted
- Koseki, S., Crespo, L. R., Tjiputra, J., Fransner, F., Keenlyside, N. S., Rivas, D. (2024) Assessing the tropical Atlantic biogeochemical processes in the Norwegian Earth System Model, Biogeosciences, accepted
- Drews, A., Schmith, T., Tian, T., Wang, Y., Devilliers, M., Keenlyside, N. S., et al. (2024). The crucial role of the subpolar North Atlantic for skillful decadal climate predictions. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL109415. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109415
- Tomety, F. S., S. Illig, M. Ostrowski, F. M. Awo, M.-L. Bachèlery, N. Keenlyside, and M. Rouault (2024), Long-term climatological trends driving the recent warming along the Angolan and Namibian coasts. Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07305-z
- Semenov, V., T. A. Aldonina, F. Li, N. S. Keenlyside, and L. Wang (2024) Arctic sea ice variations in the first half of the 20th century: a new reconstruction based on hydrometeorological data, Adv. Atmos. Sci. 41, 1483–1495. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-3320-x
- Imbol Koungue, R., P. Brandt, A. Prigent, L. Costa Aroucha, J. Lübbecke; A. S. N. Imbol Nkwinkwa, M. Dengler, N. Keenlyside (2024) Drivers and impact of the 2021 extreme warm event in the tropical Angolan upwelling system, Sci Rep 14, 16824. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-67569-7
- Sarre, A., H. Demarcq, N. Keenlyside, and others (2024) Climate change impacts on small pelagic fish distribution in Northwest Africa: trends, shifts, and risk for food security. Sci Rep 14, 12684. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-61734-8
- Garcia-Oliva, L., F. Counillon, I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside (2024) Intercomparison of initialization methods for seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions with the NorCPM. Clim Dyn 62, 5425–5444. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07170-w
- Steenbeek, J ..... N. Keenlyside, (2024) Making ecosystem modelling operational - a novel distributed execution framework to systematically explore ecological responses to divergent climate trajectories, Earth's Future, 12, e2023EF004295. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004295
- Ogilvie, A., L. King, N. Keenlyside, .... (2024), Recent Ventures in Interdisciplinary Arctic Research: The ARCPATH Project. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 41, 1559–1568. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-3333-x
- Wu, J., H. Fan, S. Lin, W. Zhong, S. He, N. Keenlyside, and S. Yang, (2024) Boosting effect of strong western pole of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the decay of El Niño events, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 6, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00554-5
- Chandra, A., N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, A. Singh (2024), Processes driving subseasonal variations of upper Ocean Heat Content in the equatorial Indian Ocean, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129, e2023JC020074. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020074
- Paolini, L. F., N.-E. Omrani, A. Bellucci, P. J. Athanasiadis, P. Ruggieri, C. R. Patrizio, N. Keenlyside (2024) Non-stationarity in the NAO–Gulf Stream SST front interaction, 37, 1629–1650, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0476.1
- Zheng, Y., N. Keenlyside, S. Li, S. He, and L. Suo (2024), Projecting Spring Consecutive Rainfall Events in the Three Gorges Reservoir based on Treble-Nested dynamical downscaling. Adv. Atmos. Sci., https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-3118-2
- Boljka, L., N. E. Omrani, and N. S. Keenlyside (2023), Identifying quasi-periodic variability using multivariate empirical mode decomposition: a case of the tropical Pacific. Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 1087-1109.
- Schevenhoven, F., N. Keenlyside, .... (2023), Supermodeling: improving predictions with an ensemble of interacting models, BAMS, E1670–E1686
- Rivas, D., F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside (2023), On dynamical downscaling of ENSO-induced oceanic anomalies off Baja California Peninsula, Mexico: Role of the air-sea heat flux, Front. Mar. Sci., 10, 10.3389/fmars.2023.1179649
- Tseng, W.-L., Y.-C. Lee, Y.-C. Wang, H.-H. Hsu, and N. Keenlyside (2023), Characterizing Atlantic interhemispheric teleconnection established by South American monsoon in austral summer, Environmental Research Letters, 18(7), 074003, 10.1088/1748-9326/acdbdf.
- O'kane, T., ..... N. Keenlyside, ...... 2023: Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions, Front. Clim., 5, 10.3389/fclim.2023.1121626
- Cheung, H.-N., N.-E. Omrani, F. Ogawa, N. Keenlyside, H. Nakamura, and W. Zhou (2023), Pacific oceanic front amplifies the impact of Atlantic oceanic front on North Atlantic blocking, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), 61, 10.1038/s41612-023-00370-x
- Koseki, S., J. Tjiputra, F. Fransner, L. R. Crespo, and N. S. Keenlyside (2023), Disentangling the impact of Atlantic Niño on sea-air CO2 flux, Nature Communications, 14(1), 3649, 10.1038/s41467-023-38718-9.
- Fransner, F., A. Olsen, M. Årthun, F. Counillon, J. Tjiputra, A. Samuelsen, and N. Keenlyside, 2023: Phytoplankton abundance in the Barents Sea is predictable up to five years in advance. Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 141.
- Nnamchi, H. C., R. Farneti, N. S. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, M. Latif, A. Reintges, and T. Martin, 2023: Pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation linked to ocean circulation. Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 121
- Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, S. Wang, M. Devilliers, A. Gupta, S. Koseki, and M.-L. Shen, 2023: Framework for an Ocean-Connected Supermodel of the Earth System. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2022MS003310.
- King, M. P., N. Keenlyside, and C. Li, 2023: ENSO teleconnections in terms of non-NAO and NAO atmospheric variability. Climate Dynamics.
- Shin, S.-J., S.-W. Yeh, S.-I. An, N. Keenlyside, S.-P. Xie, and J.-H. Park (2023), Southern Ocean Control of 2°C Global Warming in Climate Models, Earth's Future, 11(1), e2022EF003212, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003212.
- Crespo, L. R., A. Prigent, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki, L. Svendsen, I. Richter, and E. Sánchez-Gómez (2022), Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming, Nat. Clim. Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01453-y
- Athanasiadis, P. J., .... N. Keenlyside, .... et al. (2022), Mitigating climate biases in the mid-latitude North Atlantic by increasing model resolution: SST gradients and their relation to blocking and the jet. J. Climate, 1-61.
- Pariyar, S. K., N. Keenlyside, W.-L. Tseng, H.-H. Hsu, and B.-J. Tsuang (2022), The role of air–sea coupling on November–April intraseasonal rainfall variability over the South Pacific, Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06354-6
- Crespo, L., B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, I. Polo, N. Keenlyside, D. Dommenget (2022), Multidecadal variability of ENSO in a recharge oscillator framework, ERL, 17(7), 074008.
- Omrani, N.-E., N. Keenlyside, K. Matthes, L. Boljka, D. Zanchettin, J. H. Jungclaus, and S. W. Lubis (2022), Coupled stratosphere-troposphere-Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5(1), 59, 10.1038/s41612-022-00275-1.
- Payne, M. R., G. Danabasoglu, N. Keenlyside, D. Matei, A. K. Miesner, S. Yang, and S. G. Yeager (2022), Skilful decadal-scale prediction of fish habitat and distribution shifts, Nature Communications, 13(1), 2660, 10.1038/s41467-022-30280-0
- Hermanson, L, ..... Keenlyside, N., (2022), WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update: A prediction for 2021-2025, BAMS, 103(4), E1117-E1129, 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0311.1.
- Cheung, HN., Keenlyside, N., Koenigk, T. et al. (2022), Assessing the influence of sea surface temperature and arctic sea ice cover on the uncertainty in the boreal winter future climate projections, Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06136-0
- Langehaug, H. R., Ortega, P., Counillon, F., Matei, D., Maroon, E., Keenlyside, N., Mignot, J., Wang, Y., Swingedouw, D., Bethke, I., Yang, S., Danabasoglu, G., Bellucci, A., Ruggieri, P., Nicolì, D., & Årthun, M. (2022). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential along the Atlantic water pathway, J. Climate, 2111–2131, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1007.1
- Bethke, I., Y. Wang, F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimmritz, F. Fransner, A. Samuelsen, H. Langehaug, L. Svendsen, P. G. Chiu, L. Passos, M. Bentsen, C. Guo, A. Gupta, J. Tjiputra, A. Kirkevåg, D. Olivié, Ø. Seland, J. Solsvik Vågane, Y. Fan and T. Eldevik (2021). NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss. 2021: 1-84.
- Silva, E., F. Counillon, J. Brajard, A. Korosova, L. Pettersson, A. Samuelsen, N. Keenlyside, 2021: Twenty-one years of phytoplankton bloom phenology in the Barents, Norwegian and North seas, Frontiers in Marine Science, 8(1626), 10.3389/fmars.2021.746327.
- Nkwinkwa Njouodo, A. S. I., M. Rouault, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki (2020) Impact of the Agulhas current on southern Africa precipitation: a modelling study, J. Climate, 1-50. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0627.1
- Svendsen, L., N. Keenlyside, M. Muilwijk, I. Bethke, N.-E. Omrani, and Y. Gao (2021), Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends in the Arctic during the twentieth century, Climate Dynamics, 57(11), 3223-3243, 10.1007/s00382-021-05868-9
- Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, T. Toniazzo, S. Koseki, T. Demissie, I. Bethke, Yiguo Wang (2021), Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic, Clim Dyn 56, 2617–2630
- Nnamchi, H. C., M. Latif, N. S. Keenlyside, J. Kjellsson, and I. Richter (2021): Diabatic heating variability controls the seasonality of the Atlantic Niño. Nat Commun 12, 376
- Smith, D. M., ... N. Keenlyside ... (2020). North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. Nature, 583(7818), 796-800. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0
- Pariyar, S. K., N. Keenlyside, A. Sorteberg, T. Spengler, B. Chandra Bhatt, and F. Ogawa, 2020: Factors affecting extreme rainfall events in the South Pacific. Weather and Climate Extremes, 29, 100262.
- Akinsanola, A. A., W. Zhou, T. Zhou, N. Keenlyside, 2020, Amplification of synoptic to annual variability of West African summer monsoon rainfall under global warming. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3, 21.
- López-Parages, J., P.-A. Auger, B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, N. Keenlyside, C. Gaetan, A. Rubino, M. Woldeyes Arisido, and T. Brochier, 2020: El Niño as a predictor of round sardinella distribution along the northwest African coast. Progress in Oceanography, 186, 102341.
- Luo, H., F. Zheng, N. Keenlyside, and J. Zhu, 2020: Ocean–atmosphere coupled Pacific Decadal variability simulated by a climate model. Climate Dynamics, 54, 4759-4773.
- Nnamchi, H. C., M. Latif, N. S. Keenlyside, and W. Park, (2020) A satellite era warming hole in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean. JGRO, e2019JC015834.
- Yang, X.-Y., G. Wang, N. Keenlyside, (2020) The Arctic sea ice extent change connected to Pacific decadal variability, The Cryosphere, 14, 693–708, 2020
- Schevenhoven, F., F. Selten, A. Carrassi, and N. Keenlyside (2019), Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels, Earth Syst. Dynam., 10(4), 789-807, 10.5194/esd-10-789-2019.
- Kimmritz, M., F. Counillon, L. H. Smedsrud, I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, F. Ogawa, and Y. Wang (2019), Impact of ocean and sea ice initialisation on seasonal prediction skill in the Arctic, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10.1029/2019MS001825.
- Wohland, J., N. E. Omrani, N. Keenlyside, and D. Witthaut (2019), Significant multidecadal variability in German wind energy generation, Wind Energ. Sci., 4(3), 515-526, 10.5194/wes-4-515-2019.
- Wu, C.-R., Y.-F. Lin, Y.-L. Wang, N. Keenlyside, and J.-Y. Yu (2019), An Atlantic-driven rapid circulation change in the North Pacific Ocean during the late 1990s, Scientific Reports, 9(1), 14411, 10.1038/s41598-019-51076-1.
- Li, F., Y. J. Orsolini, N. Keenlyside, M. L. Shen, F. Counillon, and Y. G. Wang, 2019: Impact of Snow Initialization in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Winter Forecasts With the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 10033-10048
- Wang, Y., F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, S. Gleixner, M. Kimmritz, P. Dai, and Y. Gao 2019: Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF, Climate Dynamics, 53, 5777–5797
- Jia, F., W. Cai, L. Wu, B. Gan, G. Wang, F. Kucharski, P. Chang, and N. Keenlyside, 2019: Weakening Atlantic Niño-Pacific connection under greenhouse warming, Science Advances, 5(8), eaax4111, 10.1126/sciadv.aax4111.
- Pariyar, S, N. Keenlyside, B. Bhatt, N.-E. Omrani: The dominant patterns of intra-seasonal boreal summer and winter Tropical western Pacific rainfall variability, Monthly Weather Review, 147, 2941-2960
- Foltz, G. R., ....... N. Keenlyside ...... 2019: The Tropical Atlantic Observing System. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 206.
- Voldoire, A., E. Exarchou, E. Sanchez-Gomez, T. Demissie, A.-L. Deppenmeier, C. Frauen, K. Goubanova, W. Hazeleger, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki, C. Prodhomme, J. Shonk, T. Toniazzo, A.-K. Traoré. 2019: Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the Tropical Atlantic. Clim. Dyn., 53, 3481–3504
- Wohland, J., N.-E. Omrani, D. Witthaut, and N. S. Keenlyside 2019: Inconsistent wind speed trends in current 20th century reanalyses, JGR Atmos, 124
- Yan, Y., L. Svendsen, C. Wang, N. Keenlyside, Y. Qi, 2019: Did the global warming slowdown cause the north-south contrast of subsurface salinity anomalies in the Northwestern Pacific?, JGR Oceans, 124, 1795–1806
- Cai, W., ...., N. Keenlyside, et al., 2019: Pan-tropical climate interactions, Science, 363, eaav4236.
- Omrani, N.-E., F. Ogawa, H. Nakamura, N. Keenlyside, S. Lubis, K. Matthes, 2019: Key role of the Ocean Western Boundary Currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate, Scientific Reports, 9, 3014
- Crespo, L. R., N. Keenlyside, and S. Koseki, 2019: The role of sea surface temperature in the atmospheric seasonal cycle of the equatorial Atlantic. Climate Dynamics, 52, 5927-5946.
- Koenigk, T., Y. Gao, G. Gastineau, N. Keenlyside, T. Nakamura, F. Ogawa, Y. Orsolini, V. Semenov, L. Suo, T. Tian, T. Wang, J. J. Wettstein, and S. Yang, 2019: Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemispheric land areas. Clim. Dyn., 52, 3111-3137
- Årthun, M., B. Bogstad, U. Daewel, N. S. Keenlyside, A. B. Sandø, C. Schrum, and G. Ottersen, 2018: Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. PLOS ONE, 13, e0206319.
- Koseki, S., B. Pohl, B. C. Bhatt, N. Keenlyside, and A. S. Nkwinkwa Njouodo, 2018: Insights into the Summer Diurnal Cycle over Eastern South Africa. Monthly Weather Review, 146, 4339-4356
- Luo, F., S. Li, Y. Gao, L. Svendsen, T. Furevik, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon since the Industrial Revolution is intrinsic to the climate system. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 094020.
- Svendsen, L., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, and Y. Gao, 2018: Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. Nat. Clim. Change, 8, 793-797
- Nkwinkwa Njouodo, A. S., S. Koseki, N. Keenlyside, M. Rouault, Atmospheric signature of the Agulhas Current, GRL, 45, 5185-5193
- Lübbecke, J. F., B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, I. Richter, M. Martín-Rey, T. Losada, I. Polo, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2018: Equatorial Atlantic variability—Modes, mechanisms, and global teleconnections. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 9, e527.
- Årthun, M., E.W. Kolstad, T. Eldevik, N.S. Keenlyside, 2018, Time scales and sources of European temperature variability, GRL, 45, 3597-3604.
- Hand, R., N.S. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani, J. Bader, and R. J. Greatbatch, 2018: The role of local sea surface temperature pattern changes in shaping climate change in the North Atlantic sector. Clim Dyn., published online
- Ogawa, F., N. Keenlyside, Y. Gao, T. Koenigk, S. Yang, L. Suo, T. Wang, G. Gastineau, T. Nakamura, H. N. Cheung, N.-E. Omrani, J. Ukita, and V. Semenov, 2018: Evaluating impacts of the Arctic sea-ice loss on the northern hemisphere climate changes, GRL, 45, 3255-3263.
- Tchipalanga, P., M. Dengler, P. Brandt, R. Kopte, M. Macuéria, P. Coelho, M. Ostrowski, N.S. Keenlyside, 2018: Eastern boundary circulation and hydrography off Angola – building Angolan oceanographic capacities, BAMS, in press
- King, M. P., I. Herceg-Bulić, I. Bladé, J. García-Serrano, N. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, C. Li, S. Sobolowski, 2018: Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro- Atlantic sector, BAMS, in press
- Collins, M., S. Minobe, M. Barreiro, S. Bordoni, Y. Kaspi, A. Kuwano-Yoshida, N. Keenlyside, E. Manzini, C. H. O’Reilly, R. Sutton, S.-P. Xie, and O. Zolina, 2018: Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics. Nature Climate Change, 8, 101-108.
- Luo, F., S. Li, Y. Gao, N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, T. Furevik, 2018: The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon in the CMIP5 models, Clim. Dyn., 1-17.
- Cheung, H. H. N., N. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani, and W. Zhou, 2018: Remarkable link between projected uncertainties of Arctic sea-ice decline and winter Eurasian climate. Adv. Atm. Sci., 35, 38-51.
- King, M. P., I. Herceg-Bulić, F. Kucharski, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November. Climate Dynamics, 50, 1881-1899.
- Shen, M.-L., N. Keenlyside, B. C. Bhatt, and G. S. Duane, 2017: Role of atmosphere-ocean interactions in supermodeling the tropical Pacific climate. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 27, 126704.
- Sillmann, J., T. Thorarinsdottir, N. Keenlyside, N. Schaller, L. V. Alexander, G. Hegerl, S. I. Seneviratne, R. Vautard, X. Zhang, and F. W. Zwiers, 2017: Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities. WACE, 18, 65-74.
- Gleixner, S., N. S. Keenlyside, T. D. Demissie, F. Counillon, Y. Wang, and E. Viste, 2017: Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models. ERL, 12, 114016.
- Zanchettin, D., C. Gaetan, M. W. Arisido, K. Modali, T. Toniazzo, N. Keenlyside, and A. Rubino, 2017: Structural decomposition of decadal climate prediction errors: A Bayesian approach. Scientific Reports, 7, 12862.
- Nnamchi, H. C., F. Kucharski, N. S. Keenlyside, and R. Farneti, 2017: Analogous seasonal evolution of the South Atlantic SST dipole indices. ASL, 18, 396-402.
- Koseki, S., N. Keenlyside, T. Demissie, T. Toniazzo, F. Counillon, I. Bethke, M. Ilicak, and M.-L. Shen, 2018: Causes of the large warm bias in the Angola-Benguela Frontal Zone in the Norwegian Earth System Model, Clim. Dyn., 50(11), 4651-4670, 10.1007/s00382-017-3896-2.
- Tseng, W.-L., H.-H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, C.-W. June Chang, B.-J. Tsuang, C.-Y. Tu, and L.-C. Jiang, 2017: Effects of Surface Orography and Land–Sea Contrast on the Madden–Julian Oscillation in the Maritime Continent: A Numerical Study Using ECHAM5-SIT. J. Clim., 30, 9725-9741
- Richter, I., T. Doi, S. K. Behera, and N. Keenlyside, 2017: On the link between mean state biases and prediction skill in the tropics: an atmospheric perspective. Climate Dynamics.
- Årthun, M., T. Eldevik, E. Viste, H. Drange, T. Furevik, H. L. Johnson, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2017: Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean. Nature Communications, 8, 15875.
- Wang, Y., Counillon, F., I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, Marc Bocquet, and Mao-lin Shen, 2017: Optimising assimilation of hydrographic profiles into isopycnal ocean models with ensemble data assimilation, Oce. Mod., 114 33–44
- Gleixner, S., N. Keenlyside, E. Viste, and D. Korecha, 2017: The El Niño effect on Ethiopian summer rainfall. Clim. Dyn., 49, 1865-1883.
- Cabos, W., D. V. Sein, J. G. Pinto, A. H. Fink, N. V. Koldunov, F. Alvarez, A. Izquierdo, N. Keenlyside, and D. Jacob, 2017: The South Atlantic Anticyclone as a key player for the representation of the tropical Atlantic climate in coupled climate models. Climate Dynamics, 48, 4051-4069.
- Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, Y. Wang, S. Billeau, M.-L. Shen, and M. Bentsen 2016: Flow dependent assimilation of SST in isopycnal coordinate with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. Tellus A, 68, 32437
- Mohino, E., N.Keenlyside, H.Pohlmann, 2016: Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack of) come from?, Clim. Dyn. 47 (11), 3593-3612
- Mechoso, C. R., T. Losada, S. Koseki, E. Mohino-Harris, N. Keenlyside, A. Castaño-Tierno, T. A. Myers, B. Rodriguez-Fonseca, and T. Toniazzo, 2016: Can reducing the incoming energy flux over the Southern Ocean in a CGCM improve its simulation of tropical climate? Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 11,057-11,063.
- Reintges, A., T. Martin, M. Latif, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2016: Uncertainty in 21st Century Projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Clim. Dyn., 1-17
- Dieppois, B., B. Pohl, M. Rouault, M. New, D. Lawler, and N. Keenlyside, 2016: Interannual to Interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections. JGR Atmos., 121, 6215-6239.
- Nnamchi, H. C., J. Li, F. Kucharski, I.-S. Kang, N. Keenlyside, P. Chang, and R. Farneti, 2016: An equatorial-extratropical dipole structure of the Atlantic Niño. J. Clim., 29, 7295-7311.
- Shen, M.-L., N. Keenlyside, F. Selten, W. Wiegerinck, and G. S. Duane, 2016: Dynamically combining climate models to “supermodel” the tropical Pacific. GRL, 43, 359-366.
- Ogawa, F., N.-E. Omrani, K. Nishii, H. Nakamura, and N. Keenlyside, 2015: Ozone-induced climate change propped up by the Southern Hemisphere oceanic front. Geophys. Res. Lett, 42, 10,056-10,063.
- Nnamchi, H.C., J. Li,, F. Kucharski, I.-S. Kang , N.S. Keenlyside, P. Chang and R.Farneti, Thermodynamic Controls of the Atlantic Niño, Nat. Comm. 6:8895
- Mecking, J., N.S. Keenlyside, R.J. Greatbatch, Multiple Timescales of Stochastically Forced North Atlantic Ocean Variability: A model study, Oce. Dyn., 1-15
- Chang, C.-W. J., W.-L. Tseng, H.-H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, and B.-J. Tsuang, 2015: The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a warmer world. GRL, 42, 6034-6042.
- Omrani, N. E., J. Bader, N. S. Keenlyside, and E. Manzini, 2016: Troposphere–stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model. Clim. Dyn., 46, 1397-1415.
- King, M. P., M. Hell, and N. Keenlyside, 2016: Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. Clim. Dyn., 46, 1185-1195.
- Ding, H., N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, W. Park, and S. Wahl, 2015: The Impact of Mean State Errors on the Simulated Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability. JGR Oceans, 120, 1133-1151
- Bellucci, A., R. Haarsma, N. Bellouin, B. Booth, C. Cagnazzo, B. v. d. Hurk, N. Keenlyside, T. Koenigk, F. Massonnet, S. Materia, and M. Weiss, 2015: Advancements in decadal climate predictability: the role of non-oceanic drivers. Rev. of Geophy., 53, 165–202
- Gao, Y., J. Sun, F. Li, S. He, S. Sandven, Q. Yan, Z. Zhang, K. Lohmann, N. Keenlyside, T. Furevik, and L. Suo, 2015: Arctic sea ice and Eurasian climate: A review. Adv. Atm. Sci., 32, 92-114.
- Tseng, W.-L., B.-J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, H.-H. Hsu, and C.-Y. Tu, 2015: Resolving the upper-ocean warm layer improves the simulation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Clim. Dyn., 44, 1487-1503.
- Svendsen, L., S. Hetzinger, N. S. Keenlyside, and Y. Gao, 2014: Marine-based multi-proxy reconstruction of Atlantic multi-decadal variability. GRL, 41, 2013GL059076.
- Counillon, F., I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, M. Bentsen, L. Bertino, and F. Zheng, 2014: Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experiment. Tellus A, 66, 21074
- Ba, J., N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, W. Park, H. Ding, K. Lohmann, J. Mignot, M. Menary, O. Otterå, B. Wouters, D. Salas y Melia, A. Oka, A. Bellucci, and E. Volodin, 2014: A multi-model comparison for Atlantic multidecadal variability. Clim. Dyn., 1-16
- Mecking, J.V., N.S. Keenlyside, and R.J. Greatbatch 2014: Stochastically-forced multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: A model study, Clim. Dyn., 1-18
- Gleixner, S., N. Keenlyside, K. Hodges, W.-L. Tseng and L. Bengtsson 2014: An inter-hemispheric comparison of the Tropical Storm response to global warming. Clim. Dyn., 42, 2147-2157
- Svendsen, L., N.G. Kvamstø, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2014: Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. Clim. Dyn., 1-11
- Omrani, N.-E., N. S. Keenlyside, J. Bader and E. Manzini, 2014: Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions, Clim. Dyn., 42:649–663
- Gulev, S.K., M. Latif, N. Keenlyside, W. Park, and K. P. Koltermann, 2013: North Atlantic Ocean Control on Surface Heat Flux at Multidecadal Timescales, Nature, 499, 464-467
- Keenlyside, N., H. Ding, and M. Latif, 2013: Potential of Equatorial Atlantic Variability to Enhance El Niño Prediction, GRL, 40, 2278-2283.
- Hand, R., N. S. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani and M. Latif, 2013: Simulated response to inter-annual SST variations in the Gulf Stream region, Clim. Dyn., 1-17
- Pohlmann, H., D. Smith, M. A. Balmaseda, N. S. Keenlyside, S. Masina, D. Matei, W. A. Müller, and P. Rogel, 2013: Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system. Clim. Dyn., 41, 775-785
- Ba, J., N. Keenlyside, W. Park, M. Latif, E. Hawkins, and H. Ding, 2013: A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Clim. Dyn., 41, 2133-2144
- Ding, H., N. Keenlyside, and M. Latif (2012), Impact of the Equatorial Atlantic on the El Niño Southern Oscillation, Clim. Dyn., 38(9), 1965-1972.
- Meng, Q., M. Latif, W. Park, N. Keenlyside, V. Semenov, and T. Martin 2012: Twentieth century Walker Circulation change: data analysis and model experiments, Clim. Dyn., 38(9), 1757-1773
- Hetzinger, S., J. Halfar, J. V. Mecking, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Kronz, R. S. Steneck, W. H. Adey, and P. A. Lebednik 2012: Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic climate, Clim. Dyn., 39, 1447-1455
- Champion, A. J., K. I. Hodges, L. O. Bengtsson, N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Esch, 2011: Impact of increasing resolution and a warmer climate on extreme weather from Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones. Tellus, 63, 893-906.
- Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, S. Koumoutsaris, M. Zahn, and N. Keenlyside, 2011: The changing atmospheric water cycle in Polar Regions in a warmer climate. Tellus, 63, 907-920.
- Bader, J., M. D. S. Mesquita, K. I. Hodges, N. Keenlyside, S. Østerhus, and M. Miles, 2011: A review on Northern Hemisphere sea-ice, storminess and the North Atlantic Oscillation: Observations and projected changes. Atmos. Res., 101, 809-834.
- Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2011: A perspective on decadal climate variability and predictability. Deep Sea Research, 58, 1880-1894.
- Hawkins, E., J. Robson, R. Sutton, D. Smith, and N. Keenlyside, 2011: Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Clim. Dyn., 1-15.
- Tozuka, T., T. Doi, T. Miyasaka, N. Keenlyside, and T. Yamagata, 2011: Key factors in simulating the equatorial Atlantic zonal sea surface temperature gradient in a coupled general circulation model. JGR Oce., 116.
- Wahl, S., M. Latif, W. Park, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: On the Tropical Atlantic SST warm bias in the Kiel Climate Model, Clim. Dyn., 36, 891-906
- Keenlyside, N. S., and J. Ba, 2010: Prospects for decadal climate prediction, WIRES, 1, 627-635
- Semenov, V. A., M. Latif, D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Strehz, T. Martin, and W. Park, 2010: The Impact of North Atlantic-Arctic Multidecadal Variability on Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature. J. Clim., 23, 5668-5677.
- Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif, 2010: Equatorial Atlantic interannual variability: the role of heat content, JGR Oce., 115, C09020
- Lübbecke, J. F., C. W. Böning, N. S. Keenlyside, and S.-P. Xie, 2010: On the connection between Benguela and Equatorial Atlantic Niños and the role of the South Atlantic Anticyclone, JGR Oce., 115, C09015
- Lan, Y. Y., B. J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, S. L. Wang, C. T. A. Chen, B.J. Wang, and T.H Liu, 2010: Error estimations of dry deposition velocities of air pollutants using bulk sea surface temperature under common assumptions. Atm. Env., 44, 2532-2542
- Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T.N. Palmer, A. Alessandri, A. Arribas, M. Deque, N. Keenlyside, M. MacVean, A. Navarra, and P. Rogel, 2009: ENSEMBLES - a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions: Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs, GRL, 36, L21711
- Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R. J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Dixon, M. A. Giorgetta, A. Greene, E. Hawkins, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, & T. Stockdale, 2009: Decadal Prediction: Can it be skillful? BAMS, 90, 1467-1485
- Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. Weisheimer, M. Déqué, N. Keenlyside, M. McVean, J. Murphy, P. Rogel, D. Smith, T. N. Palmer, 2009: Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts, QJRMS, 135, 1538 - 1559
- Latif, M., W. Park, H. Ding, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Internal and External North Atlantic Sector Variability in the Kiel Climate Model, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18, 433-443
- Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif 2009: Seasonal cycle in the upper equatorial Atlantic Ocean, JGR., 114, C09016, doi:10.1029/2009JC005418
- Hodson, D. L. R., R. T. Sutton, C. Cassou, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okumura, and T. Zhou, 2009: Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A Multimodel comparison. Clim. Dyn., DOI - 10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2
- Zhou, T., R. Yu, J. Zhang, H. Drange, C. Cassou, C. Deser, D. L. R. Hodson, E. Sanchez-Gomez , J. Li, N. Keenlyside, X. Xin, Y. Okumura, 2009: Why the Western Pacific Subtropical High has Extended Westward since the Late 1970s?, J. Clim., 22, 2199–2215
- Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Will extra-tropical storms intensify in a warmer climate? J. Climate, 22, 2276–2301
- Jansen, M. F., D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside,2009: Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions in a Conceptual Framework, J. Clim., 22, 550–567
- Park, W., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Stroeh, R. Redler, E. Roeckner, G. Madec, 2009: Tropical Pacific Climate and its Response to Global Warming in the Kiel Climate Model, J. Clim., 22 (1), 71-92
- Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2009: El Niño/Southern Oscillation Response to Global Warming, PNAS, 20578-20583
- Sanchez-Gomez, E., C. Cassou, D. L. R. Hodson, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okmura, and T. Zhou, 2008: Multi-model signature of the Indian and Western Pacific oceans warming in the occurrence of the North Atlantic weather regimes, GRL., 35, L15706
- Keenlyside, N. S., M. Latif, J. Jungclaus, L. Kornblueh, and E. Roeckner, 2008: Advancing Decadal-Scale Climate Prediction in the North Atlantic Sector. Nature, 453, 84-88
- Matei, D., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Jungclaus, 2008: Subtropical Forcing of Tropical Pacific Climate and Decadal ENSO Modulation. J. Climate, 21, 4691-4709
- Hetzinger, S., M. Pfeiffer, W.-C. Dullo, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Zinke, 2008: Caribbean Brain Coral Tracks Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Past Hurricane Intensity. Geology, 36, 11-14
- Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, M. Esch, N. S. Keenlyside, L. Kornblueh, J.-J. Luo and T. Yamagata, 2007: How may Tropical Cyclones Change in a Warmer Climate? Tellus, 59A, 539-561
- Keenlyside, N., M. Latif, A. Dürkop, 2007: On Sub-ENSO variability. J. Clim., 20, 3452–3469
- Latif, M., N. Keenlyside, and J. Bader, 2007: Tropical Sea Surface Temperature, Vertical Wind Shear, and Hurricane Development, GRL, 34, L01710
- Keenlyside, N., and M. Latif, 2007: Understanding Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability, J. Clim., 20, 131-142
- Latif, M. M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2006: A Review of Predictability Studies of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Time Scales, J. Clim., 19, 5971–5987
- Latif, M., C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, J. Dengg, N. Keenlyside, and U. Schweckendiek, G. Madec, 2006: Is the Thermohaline Circulation Changing?, J. Clim., 19, 4631-4637
- Jungclaus, J. H., N. Keenlyside, M. Botzet, H. Haak, J.-J. Luo, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, U. Mikolajewicz, and E. Roeckner, 2006: Ocean Circulation and Tropical Variability in the Coupled Model ECHAM5/MPI-OM, J. Clim., 19, 3952-3972
- Wetzel, P., E. Maier-Reimer, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, N. Keenlyside, and M. Latif, 2006: Effects of Ocean Biology on the Penetrative Radiation in a Coupled Climate Model, J. Clim., 19, 3973-3987
- Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N. Keenlyside, 2005: Retrospective El Niño hindcasts/forecasts using an improved intermediate coupled model, Mon. Weath. Rev., 133, 2777-2802
- Keenlyside, N., M. Latif, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, and U. Schulzweida, 2005:A coupled method for initialising ENSO forecasts using SST, Tellus, 57A, 340-356
- Zhang, R.-H., R. Kleeman, S. E. Zebiak, N. Keenlyside, and S. Raynaud, 2005: An empirical parameterization of subsurface entrainment temperature for improved SST anomaly simulations in an intermediate ocean model, J. Clim., 18(2), 350-371
- Palmer, T.N., A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. Délécluse, M. Déqué, E. Díez, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F. Guérémy, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V. Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres and M. C. Thomson, 2004: Development of a European multimodel ensemble for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER), BAMS, 85(6), 853-872
- Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N. Keenlyside, 2003: A new intermediate coupled model for El Niño simulation and prediction, GRL, 30, 2012, doi:10.1029/2003GL018010
- Keenlyside, N., and R. Kleeman, 2002: Annual cycle of equatorial zonal currents in the Pacific, J. Geophys. Res., 107 (8), 10.1029/2000JC000711
- Arif, I., I. A. Newman, and N. Keenlyside, 1995: Theoretical paper: Proton flux measurements from tissues in buffered solution, Plant, Cell and Environment, 18,1319-1324
Book chapters (peer reviewed)
- Keenlyside, N., Y. Kosaka, N. Vigaud, A. Robertson, Y. Wang, D. Dommenget, J.-J. Luo, and D. Matei (2019), Basin Interactions and Predictability, in Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins: Observations, Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts, edited by C. R. Mechoso, Cambridge University Press.
- Duane, G. S., W. Wiegerinck, F. Selten, M.-L. Shen, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: Supermodeling: Synchronization of Alternative Dynamical Models of a Single Objective Process. Advances in Nonlinear Geosciences, A. A. Tsonis, Ed., Springer International Publishing, 101-121.
- Keenlyside, N. S., J. Ba, J. Mecking, N.-O. Omrani, M. Latif, R. Zhang, and R. Msadek, 2015: North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond, C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif, and M. Wallace, Eds., World Scientific Publishing.
- Latif, M., C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, F. Alvarez, N. S. Keenlyside, and H. Pohlmann, 2007: Decadal to Multidecadal Variability of the Atlantic MOC: Mechanisms and Predictability. In AGU Monograph 173 “Ocean Circulation: Mechanisms and Impacts – Past and Future Changes of Meridional Overturning”, A. Schmittner, J.C.H. Chiang, and S.R. Hemming (Eds.), 149 -166
Non-peer-reviewed publications
- Keenlyside, N. and I. Richter, 2022: Predictions of the Tropical Atlantic from Seasonal to Decadal Time Scales, CLIVAR Exchanges, 82, 47-54
- Keenlyside, N. and I. Richter, 2022: Long‑term Climate Change in the Tropical Atlantic, CLIVAR Exchanges, 82, 55-63
- Richter, I. and N. Keenlyside, 2021: Current status of TBI research and the way forward: Reflections on the WCRP-CLIVAR Workshop, CLIVAR Exchanges, 80, 2-7
- Ogawa, F. N.-E. Omrani, H. Nakamura, K. Nishii, N. Keenlyside, 2017: Impact of Oceanic Front on the Tropospheric Climatic Trend Induced by Ozone Depletion, CLIVAR Exchanges, 71, 37-42
- Keenlyside, N. and D. Dommenget, 2016: The Fingerprint of Global Warming in the Tropical Pacific. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 33, 533-534.
- Peings, Y., G. Magnusdottir, N.-E. Omrani, and N. Keenlyside, 2014, Can high latitude boundary forcings (ocean-ice-snow) improve predictability on seasonal and decadal time scales? Clivar Variations Newsletter, 12 (3), 18-23
- Keenlyside, N. and N.-E. Omrani, 2014: Has a warm North Atlantic contributed to recent European cold winters? Environmental Research Letters, 9, 061001.
- Keenlyside, N. S., 2011: Commentary on "Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change". International Journal of Forecasting, 27, 1000-1003.
- Murphy, J., V. Kattsov, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, J. Meehl, V. Mehta, H. Pohlmann, A. Scaife, D. Smith, 2009: Towards Prediction of Decadal Climate Variability and Change, White paper for World Climate Conference - 3
- Hurrell, J., T. Delworth, G. Danabasoglu, H. Drange, S. Griffies, N. Holbrook, B. Kirtman, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, G. Meehl, T. Palmer, H. Pohlmann, T. Rosati, R. Seager, D. Smith, R. Sutton, A. Timmermann, K. Trenberth, and J.Tribbia, 2009, Decadal Climate Prediction: Opportunities and Challenges, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
- Latif, M., T. Delworth, D. Dommenget, H. Drange, W. Hazeleger, J. Hurrell, N. Keenlyside, G. Meehl, and R. Sutton, 2009: Dynamics of Decadal Climate Variability and Implications for its Prediction, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
- N. Keenlyside, 2009: Clean air policy and Arctic warming, Nature Geosciences (News & Views), 2, 243 - 244
- N. Keenlyside, N. Omrani, K. Krüger, M. Latif and A. Scaife, 2008: Decadal predictability: How might the stratosphere be involved? SPARC Newsletter 31, 23-27
- Latif, M. M. Collins, R. J. Stouffer, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2004: The physical basis for prediction of Atlantic sector climate on decadal timescales, CLIVAR Exchanges 9, 6-8
Projects
Current
2022-2026, EU Horizon Europe, Impetus4Change (I4C): Improving Near-Term Climate Predictions For Societal Transformation
2022-2026, NFR CHINOR, Accelerated Arctic and Tibetan Plateau Warming: Processes and Combined Impact on Eurasian Climate (COMBINED)
2022-2026, BCCR strategic project, Proxy Assimilation for Reconstructing Climate and Improving Model (PARCIM)
2021-2025, EU H2020, NextGEMS - Next Generation Earth Modelling Systems
2020-2028, RCN SFI Climate Futures
2021-2023, EU H2020, MSCA IF BENGUP - Climate and marine-ecosystem predictions in the Angola-Benguela Upwelling System
2020-2023, JPI Climate JPI Oceans, The Role of Ocean Dynamics and Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions in Driving Climate Variations and Future Projections of Impact-Relevant Extreme Events (ROADMAP)
2020-2023, JPI Climate JPI Oceans, Improving the representation of small-scale nonlinear ocean-atmosphere interactions in Climate Models by an innovative joint observing and modelling approaches (EUREC4AOA)
2020-2023, Belmont Forum, Rapid Arctic environmental Changes: implications for well-being, resilience and Evolution of Arctic communities (RACE)
Previous projects that I have led
2023-2024, EU ERC Proof of Concept, Towards Operational Supermodel Climate Prediction (TOSCP)
2018-2024, Trond Mohn Foundation, Bjerknes Climate Prediction Unit (BCPU)
2019-2023, EU H2020, South and Tropical Atlantic Climate-Based Marine Ecosystem Prediction for Sustainable Management (TRIATLAS)
2021-2023, Russian MEGAGRANT, Climate predictability in Northern Eurasia: revealingmechanisms of variability to improve skill
2015-2021, ERC Consolidator Grant, Synchronisation to enhance reliability of climate prediction (STERCP)
2014-2016 NordForsk TRI, Impact of Future Cryospheric Changes on Northern Hemisphere. Climate, Green Growth and Society (GREENICE)
2013-2017 NFR, Enhancing seasonal-to-decadal Prediction Of Climate for the North Atlantic Sector and Arctic (EPOCASA)
2014-2017 EU FP7, Enhancing prediction of Tropical Atlantic climate and its impacts (PREFACE)
2008-2013 Emmy Noether research group funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG): "Mechanisms and predictability of North Atlantic Decadal Climate variability"
Kompetanse
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