Noel Sebastian Keenlyside
Position
Professor
Affiliation
Research groups
Research
New CLIVAR Exchanges Special Issue on Tropical Atlantic Ocean Observing System (TAOS)
Current research interest
- Decadal variability and predictability of climate
- Tropical interannual climate variability and predictability
- Extra-tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction
- Super climate modelling
- Climate-based predictions of marine ecosystems
Master projects
I can offer the following potential master thesis topics:
- Variability and predictability of the Atlantic Niño (Noel Keenlyside, Shunya Koseki)
- Atlantic decadal variability and prediction (Noel Keenlyside, Francois Counillon)
- Climate Services (Noel Keenlyside)
You can read more information here, or please contact me by email.
Five recent publications
- Schevenhoven, F., N. Keenlyside, .... (2023), Supermodeling: improving predictions with an ensemble of interacting models, BAMS, E1670–E1686
- Koseki, S., J. Tjiputra, F. Fransner, L. R. Crespo, and N. S. Keenlyside (2023), Disentangling the impact of Atlantic Niño on sea-air CO2 flux, Nature Communications, 14(1), 3649, 10.1038/s41467-023-38718-9.
- Fransner, F., A. Olsen, M. Årthun, F. Counillon, J. Tjiputra, A. Samuelsen, and N. Keenlyside, 2023: Phytoplankton abundance in the Barents Sea is predictable up to five years in advance. Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 141.
- Nnamchi, H. C., R. Farneti, N. S. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, M. Latif, A. Reintges, and T. Martin, 2023: Pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation linked to ocean circulation. Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 121
- Crespo, L. R., A. Prigent, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki, L. Svendsen, I. Richter, and E. Sánchez-Gómez (2022), Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming, Nat. Clim. Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01453-y
Book chapters
- Keenlyside, N., Y. Kosaka, N. Vigaud, A. Robertson, Y. Wang, D. Dommenget, J.-J. Luo, and D. Matei (2019), Basin Interactions and Predictability, in Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins: Observations, Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts, edited by C. R. Mechoso, Cambridge University Press.
- Keenlyside, N. S., J. Ba, J. Mecking, N.-O. Omrani, M. Latif, R. Zhang, and R. Msadek, 2015: North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond, C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif, and M. Wallace, Eds., World Scientific Publishing.
Teaching
Master projects
I can offer the following potential master thesis topics:
- Variability and predictability of the Atlantic Niño (Noel Keenlyside, Shunya Koseki)
- Atlantic decadal variability and prediction (Noel Keenlyside, Francois Counillon)
- Climate Services (Noel Keenlyside)
You can read more information here, or please contact me by email.
Courses
GEOF348: Advanced Climate Dynamics
Previous
GEOF327: The General Circulation of the Atmosphere
GEOF212: Physical Climatology
Publications
Academic lecture
- Nair, Akhilesh Sivaraman; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Improving subseasonal forecast skill in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model using soil moisture data assimilation. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Chiu, Ping-Gin (2024). Weakening of tropical Atlantic - Pacific interactions post 2000. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Isolating Tropical Pacific and Atlantic Interactions on Interannual Timescales. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Supermodelling to Improve Climate Prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Multi-annual predictions. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Supermodelling Towards Improved Climate Prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Advancing climate/marine-ecosystems predictions in the Tropical/South Atlantic,. (external link)
- Williams-Kerslake, Marianne; Langehaug, Helene R.; Samuelsen, Annette et al. (2024). Characterising Marine Heatwaves (MHWs) in the Arctic Region. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Singh, Tarkeshwar; Chiu, Ping-Gin et al. (2024). Supermodelling Towards Improved Climate Prediction. (external link)
- Singh, Tarkeshwar; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2024). Supermodelling towards improved climate prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). European Perspective on Climate Prediction and Services. (external link)
- Fransner, Sara Filippa Krusmynta; Olsen, Are; Årthun, Marius et al. (2023). Multiyear phytoplankton predictability in the Barents Sea. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Tropical Indian Ocean and its influences on ENSO and teleconnections to Africa. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Internal climate dynamics as a key source of recent Atlantic climate decadal variability. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Li, Fei (2023). Accelerated Arctic and Tibetan Plateau Warming: Opportunities and Challenges. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2023). Long coupled Earth System reanalysis with a focus on ocean and sea ice . (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2023). Climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM). (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Wang, Yiguo; Williams, Nicholas et al. (2023). Climate prediction in Norway “Bjerknes Climate Prediction Unit”. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2023). Supermodeling for improving the representation of climate variability. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Tropical Atlantic Forcing of Different ENSO Regimes. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Schevenhoven, Francine Janneke et al. (2023). Supermodeling for improving the representation of climate variability. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Bilge, Tarkan Aslan; Chiu, Ping-Gin et al. (2023). Atmospheric circulation key driver of observed regional sea level change. (external link)
- Fransner, Sara Filippa Krusmynta; Årthun, Marius; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2022). Skillful Prediction of Barents Sea Phytoplankton Concentration. (external link)
- Chandra, Ashneel; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Svendsen, Lea et al. (2022). Processes driving changes of heat in the upper equatorial Indian Ocean. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Seasonal Prediction of Sea Surface Temperatures in the North Atlantic Ocean and Norwegian Seas. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Ensemble approaches to enhance climate prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Driver of the recent decadal surface warming trend over northeastern Canada and Greenland. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). The Super Atlantic Niño of 2021. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Weakening of the Atlantic Niño under global warming. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Supermodelling – an interactive ensemble approach to improve predictions, Intellectual Exchange Talk. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Bonaduce, Antonio; Richter, Kristin et al. (2022). Sea Level Projection and Reconstruction Unit (SeaPR) highlight talk: Regional sea-level change attribution with NorESM experiments. (external link)
- Silva, Edson; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Brajard, Julien et al. (2022). Twenty-one years of Phytoplankton bloom phenology in the Barents, Norwegian and North seas. (external link)
- Koseki, Shunya; Crespo, Lander Rodriguez; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). An assessment of marine biogeochemical processes in the tropical Atlantic in NorESMs. (external link)
- Langehaug, Helene R.; Ortega, Pablo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential in the Northern North Atlantic. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Toniazzo, Thomas et al. (2021). Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Approaches to reduce model errors and enhance climate predictions. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Towards providing more reliable regional climate change projections. (external link)
- Wang, Shuo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2021). Recent development of a supermodel - an interactive multi- model ensemble. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Wang, Shuo; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2021). Application of supermodeling to Earth system modelling. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Towards next generation climate prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Next generation ensemble modelling. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Towards next generation climate prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2020). Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Li, Fei; Barthélémy, Sébastien et al. (2020). Approaches to reduce model biases and initialize high-resolution climate models. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel; Matthes, Katja et al. (2020). Damped multidecadal stratosphere/troposphere/Ocean-coupled oscillation as framework for northern hemisphere climate variability. (external link)
- Langehaug, Helene R.; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2020). Attribution of Predictive Skill Along the Atlantic Water Pathway. (external link)
- Kosaka, Yu; Taguchi, Bunmei; Keenlyside, Noel (2020). Pacific versus Atlantic Contributions to Multidecadal Variability in the Arctic: A Multi-Model Intercomparison. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2019). Assessing the contribution of ocean and sea ice initialization for seasonal prediction in the Arctic. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating SST data with the EnKF. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois et al. (2019). NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM). (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Kosaka, Yu et al. (2019). Pacific contribution to decadal temperature trends in the Arctic during the 20th century. (external link)
- Li, Fei; Orsolini, Yvan; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Impact of Snow Initialization in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Winter Forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Årthun, Marius; Bogstad, Bjarte; Daewel, Ute et al. (2019). Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Langehaug, Helene R. et al. (2018). Can we use flow dependent assimilation with a high resolution Earth System Model ?. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2018). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2018). Seasonal prediction skill in the tropical Atlantic using anomaly coupling. (external link)
- Koenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gastineau, Guillaume et al. (2018). Evaluating impacts of the Arctic sea ice loss and variation on the northern hemisphere climate. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois et al. (2018). Subtropical North Atlantic preconditioning key to skilful subpolar gyre prediction. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2018). Evaluating impacts of recent Arctic sea-ice loss on the northern hemisphere winter climate change. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Keenlyside, Noel (2018). Driver of the recent decadal warming over Greenland and Northern Canada. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Kimmritz, Madlen et al. (2018). Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bitz, Cecilia M. et al. (2018). Optimised assimilation of sea ice concentration and implications for climate prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2018). Tropical Atlantic model error and regional projections of climate change. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2017). Climate prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2017). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Gao, Yongqi; Ogilvie, Astrid; Leslie, King et al. (2017). Arctic Climate Predictions: Pathways to Resilient, Sustainable Societies . (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2017). Impact of Sea Ice/SST Changes for the Observed Climate Change. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2017). A coordinated multi-model study on the impacts of recent Arctic sea ice loss on northern hemisphere climate changes. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2017). A coordinated multi-model study on the impacts of recent Arctic sea ice loss on northern hemisphere climate changes. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Cheung, Ho Nam; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2017). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change -GREENICE project. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois et al. (2017). Climate prediction with the Norwegian model NorCPM. (external link)
- Koenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gustineau, Guillaume et al. (2017). Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemisphere land areas in multi-model ensemble simulations. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2017). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2016). Assimilating sea ice in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Luo, Fei-Fei; Sankar, Syam et al. (2016). The link between Atlantic multi-decadal variability and the Indian summer monsoon. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Luo, Fei-Fei; Sankar, Syam et al. (2016). External forcing as a source for the observed multi-decadal relation between AMV and the Indian summer monsoon. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2016). Importance of mid-latitude oceanic frontal zone and associated baroclinic eddies on the ozone-induced stratosphere/troposphere coupling. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2016). Data assimilation of sea ice within the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2015). Role of the Midlatitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed by Aqua Planet experiments. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2015). Potential Importance of a Midlatitude Oceanic Frontal Zone in the Annular-Mode Variability and Relevant Climate Change as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2015). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2015). The Indian Summer Monsoon and Atlantic Multi-decadal variability. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2015). Investigating the role of the Atlantic and Pacific in the early 20th century warming. (external link)
- Hviding, Edvard; Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The Pacific Ocean as a climate change frontline: Anthropology and Meteorology. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2014). Seasonal-to-decadal prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2014). Seasonal to decadal prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2014). Seasonal to decadal prediction with NorCPM. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2014). The influence of Atlantic multi-decadal variability on the Indian summer monsoon. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2013). Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experiment. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2013). Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experiment. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel (2013). Weakening AMOC connects equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Omrani, N.; Keenlyside, Noel; Bader, Jürgen et al. (2013). THE IMPORTANCE OF THE STRATOSPHERE FOR WINTERTIME ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO ATLANTIC MULTI-DECADAL VARIABILITY. (external link)
- Omrani, N.; Keenlyside, Noel; Bader, Jürgen et al. (2013). THE IMPORTANCE OF THE STRATOSPHERE FOR WINTERTIME ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO ATLANTIC MULTI-DECADAL VARIABILITY. (external link)
- Ding, H.; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, M. et al. (2013). SENSITIVITY OF EQUATORIAL ATLANTIC VARIABILITY TO MEAN STATE BIASES. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils Gunnar; Keenlyside, Noel (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Hetzinger, Steffen et al. (2013). Multi-decadal variability in Atlantic SST and Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall in proxy records. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Gulev, S.K.; Latif, M. et al. (2012). NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN CONTROL ON SURFACE HEAT FLUX AT MULTIDECADAL TIMESCALES. (external link)
- Ding, H.; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, M. et al. (2012). SENSITIVITY OF EQUATORIAL ATLANTIC VARIABILITY TO MEAN STATE BIASES. (external link)
- Kvamstø, Nils G; Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel (2012). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Ba, J.; Mecking, J. et al. (2012). North Atlantic Decadal-to-Multidecadal Variability - Mechanism and Predictability. (external link)
- Tseng, W.L.; Tsuang, B.J.; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2012). OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTION KEY ASPECT OF THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2012). Near-term climate prediction: new opportunities and challenge. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2012). Near-term climate prediction: new opportunities and challenge. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Meng, Q.; Latif, M. et al. (2012). Twentieth century Walker Circulation change: data analysis and model experiments. (external link)
- Tseng, W.L.; Tsuang, B.J.; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2012). The role of the stratosphere in decadal climate variability in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere in winter. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Bentsen, Mats et al. (2012). Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Gulev, S.K.; Latif, M. et al. (2012). ATLANTIC OCEAN CONTROL ON SURFACE HEAT FLUX AT MULTIDECADAL TIMESCALES. (external link)
Popular scientific lecture
- Diaz, Esperanza; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Could the sea be the key to pandemic preparedness. (external link)
- Nair, Akhilesh Sivaraman; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Improving sub-seasonal prediction skill of NorCPM using soil moisture assimilation. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Climate predictions: Pathways to resilient, sustainable societies. (external link)
- Fransner, Filippa; Keenlyside, Noel; Årthun, Marius (2020). Forecasting the Ocean - from temperature to fish. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Impact of global warming on tropical cyclones, The Rising Ocean: The Pacific Islands and Global Climate Change. (external link)
Poster
- Vilela, Isabelle; Veleda, Doris; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). A dynamical perspective of the extreme rainfall event over eastern Northeast Brazil in May, 2022. (external link)
- Vilela, Isabelle; Veleda, Doris; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2024). A dynamical perspective of the extreme rainfall event over eastern Northeast Brazil in May, 2022. (external link)
- Nair, Akhilesh Sivaraman; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Improving subseasonal prediction with land data assimilation in NorCPM. (external link)
- Nair, Akhilesh Sivaraman; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Improving subseasonal prediction with land surface initialisation in NorCPM . (external link)
- Chandra, Ashneel; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Svendsen, Lea et al. (2022). INTRASEASONAL OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VARIATIONS IN THE TROPICAL INDIAN OCEAN. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Lubis, Sandro W.; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2022). The key role of ocean-induced non-conservative processes in Northern Hemisphere stratospheric response to climate changes. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Muilwijk, Morven et al. (2022). Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends during the 20th century . (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Matthes, Katja et al. (2022). Coupled stratosphere-troposphere Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). Coupled reanalyses of NorCPM1 contributed to CMIP6 DCPP. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2021). Anomaly assimilation of hydrographic profile data with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM). (external link)
- Chandra, Ashneel; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Svendsen, Lea et al. (2021). Intraseasonal variations of Ocean Heat Content in the tropical Indian and Pacific Ocean. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Pariyar, Sunil Kumar; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2021). Seasonal prediction in northern Atlantic Ocean and Norwegian Seas. (external link)
- Fransner, Sara Filippa Krusmynta; Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). Predictability of Barents Sea Phytoplankton Concentration. (external link)
- Schevenhoven, Francine Janneke; Wang, Shuo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels. (external link)
- Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Chiu, Ping-Gin (2021). Understanding intrinsic ocean variability by suppressing regional stochastic variability. (external link)
- Silva, Edson; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Brajard, Julien et al. (2021). Phytoplankton bloom phenology along the Norwegian continental shelf. (external link)
- Orsolini, Yvan J.; Li, Fei; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2020). Subseasonal-to-seasonal Winter Forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model: Role of Snow-Atmosphere Coupling at High Latitudes. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2019). Sensitivity of decadal climate predictions in the North Atlantic to anomaly initialisation choices. (external link)
- Li, Fei; Orsolini, Yvan; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Impact of snow initialisation in subseasonal-to-seasonal winter forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2018). Relating model bias and prediction skill in the tropical Atlantic. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2018). Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Årthun, Marius; Kolstad, Erik Wilhelm; Eldevik, Tor et al. (2018). Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2018). A minimalistic damped harmonic oscillator framework for assessing decadal climate predictability in the Subpolar North Atlantic. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and its impacts for climate prediction. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bitz, Cecilia m. et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and impacts for climate prediction. (external link)
- Koenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gastineau, Guillaume et al. (2018). The impact of the Arctic sea ice loss and variation on lower latitudes. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2018). Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and its impacts for climate prediction . (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2018). Seasonal-to-decadal prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belén; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). Does the impact of Atlantic Niños on the Indian summer monsoon depend on the background state?. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2016). Extratropical frontal- and meso-scale air-sea interaction: Impact of oceanic front on the northern hemispheric coupled stratosphere/troposphere-system. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2016). Extratropical frontal- and meso- scale air-sea interaction: Impact of oceanic front on the ozone-induced stratosphere/troposphere coupling of the Southern Annular Mode. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2016). Investigating the Role of the Atlantic and Pacific in the Early 20th Century Warming. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2015). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2015). Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change –GREENICE project–. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Gao, Yongqi; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2015). Role of the Midlatitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulic, Ivana; Kucharski, Fred et al. (2015). Northern Hemisphere atmospheric response to tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly in late autumn. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Shen, Mao-Lin; Selten, Frank et al. (2015). Climate change projection with reduced model systematic error over tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2014). Role of the Mid-latitude Oceanic Front in the Ozone-induced Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere as Revealed in Aqua Planet Experiments. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2014). The role of the mid-latitude oceanic front in the ozone-induced climate change in the Southern Hemisphere as revealed in aqua planet experiments. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2014). Marine-based multiproxy reconstruction of Atlantic multidecadal variability. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2013). Marine-based multi-proxy reconstruction of Atlantic multi-decadal variability. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel (2012). Simulated response of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation to a weakening Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in the Bergen Climate Model. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Smedsrud, Lars Henrik; Keenlyside, Noel (2012). Seasonal changes in Arctic sea ice – atmosphere interaction. (external link)
- Mecking, Jennifer; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2012). Marine proxy and model links between the extra-tropical North Pacific and North Atlantic on decadal timescales. (external link)
- Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Selten, Frank et al. (2012). Wim Wiegerinck, Reducing Model Systematic Error through Super Modellin. (external link)
Lecture
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Tropical Basin Interactions on seasonal to decadal timescale. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Supermodelling – a new approach to reduce model biases and improve prediction. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Updates from the CLIVAR Tropical Basin Interaction Focus. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2023). NorCPM – status and plans for CMIP7. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2022). Process level characterization of Earth System Model diversity using observations and AIML based emulators: A case study using E3SM and NorESM. . (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Wang, Shuo et al. (2022). Supermodeling for improving the representation of climate variability. (external link)
- Berx, Barbara; Henley, Sean; Høyer, Jacob et al. (2021). Debate on Ocean Connections from the Arctic across the globe. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Matthes, Katja et al. (2021). Understanding the multidecadal Northern Hemisphere climate variability from the perspective of stratosphere/troposphere/Atlantic coupled oscillation. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2019). The role of model bias for prediction skill and methods to constrain it. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2019). Status of climate prediction and future challenges: a perspective from Norway. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2019). Recent developments of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model for seasonal to decadal predictions. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Barthélémy, Sébastien et al. (2019). Enhancing the skill of dynamical climate prediction: Avenue explored with the NorCPM. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2018). Development and current S2D prediction skill of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model . (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2018). Dynamical climate predictions at the Bjerknes Center. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Wang, Yiguo et al. (2018). Enhanced skill of dynamical prediction in the Arctic. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulic, Ivana; Kucharski, Fred et al. (2017). Interannual tropical Pacific SST anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere in November. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Kimmritz, Madlen et al. (2016). Reanalysis and climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model . (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2016). Reanalysis and climate prediction with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model . (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2016). Flow dependent assimilation of SST in isopycnal coordinate with the NorCPM. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The North Atlantic Ocean role in shaping regional climate change. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM) and Pacemaker experiments. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Linking Barents Kara sea ice in autumn to the winter atmospheric circulation. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Mid-Latitude Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Chang, Chuing-Wen June; Tseng, Wan-Ling et al. (2015). The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a Warming World. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel (2015). The super model approach to climate projections for the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere.. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere.. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. (external link)
Academic article
- Nair, Akhilesh Sivaraman; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2024). Improving subseasonal forecast skill in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model using soil moisture data assimilation. (external link)
- Garcia-Oliva, Lilian Carolina; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2024). Intercomparison of initialization methods for seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions with the NorCPM. (external link)
- Paolini, Luca Famooss; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Bellucci, Alessio et al. (2024). Nonstationarity in the NAO–Gulf Stream SST Front Interaction. (external link)
- Ogilvie, Astrid; King, Lesley A.; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2024). Recent Ventures in Interdisciplinary Arctic Research: The ARCPATH Project. (external link)
- Wu, Jia; Fan, Hanjie; Lin, Shuheng et al. (2024). Boosting effect of strong western pole of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the decay of El Niño events. (external link)
- Tomety, Folly Serge; Illig, Serena; Ostrowski, Marek et al. (2024). Long-term climatological trends driving the recent warming along the Angolan and Namibian coasts. (external link)
- Sarre, Abdoulaye; Demarcq, Hervé; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2024). Climate change impacts on small pelagic fish distribution in Northwest Africa: trends, shifts, and risk for food security. (external link)
- Drews, Annika; Schmith, Torben; Tian, Tian et al. (2024). The Crucial Role of the Subpolar North Atlantic for Skillful Decadal Climate Predictions. (external link)
- Zheng, Yanxin; Li, Shuangling; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2024). Projecting Spring Consecutive Rainfall Events in the Three Gorges Reservoir Based on Triple-Nested Dynamical Downscaling. (external link)
- Chandra, Ashneel; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Svendsen, Lea et al. (2024). Processes Driving Subseasonal Variations of Upper Ocean Heat Content in the Equatorial Indian Ocean. (external link)
- Steenbeek, Jeroen; Ortega, Pablo; Bernardello, Raffaele et al. (2024). Making Ecosystem Modeling Operational–A Novel Distributed Execution Framework to Systematically Explore Ecological Responses to Divergent Climate Trajectories. (external link)
- Koseki, Shunya; Crespo, Lander Rodriguez; Tjiputra, Jerry et al. (2024). Assessing the tropical Atlantic biogeochemical processes in the Norwegian Earth System Model. (external link)
- Li, Ke-Xin; Zheng, Fei; Zhu, Jiang et al. (2024). Advancing annual global mean surface temperature prediction to 2 months lead using physics based strategy. (external link)
- Semenov, Vladimir A.; Aldonina, Tatiana A.; Li, Fei et al. (2024). Arctic Sea Ice Variations in the First Half of the 20th Century: A New Reconstruction Based on Hydrometeorological Data. (external link)
- Imbol Koungue, Rodrigue Anicet; Brandt, Peter; Prigent, Arthur et al. (2024). Drivers and impact of the 2021 extreme warm event in the tropical Angolan upwelling system. (external link)
- Boljka, Lina; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). Identifying quasi-periodic variability using multivariate empirical mode decomposition: a case of the tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Schevenhoven, Francine Janneke; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2023). Supermodeling: Improving Predictions with an Ensemble of Interacting Models. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C.; Farneti, Riccardo; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2023). Pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation linked to ocean circulation. (external link)
- Koseki, Shunya; Tjiputra, Jerry; Fransner, Sara Filippa Krusmynta et al. (2023). Disentangling the impact of Atlantic Niño on sea-air CO<inf>2</inf> flux. (external link)
- Fransner, Sara Filippa Krusmynta; Olsen, Are; Årthun, Marius et al. (2023). Phytoplankton abundance in the Barents Sea is predictable up to five years in advance. (external link)
- Cheung, Ho Nam; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ogawa, Fumiaki et al. (2023). Pacific oceanic front amplifies the impact of Atlantic oceanic front on North Atlantic blocking. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Wang, Shuo et al. (2023). Framework for an Ocean-Connected Supermodel of the Earth System. (external link)
- Shin, S.J.; Yeh, S.W.; An, S.I. et al. (2023). Southern Ocean Control of 2°C Global Warming in Climate Models. (external link)
- Tseng, Wan-Ling; Lee, Yu-Chi; Wang, Yi-Chi et al. (2023). Characterizing Atlantic interhemispheric teleconnection established by South American monsoon in austral summer. (external link)
- Rivas Camargo, David Alberto; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian (2023). On dynamical downscaling of ENSO-induced oceanic anomalies off Baja California Peninsula, Mexico: role of the air-sea heat flux. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Li, Camille (2023). ENSO teleconnections in terms of non-NAO and NAO atmospheric variability. (external link)
- Babanov, B.A.; Semenov, V.A.; Akperov, M.G. et al. (2023). Occurrence of Winter Atmospheric Circulation Regimes in Euro-Atlantic Region and Associated Extreme Weather Anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere. (external link)
- Cheung, Ho-Nam; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Koenigk, Torben et al. (2022). Assessing the influence of sea surface temperature and arctic sea ice cover on the uncertainty in the boreal winter future climate projections. (external link)
- Hermanson, Leon; Smith, Doug; Seabrook, Melissa et al. (2022). WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update A Prediction for 2021-25. (external link)
- Rodriguez Crespo, Lander; Rodríguez-Fonseca, María Belén; Polo, Irene et al. (2022). Multidecadal variability of ENSO in a recharge oscillator framework. (external link)
- Pariyar, Sunil Kumar; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Tseng, Wan-Ling et al. (2022). The role of air–sea coupling on November–April intraseasonal rainfall variability over the South Pacific. (external link)
- Rodriguez Crespo, Lander; Prigent, Arthur; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2022). Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming. (external link)
- Payne, Mark R.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2022). Skilful decadal-scale prediction of fish habitat and distribution shifts. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Matthes, Katja et al. (2022). Coupled stratosphere-troposphere-Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection. (external link)
- Athanasiadis, Panos J.; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine et al. (2022). Mitigating climate biases in the midlatitude North Atlantic by increasing model resolution: SST gradients and their relation to blocking and the jet. (external link)
- Nkwinkwa, Arielle Stela Imbol; Rouault, Mathieu; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian et al. (2021). Impact of the Agulhas Current on Southern Africa Precipitation: A Modeling Study. (external link)
- Silva, Edson; Counillon, François; Brajard, Julien et al. (2021). Twenty-One Years of Phytoplankton Bloom Phenology in the Barents, Norwegian, and North Seas. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Muilwijk, Morven et al. (2021). Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends in the Arctic during the twentieth century. (external link)
- Langehaug, Helene R.; Ortega, Pablo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and Their Predictive Potential along the Atlantic Water Pathway. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2021). Diabatic heating governs the seasonality of the Atlantic Niño. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Toniazzo, Thomas et al. (2021). Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic. (external link)
- Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois Stephane et al. (2021). NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. (external link)
- Akinsanola, Akintomide Afolayan; Zhou, Wen; Zhou, Tianjun et al. (2020). Amplification of synoptic to annual variability of West African summer monsoon rainfall under global warming. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2020). A Satellite Era Warming Hole in the Equatorial Atlantic Ocean. (external link)
- Luo, Hao; Zheng, Fei; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2020). Ocean–atmosphere coupled Pacific Decadal variability simulated by a climate model. (external link)
- Yang, Xiao-Ying; Wang, Guihua; Keenlyside, Noel (2020). The Arctic sea ice extent change connected to Pacific decadal variability. (external link)
- López-Parages, Jorge; Auger, Pierre-Amaël; Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belén et al. (2020). El Niño as a predictor of round sardinella distribution along the northwest African coast. (external link)
- Smith, Doug M.; Scaife, Adam A; Eade, Rosie et al. (2020). North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. (external link)
- Pariyar, Sunil Kumar; Keenlyside, Noel; Sorteberg, Asgeir et al. (2020). Factors affecting extreme rainfall events in the South Pacific. (external link)
- Kimmritz, Madlen; Counillon, Francois; Smedsrud, Lars H. et al. (2019). Impact of ocean and sea ice initialisation on seasonal prediction skill in the Arctic. (external link)
- Jia, Fan; Cai, Wenju; Wu, Lixin et al. (2019). Weakening Atlantic Niño-Pacific connection under greenhouse warming. (external link)
- Wohland, Jan; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Significant multidecadal variability in German wind energy generation. (external link)
- Wohland, Jan; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Witthaut, Dirk et al. (2019). Inconsistent Wind Speed Trends in Current Twentieth Century Reanalyses. (external link)
- Yan, Youfang; Svendsen, Lea; Wang, Chunzai et al. (2019). A North-South Contrast of Subsurface Salinity Anomalies in the Northwestern Pacific From 2002 to 2013. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Nakamura, Hisashi et al. (2019). Key Role of the Ocean Western Boundary currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate. (external link)
- Cai, Wenju; Wu, Lixin; Lengaigne, Matthieu et al. (2019). Pantropical climate interactions. (external link)
- Schevenhoven, Francine Janneke; Selten, Frank; Carrassi, Alberto et al. (2019). Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels. (external link)
- Voldoire, Aurore; Exarchou, Eleftheria; Sánchez-Gómez, Emilia et al. (2019). Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the tropical Atlantic. (external link)
- Li, Fei; Orsolini, Yvan; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2019). Impact of snow initialization in subseasonal-to-seasonal winter forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. (external link)
- Wu, Chau-Ron; Lin, Yong-Fu; Wang, You-Lin et al. (2019). An Atlantic-driven rapid circulation change in the North Pacific Ocean during the late 1990s. (external link)
- Collins, Matthew; Minobe, Shoshiro; Barreiro, Marcelo et al. (2018). Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulic, Ivana; Blade, Ileana et al. (2018). Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro-Atlantic sector. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2018). Pacific contribution to the early twentieth-century warming in the Arctic. (external link)
- Hand, Ralf; Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine et al. (2018). The role of local sea surface temperature pattern changes in shaping climate change in the North Atlantic sector. (external link)
- Årthun, Marius; Bogstad, Bjarte; Daewel, Ute et al. (2018). Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. . (external link)
- Tchipalanga, Pedro C.M.; Dengler, Marcus; Brandt, Peter et al. (2018). Eastern boundary circulation and hydrography off Angola building Angolan oceanographic capacities. (external link)
- Nkwinkwa Njouodo, Arielle Stela; Koseki, Shunya; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2018). Atmospheric signature of the Agulhas current. (external link)
- Köenigk, Torben; Gao, Yongqi; Gastineau, Guillaume et al. (2018). Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemispheric land areas. (external link)
- Luo, Feifei; Li, Shuanglin; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2018). The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon since the Industrial Revolution is intrinsic to the climate system. (external link)
- Rodriguez Crespo, Lander; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya (2018). The role of the sea surface temperature in the atmospheric seasonal cycle of the equatorial Atlantic. (external link)
- Koseki, Shunya; Pohl, Benjamin; Bhatt, Bhuwan Chandra et al. (2018). Insights into the Summer Diurnal Cycle over Eastern South Africa. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2018). Evaluating Impacts of Recent Arctic Sea Ice Loss on the Northern Hemisphere Winter Climate Change. (external link)
- Cheung, Ho Nam; Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine et al. (2018). Remarkable link between projected uncertainties of Arctic sea-ice decline and winter Eurasian climate. (external link)
- Årthun, Marius; Kolstad, Erik Wilhelm; Eldevik, Tor et al. (2018). Time Scales and Sources of European Temperature Variability. (external link)
- Zanchettin, Davide; Gaetan, Carlo; Arisido, Maeregu Woldeyes et al. (2017). Structural decomposition of decadal climate prediction errors: A Bayesian approach. (external link)
- Richter, Ingo; Doi, Takeshi; Behera, Swadhin K et al. (2017). On the link between mean state biases and prediction skill in the tropics: an atmospheric perspective. (external link)
- Koseki, Shunya; Keenlyside, Noel; Demissie, Teferi Dejene et al. (2017). Causes of the large warm bias in the Angola–Benguela Frontal Zone in the Norwegian Earth System Model. (external link)
- Årthun, Marius; Eldevik, Tor; Viste, Ellen et al. (2017). Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean. (external link)
- Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Bhatt, Bhuwan Chandra et al. (2017). Role of atmosphere-ocean interactions in supermodeling the tropical Pacific climate. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Herceg-Bulić, Ivana; Kucharski, Fred et al. (2017). Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nakamura, Hisashi et al. (2017). Impact of Oceanic Front on the Tropospheric Climatic Trend Induced by Ozone Depletion. (external link)
- Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2017). Optimising assimilation of hydrographic profiles into isopycnal ocean models with ensemble data assimilation. (external link)
- Tseng, Wan-Ling; Hsu, Huang-Hsiung; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2017). Effects of surface orography and land-sea contrast on the Madden-Julian oscillation in the maritime continent: A numerical study using ECHAM5-SIT. (external link)
- Luo, Feifei; Li, Shuanglin; Gao, Yongqi et al. (2017). The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon in the CMIP5 models. (external link)
- Sillmann, Jana; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2017). Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Kucharski, Fred; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2017). Analogous seasonal evolution of the South Atlantic SST dipole indices. (external link)
- Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Demissie, Teferi Dejene et al. (2017). Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Bethke, Ingo et al. (2016). Flow-dependent assimilation of sea surface temperature in isopycnal coordinates with the Norwegian climate prediction model . (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C.; Li, Jianping; Kucharski, Fred et al. (2016). An equatorial-extratropical dipole structure of the Atlantic Niño. (external link)
- Mohino, Elsa; Keenlyside, Noel; Pohlmann, Holger (2016). Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack thereof) come from?. (external link)
- Mechoso, Carlos R.; Losada, Teresa; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2016). Can reducing the incoming energy flux over the Southern Ocean in a CGCM improve its simulation of tropical climate?. (external link)
- Cabos, William; Sein, Dmitry V.; Pinto, Joaquim G. et al. (2016). The South Atlantic Anticyclone as a key player for the representation of the tropical Atlantic climate in coupled climate models. (external link)
- Shen, Mao-Lin; Keenlyside, Noel; Selten, Frank et al. (2016). Dynamically combining climate models to "supermodel" the tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Viste, Ellen et al. (2016). The El Niño effect on Ethiopian summer rainfall. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Bader, Jürgen; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). Troposphere–stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model. (external link)
- Reintges, Annika; Martin, Thomas; Latif, Mojib et al. (2016). Uncertainty in twenty-first century projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Dommenget, Dietmar (2016). The fingerprint of global warming in the Tropical Pacific. (external link)
- Dieppois, Bastien; Pohl, Benjamin; Rouault, Mathieu et al. (2016). Interannual to interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections. (external link)
- Ding, Hui; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, Mojib et al. (2015). The impact of mean state errors on equatorial Atlantic interannual variability in a climate model. (external link)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Nishii, Kazuaki et al. (2015). Ozone-induced climate change propped up by the Southern Hemisphere oceanic front. (external link)
- Nnamchi, Hyacinth C; Li, Jianping; Kucharski, Fred et al. (2015). Thermodynamic controls of the Atlantic Niño. (external link)
- Chang, Chiung-Wen June; Tseng, Wan-Ling; Huang-Hsiung, Hsu et al. (2015). The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a warmer world. (external link)
- Mecking, Jennifer V.; Keenlyside, Noel; Greatbatch, Richard J. (2015). Multiple timescales of stochastically forced North Atlantic Ocean variability: A model study. (external link)
- King, Martin Peter; Hell, Momme; Keenlyside, Noel (2015). Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. (external link)
- Ba, Jin; Keenlyside, Noel; Latif, Mojib et al. (2014). A multi-model comparison of Atlantic multidecadal variability. (external link)
- Tseng, Wan-Ling; Tsuang, Ben-Jei; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2014). Resolving the upper-ocean warm layer improves the simulation of the Madden-Julian oscillation. (external link)
- Gao, Yongqi; Sun, Jianqi; Li, Fei et al. (2014). Arctic sea ice and Eurasian climate: A review. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Hetzinger, Steffen; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2014). Marine-based multiproxy reconstruction of Atlantic multidecadal variability. (external link)
- Counillon, Francois; Bethke, Ingo; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2014). Seasonal-to-decadal predictions with the ensemble kalman filter and the Norwegian earth System Model: A twin experiment. (external link)
- Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel; Hodges, Kevin I. et al. (2014). An inter-hemispheric comparison of the tropical storm response to global warming. (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Keenlyside, Noel; Bader, Jürgen et al. (2014). Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions. (external link)
- Mecking, J. V.; Keenlyside, Noel; Greatbatch, R. J. (2014). Stochastically-forced multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a model study. (external link)
- Hand, Ralf; Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine et al. (2014). Simulated response to inter-annual SST variations in the Gulf Stream region. (external link)
- Ba, Jin; Keenlyside, Noel; Park, Wonsun et al. (2013). A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. (external link)
- Gulev, Sergey K.; Latif, Mojib; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2013). North Atlantic Ocean control on surface heat flux on multidecadal timescales. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Kvamstø, Nils G; Keenlyside, Noel (2013). Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Ding, Hui; Latif, Mojib (2013). Potential of equatorial Atlantic variability to enhance El Niño prediction. (external link)
- Pohlmann, Holger; Smith, Doug M.; Balmaseda, Magdalena A. et al. (2013). Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system. (external link)
- Hetzinger, Steffen; Halfar, Jochen; Mecking, Jennifer V. et al. (2012). Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic climate. (external link)
Doctoral dissertation
- Silva, Edson; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Brajard, Julien et al. (2023). Prediction of Harmful Alage Blooms impacting Shellfish Farms in Norway. (external link)
- Rodriguez Crespo, Lander; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya et al. (2019). Ocean-atmosphere interactions in the tropical Atlantic seasonal cycle and multidecadal variability of ENSO. (external link)
- Gleixner, Stephanie Nikola; Keenlyside, Noel (2017). Impacts of the Walker-Circulation on inter-annual Ethiopian rainfall variability and future changes in tropical cyclones. (external link)
- Svendsen, Lea; Keenlyside, Noel; Gao, Yongqi (2016). Impacts of Atlantic multi-decadal variability on the Indo-Pacific and Northern Hemisphere climate. (external link)
Academic literature review
- O'Kane, Terence J.; Scaife, Adam A.; Kushnir, Yochanan et al. (2023). Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions. (external link)
- Pariyar, Sunil Kumar; Keenlyside, Noel; Bhatt, Bhuwan Chandra et al. (2019). The dominant patterns of intraseasonal rainfall variability in May-October and November-April over the tropical western Pacific. (external link)
- Foltź, Gregory R.; Brandt, Peter; Richter, Ingo et al. (2019). The tropical Atlantic observing system. (external link)
- Lubbecke, Joke F; Rodriguez-Fonseca, Belén; Richter, Ingo et al. (2018). Equatorial Atlantic variability?Modes, mechanisms, and global teleconnections. (external link)
- Bellucci, Alessio; Haarsma, Reindert J.; Bellouin, Nicolas et al. (2015). Advancements in decadal climate predictability: The role of nonoceanic drivers. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Omrani, Nour-Eddine (2014). Has a warm North Atlantic contributed to recent European cold winters?. (external link)
Errata
- Cheung, Ho-Nam; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Koenigk, Torben et al. (2022). Correction to: Assessing the influence of sea surface temperature and arctic sea ice cover on the uncertainty in the boreal winter future climate projections (Climate Dynamics, (2022), 59, 1-2, (433-454), 10.1007/s00382-022-06136-0). (external link)
- Omrani, Nour-Eddine; Ogawa, Fumiaki; Nakamura, Hisashi et al. (2020). Author Correction: Key Role of the Ocean Western Boundary currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate (Scientific Reports, (2019), 9, 1, (3014), 10.1038/s41598-019-39392-y). (external link)
Academic chapter/article/Conference paper
- Ogilvie, Astrid; Gao, Yongqi; Einarsson, Níels et al. (2020). The ARCPATH Project: Assessing Risky Environments and Rapid Change: Research on Climate, Adaptation and Coastal Communities in the North Atlantic Arctic. (external link)
- Yang, Shuting; Gao, Yongqi; Koenigk, Torben et al. (2020). The Climate Model: An ARCPATH Tool to Understand and Predict Climate Change. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Kosaka, Yu; Vigaud, Nicholas et al. (2020). Basin Interactions and predictability. (external link)
- Schevenhoven, Francine Janneke; Selten, Frank; Carrassi, Alberto et al. (2019). Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels. . (external link)
- Duane, Gregory; Wiegerinck, Wim; Selten, Frank et al. (2018). Supermodeling: Synchronization of Alternative Dynamical Models of a Single Objective Process. (external link)
- Keenlyside, Noel; Ba, Jin; Mecking, Jennifer V. et al. (2015). North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. (external link)
Website (informational material)
- Kong, Yuen Man; Keenlyside, Noel (2020). Nansen Tutu TRIATLAS Summer School on Ocean, Climate, and Marine Ecosystems. (external link)
- Ladstein, Miriam Ylvasdatter; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Pariyar, Sunil Kumar (2019). Why is the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) important for Pacific Island countries?. (external link)
Report
- Planque, Benjamin; Carroll, JoLynn; Fransner, Filippa et al. (2020). Best practices for ecological model evaluation I : Workshop Report. (external link)
- Billeau, Sebastien; Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel et al. (2016). IMPACT OF CHANGING THE ASSIMILATION CYCLE: CENTERED VS STAGGERED, SNAPSHOT VS MONTHLY AVERAGED . (external link)
Popular scientific article
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Submitted manuscripts
- Yin, M., X.-Q. Yang, L. Sun, L. Tao, N. Keenlyside, Amplified wintertime Arctic warming causes Eurasian cooling via nonlinear feedback of suppressed synoptic eddy activities, submitted
- Noleto-Filho, E., F. Keppeler, J. A. Reis-Filho, T. Giarrizzo, N. Keenlyside, A. Carvalho, Adriana, M. Coll, J. Steenbeek, R. Angelini, FoodWebAI: Creating and augmenting food webs with natural language models, submitted
- Bachèlery, M.-L., J. Brajard, M. Patacchiola, S. Illig, N. Keenlyside, Predicting Atlantic and 1 Benguela Niño events with deep learning, submitted
- Tian, F., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, P. Fernández, S. Koseki, F. Li (2024) Resolution-Dependent Sensitivity of Tropical Precipitation and Latent Heat Flux in the NorESM Model, submitted to JAMES, submitted
- Cai, W., .... , N.S. Keenlyside et al. Impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on African climate, submitted
- Rodriguez-Fonseca, B., ... N. Keenlyside, ... ENSO Impact on marine ecosystems and fisheries in the tropical and South Atlantic, NREE, submitted
- Omrani, N.-E., S. W. Lubis, N. Keenlyside, F. Ogawa Response of Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar night jet to climate change: key role of tropical Ocean and diffusive mixing, submitted
- Rodrıguez-Fonseca, B., I. Polo, E. Mohino, T. Losada, M. Martın-Rey, C.R. Mechoso, N. Keenlyside Multidecadal Modulation of Tropical Atlantic Impacts on ENSO, submitted
- Crespo, L. R., S. Koseki, N. Keenlyside and Y.-C. He Thermodynamic ocean-atmosphere interactions control the equatorial Atlantic seasonal cycle, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science: submitted.
Peer-reviewed
- Richter, I., N. Keenlyside, T. Tozuka, Y. Okumura, C. Wang, P. Chang, S. Kido, and H. Tokinaga (2024) Comment on “Resolving the Tropical Pacific/Atlantic Interaction 1 Conundrum” by Feng Jiang et al. (2023),GRL, accepted
- Nair, A.S., F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, (2024) Improving subseasonal forecast skill in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model using soil moisture data assimilation. Clim Dyn 62, 10483–10502 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07444-3
- Koseki, S., Crespo, L. R., Tjiputra, J., Fransner, F., Keenlyside, N. S., Rivas, D. (2024) Assessing the tropical Atlantic biogeochemical processes in the Norwegian Earth System Model, Biogeosciences, 21, 4149–4168, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4149-2024
- Drews, A., Schmith, T., Tian, T., Wang, Y., Devilliers, M., Keenlyside, N. S., et al. (2024). The crucial role of the subpolar North Atlantic for skillful decadal climate predictions. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL109415. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109415
- Tomety, F. S., S. Illig, M. Ostrowski, F. M. Awo, M.-L. Bachèlery, N. Keenlyside, and M. Rouault (2024), Long-term climatological trends driving the recent warming along the Angolan and Namibian coasts. Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07305-z
- Semenov, V., T. A. Aldonina, F. Li, N. S. Keenlyside, and L. Wang (2024) Arctic sea ice variations in the first half of the 20th century: a new reconstruction based on hydrometeorological data, Adv. Atmos. Sci. 41, 1483–1495. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-3320-x
- Imbol Koungue, R., P. Brandt, A. Prigent, L. Costa Aroucha, J. Lübbecke; A. S. N. Imbol Nkwinkwa, M. Dengler, N. Keenlyside (2024) Drivers and impact of the 2021 extreme warm event in the tropical Angolan upwelling system, Sci Rep 14, 16824. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-67569-7
- Sarre, A., H. Demarcq, N. Keenlyside, and others (2024) Climate change impacts on small pelagic fish distribution in Northwest Africa: trends, shifts, and risk for food security. Sci Rep 14, 12684. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-61734-8
- Garcia-Oliva, L., F. Counillon, I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside (2024) Intercomparison of initialization methods for seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions with the NorCPM. Clim Dyn 62, 5425–5444. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07170-w
- Steenbeek, J ..... N. Keenlyside, (2024) Making ecosystem modelling operational - a novel distributed execution framework to systematically explore ecological responses to divergent climate trajectories, Earth's Future, 12, e2023EF004295. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004295
- Ogilvie, A., L. King, N. Keenlyside, .... (2024), Recent Ventures in Interdisciplinary Arctic Research: The ARCPATH Project. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 41, 1559–1568. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-3333-x
- Wu, J., H. Fan, S. Lin, W. Zhong, S. He, N. Keenlyside, and S. Yang, (2024) Boosting effect of strong western pole of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the decay of El Niño events, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 6, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00554-5
- Chandra, A., N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, A. Singh (2024), Processes driving subseasonal variations of upper Ocean Heat Content in the equatorial Indian Ocean, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129, e2023JC020074. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020074
- Paolini, L. F., N.-E. Omrani, A. Bellucci, P. J. Athanasiadis, P. Ruggieri, C. R. Patrizio, N. Keenlyside (2024) Non-stationarity in the NAO–Gulf Stream SST front interaction, 37, 1629–1650, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0476.1
- Zheng, Y., N. Keenlyside, S. Li, S. He, and L. Suo (2024), Projecting Spring Consecutive Rainfall Events in the Three Gorges Reservoir based on Treble-Nested dynamical downscaling. Adv. Atmos. Sci., https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-3118-2
- Boljka, L., N. E. Omrani, and N. S. Keenlyside (2023), Identifying quasi-periodic variability using multivariate empirical mode decomposition: a case of the tropical Pacific. Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 1087-1109.
- Schevenhoven, F., N. Keenlyside, .... (2023), Supermodeling: improving predictions with an ensemble of interacting models, BAMS, E1670–E1686
- Rivas, D., F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside (2023), On dynamical downscaling of ENSO-induced oceanic anomalies off Baja California Peninsula, Mexico: Role of the air-sea heat flux, Front. Mar. Sci., 10, 10.3389/fmars.2023.1179649
- Tseng, W.-L., Y.-C. Lee, Y.-C. Wang, H.-H. Hsu, and N. Keenlyside (2023), Characterizing Atlantic interhemispheric teleconnection established by South American monsoon in austral summer, Environmental Research Letters, 18(7), 074003, 10.1088/1748-9326/acdbdf.
- O'kane, T., ..... N. Keenlyside, ...... 2023: Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions, Front. Clim., 5, 10.3389/fclim.2023.1121626
- Cheung, H.-N., N.-E. Omrani, F. Ogawa, N. Keenlyside, H. Nakamura, and W. Zhou (2023), Pacific oceanic front amplifies the impact of Atlantic oceanic front on North Atlantic blocking, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), 61, 10.1038/s41612-023-00370-x
- Koseki, S., J. Tjiputra, F. Fransner, L. R. Crespo, and N. S. Keenlyside (2023), Disentangling the impact of Atlantic Niño on sea-air CO2 flux, Nature Communications, 14(1), 3649, 10.1038/s41467-023-38718-9.
- Fransner, F., A. Olsen, M. Årthun, F. Counillon, J. Tjiputra, A. Samuelsen, and N. Keenlyside, 2023: Phytoplankton abundance in the Barents Sea is predictable up to five years in advance. Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 141.
- Nnamchi, H. C., R. Farneti, N. S. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, M. Latif, A. Reintges, and T. Martin, 2023: Pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation linked to ocean circulation. Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 121
- Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, S. Wang, M. Devilliers, A. Gupta, S. Koseki, and M.-L. Shen, 2023: Framework for an Ocean-Connected Supermodel of the Earth System. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2022MS003310.
- King, M. P., N. Keenlyside, and C. Li, 2023: ENSO teleconnections in terms of non-NAO and NAO atmospheric variability. Climate Dynamics, 61, 2717–2733
- Shin, S.-J., S.-W. Yeh, S.-I. An, N. Keenlyside, S.-P. Xie, and J.-H. Park (2023), Southern Ocean Control of 2°C Global Warming in Climate Models, Earth's Future, 11(1), e2022EF003212, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003212.
- Crespo, L. R., A. Prigent, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki, L. Svendsen, I. Richter, and E. Sánchez-Gómez (2022), Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming, Nat. Clim. Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01453-y
- Athanasiadis, P. J., .... N. Keenlyside, .... et al. (2022), Mitigating climate biases in the mid-latitude North Atlantic by increasing model resolution: SST gradients and their relation to blocking and the jet. J. Climate, 1-61.
- Pariyar, S. K., N. Keenlyside, W.-L. Tseng, H.-H. Hsu, and B.-J. Tsuang (2022), The role of air–sea coupling on November–April intraseasonal rainfall variability over the South Pacific, Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06354-6
- Crespo, L., B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, I. Polo, N. Keenlyside, D. Dommenget (2022), Multidecadal variability of ENSO in a recharge oscillator framework, ERL, 17(7), 074008.
- Omrani, N.-E., N. Keenlyside, K. Matthes, L. Boljka, D. Zanchettin, J. H. Jungclaus, and S. W. Lubis (2022), Coupled stratosphere-troposphere-Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5(1), 59, 10.1038/s41612-022-00275-1.
- Payne, M. R., G. Danabasoglu, N. Keenlyside, D. Matei, A. K. Miesner, S. Yang, and S. G. Yeager (2022), Skilful decadal-scale prediction of fish habitat and distribution shifts, Nature Communications, 13(1), 2660, 10.1038/s41467-022-30280-0
- Hermanson, L, ..... Keenlyside, N., (2022), WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update: A prediction for 2021-2025, BAMS, 103(4), E1117-E1129, 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0311.1.
- Cheung, HN., Keenlyside, N., Koenigk, T. et al. (2022), Assessing the influence of sea surface temperature and arctic sea ice cover on the uncertainty in the boreal winter future climate projections, Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06136-0
- Langehaug, H. R., Ortega, P., Counillon, F., Matei, D., Maroon, E., Keenlyside, N., Mignot, J., Wang, Y., Swingedouw, D., Bethke, I., Yang, S., Danabasoglu, G., Bellucci, A., Ruggieri, P., Nicolì, D., & Årthun, M. (2022). Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential along the Atlantic water pathway, J. Climate, 2111–2131, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1007.1
- Bethke, I., Y. Wang, F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimmritz, F. Fransner, A. Samuelsen, H. Langehaug, L. Svendsen, P. G. Chiu, L. Passos, M. Bentsen, C. Guo, A. Gupta, J. Tjiputra, A. Kirkevåg, D. Olivié, Ø. Seland, J. Solsvik Vågane, Y. Fan and T. Eldevik (2021). NorCPM1 and its contribution to CMIP6 DCPP. Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss. 2021: 1-84.
- Silva, E., F. Counillon, J. Brajard, A. Korosova, L. Pettersson, A. Samuelsen, N. Keenlyside, 2021: Twenty-one years of phytoplankton bloom phenology in the Barents, Norwegian and North seas, Frontiers in Marine Science, 8(1626), 10.3389/fmars.2021.746327.
- Nkwinkwa Njouodo, A. S. I., M. Rouault, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki (2021) Impact of the Agulhas current on southern Africa precipitation: a modelling study, J. Climate, 1-50. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0627.1
- Svendsen, L., N. Keenlyside, M. Muilwijk, I. Bethke, N.-E. Omrani, and Y. Gao (2021), Pacific contribution to decadal surface temperature trends in the Arctic during the twentieth century, Climate Dynamics, 57(11), 3223-3243, 10.1007/s00382-021-05868-9
- Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, T. Toniazzo, S. Koseki, T. Demissie, I. Bethke, Yiguo Wang (2021), Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic, Clim Dyn 56, 2617–2630
- Nnamchi, H. C., M. Latif, N. S. Keenlyside, J. Kjellsson, and I. Richter (2021): Diabatic heating variability controls the seasonality of the Atlantic Niño. Nat Commun 12, 376
- Smith, D. M., ... N. Keenlyside ... (2020). North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. Nature, 583(7818), 796-800. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0
- Pariyar, S. K., N. Keenlyside, A. Sorteberg, T. Spengler, B. Chandra Bhatt, and F. Ogawa, 2020: Factors affecting extreme rainfall events in the South Pacific. Weather and Climate Extremes, 29, 100262.
- Akinsanola, A. A., W. Zhou, T. Zhou, N. Keenlyside, 2020, Amplification of synoptic to annual variability of West African summer monsoon rainfall under global warming. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3, 21.
- López-Parages, J., P.-A. Auger, B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, N. Keenlyside, C. Gaetan, A. Rubino, M. Woldeyes Arisido, and T. Brochier, 2020: El Niño as a predictor of round sardinella distribution along the northwest African coast. Progress in Oceanography, 186, 102341.
- Luo, H., F. Zheng, N. Keenlyside, and J. Zhu, 2020: Ocean–atmosphere coupled Pacific Decadal variability simulated by a climate model. Climate Dynamics, 54, 4759-4773.
- Nnamchi, H. C., M. Latif, N. S. Keenlyside, and W. Park, (2020) A satellite era warming hole in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean. JGRO, e2019JC015834.
- Yang, X.-Y., G. Wang, N. Keenlyside, (2020) The Arctic sea ice extent change connected to Pacific decadal variability, The Cryosphere, 14, 693–708, 2020
- Schevenhoven, F., F. Selten, A. Carrassi, and N. Keenlyside (2019), Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels, Earth Syst. Dynam., 10(4), 789-807, 10.5194/esd-10-789-2019.
- Kimmritz, M., F. Counillon, L. H. Smedsrud, I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, F. Ogawa, and Y. Wang (2019), Impact of ocean and sea ice initialisation on seasonal prediction skill in the Arctic, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10.1029/2019MS001825.
- Wohland, J., N. E. Omrani, N. Keenlyside, and D. Witthaut (2019), Significant multidecadal variability in German wind energy generation, Wind Energ. Sci., 4(3), 515-526, 10.5194/wes-4-515-2019.
- Wu, C.-R., Y.-F. Lin, Y.-L. Wang, N. Keenlyside, and J.-Y. Yu (2019), An Atlantic-driven rapid circulation change in the North Pacific Ocean during the late 1990s, Scientific Reports, 9(1), 14411, 10.1038/s41598-019-51076-1.
- Li, F., Y. J. Orsolini, N. Keenlyside, M. L. Shen, F. Counillon, and Y. G. Wang, 2019: Impact of Snow Initialization in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Winter Forecasts With the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 10033-10048
- Wang, Y., F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, S. Gleixner, M. Kimmritz, P. Dai, and Y. Gao 2019: Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF, Climate Dynamics, 53, 5777–5797
- Jia, F., W. Cai, L. Wu, B. Gan, G. Wang, F. Kucharski, P. Chang, and N. Keenlyside, 2019: Weakening Atlantic Niño-Pacific connection under greenhouse warming, Science Advances, 5(8), eaax4111, 10.1126/sciadv.aax4111.
- Pariyar, S, N. Keenlyside, B. Bhatt, N.-E. Omrani: The dominant patterns of intra-seasonal boreal summer and winter Tropical western Pacific rainfall variability, Monthly Weather Review, 147, 2941-2960
- Foltz, G. R., ....... N. Keenlyside ...... 2019: The Tropical Atlantic Observing System. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 206.
- Voldoire, A., E. Exarchou, E. Sanchez-Gomez, T. Demissie, A.-L. Deppenmeier, C. Frauen, K. Goubanova, W. Hazeleger, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki, C. Prodhomme, J. Shonk, T. Toniazzo, A.-K. Traoré. 2019: Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the Tropical Atlantic. Clim. Dyn., 53, 3481–3504
- Wohland, J., N.-E. Omrani, D. Witthaut, and N. S. Keenlyside 2019: Inconsistent wind speed trends in current 20th century reanalyses, JGR Atmos, 124
- Yan, Y., L. Svendsen, C. Wang, N. Keenlyside, Y. Qi, 2019: Did the global warming slowdown cause the north-south contrast of subsurface salinity anomalies in the Northwestern Pacific?, JGR Oceans, 124, 1795–1806
- Cai, W., ...., N. Keenlyside, et al., 2019: Pan-tropical climate interactions, Science, 363, eaav4236.
- Omrani, N.-E., F. Ogawa, H. Nakamura, N. Keenlyside, S. Lubis, K. Matthes, 2019: Key role of the Ocean Western Boundary Currents in shaping the Northern Hemisphere climate, Scientific Reports, 9, 3014
- Crespo, L. R., N. Keenlyside, and S. Koseki, 2019: The role of sea surface temperature in the atmospheric seasonal cycle of the equatorial Atlantic. Climate Dynamics, 52, 5927-5946.
- Koenigk, T., Y. Gao, G. Gastineau, N. Keenlyside, T. Nakamura, F. Ogawa, Y. Orsolini, V. Semenov, L. Suo, T. Tian, T. Wang, J. J. Wettstein, and S. Yang, 2019: Impact of Arctic sea ice variations on winter temperature anomalies in northern hemispheric land areas. Clim. Dyn., 52, 3111-3137
- Årthun, M., B. Bogstad, U. Daewel, N. S. Keenlyside, A. B. Sandø, C. Schrum, and G. Ottersen, 2018: Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock. PLOS ONE, 13, e0206319.
- Koseki, S., B. Pohl, B. C. Bhatt, N. Keenlyside, and A. S. Nkwinkwa Njouodo, 2018: Insights into the Summer Diurnal Cycle over Eastern South Africa. Monthly Weather Review, 146, 4339-4356
- Luo, F., S. Li, Y. Gao, L. Svendsen, T. Furevik, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon since the Industrial Revolution is intrinsic to the climate system. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 094020.
- Svendsen, L., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, and Y. Gao, 2018: Pacific contribution to the early 20th century warming in the Arctic. Nat. Clim. Change, 8, 793-797
- Nkwinkwa Njouodo, A. S., S. Koseki, N. Keenlyside, M. Rouault, Atmospheric signature of the Agulhas Current, GRL, 45, 5185-5193
- Lübbecke, J. F., B. Rodríguez-Fonseca, I. Richter, M. Martín-Rey, T. Losada, I. Polo, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2018: Equatorial Atlantic variability—Modes, mechanisms, and global teleconnections. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 9, e527.
- Årthun, M., E.W. Kolstad, T. Eldevik, N.S. Keenlyside, 2018, Time scales and sources of European temperature variability, GRL, 45, 3597-3604.
- Hand, R., N.S. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani, J. Bader, and R. J. Greatbatch, 2018: The role of local sea surface temperature pattern changes in shaping climate change in the North Atlantic sector. Clim Dyn., published online
- Ogawa, F., N. Keenlyside, Y. Gao, T. Koenigk, S. Yang, L. Suo, T. Wang, G. Gastineau, T. Nakamura, H. N. Cheung, N.-E. Omrani, J. Ukita, and V. Semenov, 2018: Evaluating impacts of the Arctic sea-ice loss on the northern hemisphere climate changes, GRL, 45, 3255-3263.
- Tchipalanga, P., M. Dengler, P. Brandt, R. Kopte, M. Macuéria, P. Coelho, M. Ostrowski, N.S. Keenlyside, 2018: Eastern boundary circulation and hydrography off Angola – building Angolan oceanographic capacities, BAMS, in press
- King, M. P., I. Herceg-Bulić, I. Bladé, J. García-Serrano, N. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, C. Li, S. Sobolowski, 2018: Importance of late fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro- Atlantic sector, BAMS, in press
- Collins, M., S. Minobe, M. Barreiro, S. Bordoni, Y. Kaspi, A. Kuwano-Yoshida, N. Keenlyside, E. Manzini, C. H. O’Reilly, R. Sutton, S.-P. Xie, and O. Zolina, 2018: Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics. Nature Climate Change, 8, 101-108.
- Luo, F., S. Li, Y. Gao, N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, T. Furevik, 2018: The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon in the CMIP5 models, Clim. Dyn., 1-17.
- Cheung, H. H. N., N. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani, and W. Zhou, 2018: Remarkable link between projected uncertainties of Arctic sea-ice decline and winter Eurasian climate. Adv. Atm. Sci., 35, 38-51.
- King, M. P., I. Herceg-Bulić, F. Kucharski, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November. Climate Dynamics, 50, 1881-1899.
- Shen, M.-L., N. Keenlyside, B. C. Bhatt, and G. S. Duane, 2017: Role of atmosphere-ocean interactions in supermodeling the tropical Pacific climate. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 27, 126704.
- Sillmann, J., T. Thorarinsdottir, N. Keenlyside, N. Schaller, L. V. Alexander, G. Hegerl, S. I. Seneviratne, R. Vautard, X. Zhang, and F. W. Zwiers, 2017: Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities. WACE, 18, 65-74.
- Gleixner, S., N. S. Keenlyside, T. D. Demissie, F. Counillon, Y. Wang, and E. Viste, 2017: Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models. ERL, 12, 114016.
- Zanchettin, D., C. Gaetan, M. W. Arisido, K. Modali, T. Toniazzo, N. Keenlyside, and A. Rubino, 2017: Structural decomposition of decadal climate prediction errors: A Bayesian approach. Scientific Reports, 7, 12862.
- Nnamchi, H. C., F. Kucharski, N. S. Keenlyside, and R. Farneti, 2017: Analogous seasonal evolution of the South Atlantic SST dipole indices. ASL, 18, 396-402.
- Koseki, S., N. Keenlyside, T. Demissie, T. Toniazzo, F. Counillon, I. Bethke, M. Ilicak, and M.-L. Shen, 2018: Causes of the large warm bias in the Angola-Benguela Frontal Zone in the Norwegian Earth System Model, Clim. Dyn., 50(11), 4651-4670, 10.1007/s00382-017-3896-2.
- Tseng, W.-L., H.-H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, C.-W. June Chang, B.-J. Tsuang, C.-Y. Tu, and L.-C. Jiang, 2017: Effects of Surface Orography and Land–Sea Contrast on the Madden–Julian Oscillation in the Maritime Continent: A Numerical Study Using ECHAM5-SIT. J. Clim., 30, 9725-9741
- Richter, I., T. Doi, S. K. Behera, and N. Keenlyside, 2017: On the link between mean state biases and prediction skill in the tropics: an atmospheric perspective. Climate Dynamics.
- Årthun, M., T. Eldevik, E. Viste, H. Drange, T. Furevik, H. L. Johnson, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2017: Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean. Nature Communications, 8, 15875.
- Wang, Y., Counillon, F., I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, Marc Bocquet, and Mao-lin Shen, 2017: Optimising assimilation of hydrographic profiles into isopycnal ocean models with ensemble data assimilation, Oce. Mod., 114 33–44
- Gleixner, S., N. Keenlyside, E. Viste, and D. Korecha, 2017: The El Niño effect on Ethiopian summer rainfall. Clim. Dyn., 49, 1865-1883.
- Cabos, W., D. V. Sein, J. G. Pinto, A. H. Fink, N. V. Koldunov, F. Alvarez, A. Izquierdo, N. Keenlyside, and D. Jacob, 2017: The South Atlantic Anticyclone as a key player for the representation of the tropical Atlantic climate in coupled climate models. Climate Dynamics, 48, 4051-4069.
- Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, Y. Wang, S. Billeau, M.-L. Shen, and M. Bentsen 2016: Flow dependent assimilation of SST in isopycnal coordinate with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model. Tellus A, 68, 32437
- Mohino, E., N.Keenlyside, H.Pohlmann, 2016: Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack of) come from?, Clim. Dyn. 47 (11), 3593-3612
- Mechoso, C. R., T. Losada, S. Koseki, E. Mohino-Harris, N. Keenlyside, A. Castaño-Tierno, T. A. Myers, B. Rodriguez-Fonseca, and T. Toniazzo, 2016: Can reducing the incoming energy flux over the Southern Ocean in a CGCM improve its simulation of tropical climate? Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 11,057-11,063.
- Reintges, A., T. Martin, M. Latif, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2016: Uncertainty in 21st Century Projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Clim. Dyn., 1-17
- Dieppois, B., B. Pohl, M. Rouault, M. New, D. Lawler, and N. Keenlyside, 2016: Interannual to Interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections. JGR Atmos., 121, 6215-6239.
- Nnamchi, H. C., J. Li, F. Kucharski, I.-S. Kang, N. Keenlyside, P. Chang, and R. Farneti, 2016: An equatorial-extratropical dipole structure of the Atlantic Niño. J. Clim., 29, 7295-7311.
- Shen, M.-L., N. Keenlyside, F. Selten, W. Wiegerinck, and G. S. Duane, 2016: Dynamically combining climate models to “supermodel” the tropical Pacific. GRL, 43, 359-366.
- Ogawa, F., N.-E. Omrani, K. Nishii, H. Nakamura, and N. Keenlyside, 2015: Ozone-induced climate change propped up by the Southern Hemisphere oceanic front. Geophys. Res. Lett, 42, 10,056-10,063.
- Nnamchi, H.C., J. Li,, F. Kucharski, I.-S. Kang , N.S. Keenlyside, P. Chang and R.Farneti, Thermodynamic Controls of the Atlantic Niño, Nat. Comm. 6:8895
- Mecking, J., N.S. Keenlyside, R.J. Greatbatch, Multiple Timescales of Stochastically Forced North Atlantic Ocean Variability: A model study, Oce. Dyn., 1-15
- Chang, C.-W. J., W.-L. Tseng, H.-H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, and B.-J. Tsuang, 2015: The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a warmer world. GRL, 42, 6034-6042.
- Omrani, N. E., J. Bader, N. S. Keenlyside, and E. Manzini, 2016: Troposphere–stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model. Clim. Dyn., 46, 1397-1415.
- King, M. P., M. Hell, and N. Keenlyside, 2016: Investigation of the atmospheric mechanisms related to the autumn sea ice and winter circulation link in the Northern Hemisphere. Clim. Dyn., 46, 1185-1195.
- Ding, H., N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, W. Park, and S. Wahl, 2015: The Impact of Mean State Errors on the Simulated Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability. JGR Oceans, 120, 1133-1151
- Bellucci, A., R. Haarsma, N. Bellouin, B. Booth, C. Cagnazzo, B. v. d. Hurk, N. Keenlyside, T. Koenigk, F. Massonnet, S. Materia, and M. Weiss, 2015: Advancements in decadal climate predictability: the role of non-oceanic drivers. Rev. of Geophy., 53, 165–202
- Gao, Y., J. Sun, F. Li, S. He, S. Sandven, Q. Yan, Z. Zhang, K. Lohmann, N. Keenlyside, T. Furevik, and L. Suo, 2015: Arctic sea ice and Eurasian climate: A review. Adv. Atm. Sci., 32, 92-114.
- Tseng, W.-L., B.-J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, H.-H. Hsu, and C.-Y. Tu, 2015: Resolving the upper-ocean warm layer improves the simulation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Clim. Dyn., 44, 1487-1503.
- Svendsen, L., S. Hetzinger, N. S. Keenlyside, and Y. Gao, 2014: Marine-based multi-proxy reconstruction of Atlantic multi-decadal variability. GRL, 41, 2013GL059076.
- Counillon, F., I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, M. Bentsen, L. Bertino, and F. Zheng, 2014: Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM: a twin experiment. Tellus A, 66, 21074
- Ba, J., N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, W. Park, H. Ding, K. Lohmann, J. Mignot, M. Menary, O. Otterå, B. Wouters, D. Salas y Melia, A. Oka, A. Bellucci, and E. Volodin, 2014: A multi-model comparison for Atlantic multidecadal variability. Clim. Dyn., 1-16
- Mecking, J.V., N.S. Keenlyside, and R.J. Greatbatch 2014: Stochastically-forced multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: A model study, Clim. Dyn., 1-18
- Gleixner, S., N. Keenlyside, K. Hodges, W.-L. Tseng and L. Bengtsson 2014: An inter-hemispheric comparison of the Tropical Storm response to global warming. Clim. Dyn., 42, 2147-2157
- Svendsen, L., N.G. Kvamstø, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2014: Weakening AMOC connects Equatorial Atlantic and Pacific interannual variability. Clim. Dyn., 1-11
- Omrani, N.-E., N. S. Keenlyside, J. Bader and E. Manzini, 2014: Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions, Clim. Dyn., 42:649–663
- Gulev, S.K., M. Latif, N. Keenlyside, W. Park, and K. P. Koltermann, 2013: North Atlantic Ocean Control on Surface Heat Flux at Multidecadal Timescales, Nature, 499, 464-467
- Keenlyside, N., H. Ding, and M. Latif, 2013: Potential of Equatorial Atlantic Variability to Enhance El Niño Prediction, GRL, 40, 2278-2283.
- Hand, R., N. S. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani and M. Latif, 2013: Simulated response to inter-annual SST variations in the Gulf Stream region, Clim. Dyn., 1-17
- Pohlmann, H., D. Smith, M. A. Balmaseda, N. S. Keenlyside, S. Masina, D. Matei, W. A. Müller, and P. Rogel, 2013: Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system. Clim. Dyn., 41, 775-785
- Ba, J., N. Keenlyside, W. Park, M. Latif, E. Hawkins, and H. Ding, 2013: A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Clim. Dyn., 41, 2133-2144
- Ding, H., N. Keenlyside, and M. Latif (2012), Impact of the Equatorial Atlantic on the El Niño Southern Oscillation, Clim. Dyn., 38(9), 1965-1972.
- Meng, Q., M. Latif, W. Park, N. Keenlyside, V. Semenov, and T. Martin 2012: Twentieth century Walker Circulation change: data analysis and model experiments, Clim. Dyn., 38(9), 1757-1773
- Hetzinger, S., J. Halfar, J. V. Mecking, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Kronz, R. S. Steneck, W. H. Adey, and P. A. Lebednik 2012: Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic climate, Clim. Dyn., 39, 1447-1455
- Champion, A. J., K. I. Hodges, L. O. Bengtsson, N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Esch, 2011: Impact of increasing resolution and a warmer climate on extreme weather from Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones. Tellus, 63, 893-906.
- Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, S. Koumoutsaris, M. Zahn, and N. Keenlyside, 2011: The changing atmospheric water cycle in Polar Regions in a warmer climate. Tellus, 63, 907-920.
- Bader, J., M. D. S. Mesquita, K. I. Hodges, N. Keenlyside, S. Østerhus, and M. Miles, 2011: A review on Northern Hemisphere sea-ice, storminess and the North Atlantic Oscillation: Observations and projected changes. Atmos. Res., 101, 809-834.
- Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2011: A perspective on decadal climate variability and predictability. Deep Sea Research, 58, 1880-1894.
- Hawkins, E., J. Robson, R. Sutton, D. Smith, and N. Keenlyside, 2011: Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Clim. Dyn., 1-15.
- Tozuka, T., T. Doi, T. Miyasaka, N. Keenlyside, and T. Yamagata, 2011: Key factors in simulating the equatorial Atlantic zonal sea surface temperature gradient in a coupled general circulation model. JGR Oce., 116.
- Wahl, S., M. Latif, W. Park, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: On the Tropical Atlantic SST warm bias in the Kiel Climate Model, Clim. Dyn., 36, 891-906
- Keenlyside, N. S., and J. Ba, 2010: Prospects for decadal climate prediction, WIRES, 1, 627-635
- Semenov, V. A., M. Latif, D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Strehz, T. Martin, and W. Park, 2010: The Impact of North Atlantic-Arctic Multidecadal Variability on Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature. J. Clim., 23, 5668-5677.
- Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif, 2010: Equatorial Atlantic interannual variability: the role of heat content, JGR Oce., 115, C09020
- Lübbecke, J. F., C. W. Böning, N. S. Keenlyside, and S.-P. Xie, 2010: On the connection between Benguela and Equatorial Atlantic Niños and the role of the South Atlantic Anticyclone, JGR Oce., 115, C09015
- Lan, Y. Y., B. J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, S. L. Wang, C. T. A. Chen, B.J. Wang, and T.H Liu, 2010: Error estimations of dry deposition velocities of air pollutants using bulk sea surface temperature under common assumptions. Atm. Env., 44, 2532-2542
- Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T.N. Palmer, A. Alessandri, A. Arribas, M. Deque, N. Keenlyside, M. MacVean, A. Navarra, and P. Rogel, 2009: ENSEMBLES - a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions: Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs, GRL, 36, L21711
- Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R. J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Dixon, M. A. Giorgetta, A. Greene, E. Hawkins, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, & T. Stockdale, 2009: Decadal Prediction: Can it be skillful? BAMS, 90, 1467-1485
- Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. Weisheimer, M. Déqué, N. Keenlyside, M. McVean, J. Murphy, P. Rogel, D. Smith, T. N. Palmer, 2009: Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts, QJRMS, 135, 1538 - 1559
- Latif, M., W. Park, H. Ding, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Internal and External North Atlantic Sector Variability in the Kiel Climate Model, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18, 433-443
- Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif 2009: Seasonal cycle in the upper equatorial Atlantic Ocean, JGR., 114, C09016, doi:10.1029/2009JC005418
- Hodson, D. L. R., R. T. Sutton, C. Cassou, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okumura, and T. Zhou, 2009: Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A Multimodel comparison. Clim. Dyn., DOI - 10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2
- Zhou, T., R. Yu, J. Zhang, H. Drange, C. Cassou, C. Deser, D. L. R. Hodson, E. Sanchez-Gomez , J. Li, N. Keenlyside, X. Xin, Y. Okumura, 2009: Why the Western Pacific Subtropical High has Extended Westward since the Late 1970s?, J. Clim., 22, 2199–2215
- Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Will extra-tropical storms intensify in a warmer climate? J. Climate, 22, 2276–2301
- Jansen, M. F., D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside,2009: Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions in a Conceptual Framework, J. Clim., 22, 550–567
- Park, W., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Stroeh, R. Redler, E. Roeckner, G. Madec, 2009: Tropical Pacific Climate and its Response to Global Warming in the Kiel Climate Model, J. Clim., 22 (1), 71-92
- Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2009: El Niño/Southern Oscillation Response to Global Warming, PNAS, 20578-20583
- Sanchez-Gomez, E., C. Cassou, D. L. R. Hodson, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okmura, and T. Zhou, 2008: Multi-model signature of the Indian and Western Pacific oceans warming in the occurrence of the North Atlantic weather regimes, GRL., 35, L15706
- Keenlyside, N. S., M. Latif, J. Jungclaus, L. Kornblueh, and E. Roeckner, 2008: Advancing Decadal-Scale Climate Prediction in the North Atlantic Sector. Nature, 453, 84-88
- Matei, D., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Jungclaus, 2008: Subtropical Forcing of Tropical Pacific Climate and Decadal ENSO Modulation. J. Climate, 21, 4691-4709
- Hetzinger, S., M. Pfeiffer, W.-C. Dullo, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Zinke, 2008: Caribbean Brain Coral Tracks Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Past Hurricane Intensity. Geology, 36, 11-14
- Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, M. Esch, N. S. Keenlyside, L. Kornblueh, J.-J. Luo and T. Yamagata, 2007: How may Tropical Cyclones Change in a Warmer Climate? Tellus, 59A, 539-561
- Keenlyside, N., M. Latif, A. Dürkop, 2007: On Sub-ENSO variability. J. Clim., 20, 3452–3469
- Latif, M., N. Keenlyside, and J. Bader, 2007: Tropical Sea Surface Temperature, Vertical Wind Shear, and Hurricane Development, GRL, 34, L01710
- Keenlyside, N., and M. Latif, 2007: Understanding Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability, J. Clim., 20, 131-142
- Latif, M. M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2006: A Review of Predictability Studies of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Time Scales, J. Clim., 19, 5971–5987
- Latif, M., C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, J. Dengg, N. Keenlyside, and U. Schweckendiek, G. Madec, 2006: Is the Thermohaline Circulation Changing?, J. Clim., 19, 4631-4637
- Jungclaus, J. H., N. Keenlyside, M. Botzet, H. Haak, J.-J. Luo, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, U. Mikolajewicz, and E. Roeckner, 2006: Ocean Circulation and Tropical Variability in the Coupled Model ECHAM5/MPI-OM, J. Clim., 19, 3952-3972
- Wetzel, P., E. Maier-Reimer, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, N. Keenlyside, and M. Latif, 2006: Effects of Ocean Biology on the Penetrative Radiation in a Coupled Climate Model, J. Clim., 19, 3973-3987
- Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N. Keenlyside, 2005: Retrospective El Niño hindcasts/forecasts using an improved intermediate coupled model, Mon. Weath. Rev., 133, 2777-2802
- Keenlyside, N., M. Latif, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, and U. Schulzweida, 2005:A coupled method for initialising ENSO forecasts using SST, Tellus, 57A, 340-356
- Zhang, R.-H., R. Kleeman, S. E. Zebiak, N. Keenlyside, and S. Raynaud, 2005: An empirical parameterization of subsurface entrainment temperature for improved SST anomaly simulations in an intermediate ocean model, J. Clim., 18(2), 350-371
- Palmer, T.N., A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. Délécluse, M. Déqué, E. Díez, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F. Guérémy, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V. Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres and M. C. Thomson, 2004: Development of a European multimodel ensemble for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER), BAMS, 85(6), 853-872
- Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N. Keenlyside, 2003: A new intermediate coupled model for El Niño simulation and prediction, GRL, 30, 2012, doi:10.1029/2003GL018010
- Keenlyside, N., and R. Kleeman, 2002: Annual cycle of equatorial zonal currents in the Pacific, J. Geophys. Res., 107 (8), 10.1029/2000JC000711
- Arif, I., I. A. Newman, and N. Keenlyside, 1995: Theoretical paper: Proton flux measurements from tissues in buffered solution, Plant, Cell and Environment, 18,1319-1324
Book chapters (peer reviewed)
- Keenlyside, N., Y. Kosaka, N. Vigaud, A. Robertson, Y. Wang, D. Dommenget, J.-J. Luo, and D. Matei (2019), Basin Interactions and Predictability, in Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins: Observations, Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts, edited by C. R. Mechoso, Cambridge University Press.
- Duane, G. S., W. Wiegerinck, F. Selten, M.-L. Shen, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: Supermodeling: Synchronization of Alternative Dynamical Models of a Single Objective Process. Advances in Nonlinear Geosciences, A. A. Tsonis, Ed., Springer International Publishing, 101-121.
- Keenlyside, N. S., J. Ba, J. Mecking, N.-O. Omrani, M. Latif, R. Zhang, and R. Msadek, 2015: North Atlantic multi-decadal variability - mechanisms and predictability. Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond, C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif, and M. Wallace, Eds., World Scientific Publishing.
- Latif, M., C. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, F. Alvarez, N. S. Keenlyside, and H. Pohlmann, 2007: Decadal to Multidecadal Variability of the Atlantic MOC: Mechanisms and Predictability. In AGU Monograph 173 “Ocean Circulation: Mechanisms and Impacts – Past and Future Changes of Meridional Overturning”, A. Schmittner, J.C.H. Chiang, and S.R. Hemming (Eds.), 149 -166
Non-peer-reviewed publications
- Keenlyside, N. and I. Richter, 2022: Predictions of the Tropical Atlantic from Seasonal to Decadal Time Scales, CLIVAR Exchanges, 82, 47-54
- Keenlyside, N. and I. Richter, 2022: Long‑term Climate Change in the Tropical Atlantic, CLIVAR Exchanges, 82, 55-63
- Richter, I. and N. Keenlyside, 2021: Current status of TBI research and the way forward: Reflections on the WCRP-CLIVAR Workshop, CLIVAR Exchanges, 80, 2-7
- Ogawa, F. N.-E. Omrani, H. Nakamura, K. Nishii, N. Keenlyside, 2017: Impact of Oceanic Front on the Tropospheric Climatic Trend Induced by Ozone Depletion, CLIVAR Exchanges, 71, 37-42
- Keenlyside, N. and D. Dommenget, 2016: The Fingerprint of Global Warming in the Tropical Pacific. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 33, 533-534.
- Peings, Y., G. Magnusdottir, N.-E. Omrani, and N. Keenlyside, 2014, Can high latitude boundary forcings (ocean-ice-snow) improve predictability on seasonal and decadal time scales? Clivar Variations Newsletter, 12 (3), 18-23
- Keenlyside, N. and N.-E. Omrani, 2014: Has a warm North Atlantic contributed to recent European cold winters? Environmental Research Letters, 9, 061001.
- Keenlyside, N. S., 2011: Commentary on "Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change". International Journal of Forecasting, 27, 1000-1003.
- Murphy, J., V. Kattsov, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, J. Meehl, V. Mehta, H. Pohlmann, A. Scaife, D. Smith, 2009: Towards Prediction of Decadal Climate Variability and Change, White paper for World Climate Conference - 3
- Hurrell, J., T. Delworth, G. Danabasoglu, H. Drange, S. Griffies, N. Holbrook, B. Kirtman, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, G. Meehl, T. Palmer, H. Pohlmann, T. Rosati, R. Seager, D. Smith, R. Sutton, A. Timmermann, K. Trenberth, and J.Tribbia, 2009, Decadal Climate Prediction: Opportunities and Challenges, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
- Latif, M., T. Delworth, D. Dommenget, H. Drange, W. Hazeleger, J. Hurrell, N. Keenlyside, G. Meehl, and R. Sutton, 2009: Dynamics of Decadal Climate Variability and Implications for its Prediction, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
- N. Keenlyside, 2009: Clean air policy and Arctic warming, Nature Geosciences (News & Views), 2, 243 - 244
- N. Keenlyside, N. Omrani, K. Krüger, M. Latif and A. Scaife, 2008: Decadal predictability: How might the stratosphere be involved? SPARC Newsletter 31, 23-27
- Latif, M. M. Collins, R. J. Stouffer, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2004: The physical basis for prediction of Atlantic sector climate on decadal timescales, CLIVAR Exchanges 9, 6-8
Projects
Current
2024-2028, Akademiaavtalen UiB-Equinor, Optimizing wind energy production and operability for multi-decadal climate fluctuations in the Euro-Atlantic region
2022-2026, EU Horizon Europe, Impetus4Change (I4C): Improving Near-Term Climate Predictions For Societal Transformation
2022-2026, NFR CHINOR, Accelerated Arctic and Tibetan Plateau Warming: Processes and Combined Impact on Eurasian Climate (COMBINED)
2022-2026, BCCR strategic project, Proxy Assimilation for Reconstructing Climate and Improving Model (PARCIM)
2021-2025, EU H2020, NextGEMS - Next Generation Earth Modelling Systems
2020-2028, RCN SFI Climate Futures
Previous projects that I have led
2023-2024, EU ERC Proof of Concept, Towards Operational Supermodel Climate Prediction (TOSCP)
2018-2024, Trond Mohn Foundation, Bjerknes Climate Prediction Unit (BCPU)
2019-2023, EU H2020, South and Tropical Atlantic Climate-Based Marine Ecosystem Prediction for Sustainable Management (TRIATLAS)
2021-2023, Russian MEGAGRANT, Climate predictability in Northern Eurasia: revealingmechanisms of variability to improve skill
2015-2021, ERC Consolidator Grant, Synchronisation to enhance reliability of climate prediction (STERCP)
2014-2016 NordForsk TRI, Impact of Future Cryospheric Changes on Northern Hemisphere. Climate, Green Growth and Society (GREENICE)
2013-2017 NFR, Enhancing seasonal-to-decadal Prediction Of Climate for the North Atlantic Sector and Arctic (EPOCASA)
2014-2017 EU FP7, Enhancing prediction of Tropical Atlantic climate and its impacts (PREFACE)
2008-2013 Emmy Noether research group funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG): "Mechanisms and predictability of North Atlantic Decadal Climate variability"