Thomas Spengler
Stilling
Professor, Director of the Research School on Changing Climates in the coupled Earth System and President of the International Commission on Dynamical Meteorology
Tilhørighet
Forskergrupper
Forskning
Profile
I am a meteorologist focusing on the combination of theory, observations, and modelling, specialized on scales ranging from meso, synoptic, to large-scale flow and participated and coordinated several field campaigns.
Since 2015, I am the director of the RCN funded Norwegian Research School on Changing Climates in the Coupled Earth System (CHESS).
I am currently leading research projects focusing on atmosphere-ocean-ice interactions in higher latitudes as well as air-sea interactions and cyclone development in the midlatitude storm tracks.
In 2012, I was elected as a member of the International Commission for Dynamic Meteorology (ICDM) and was elected President of ICDM in 2019. From 2015-2019, I was the elected as Chair of the Atmospheric Working Group of the International Arctic Science Committee (IASC), and a member from 2013-2021. Since 2022, I am the elected Leader of the Norwegian Geophysical Society.
I was awarded the prize for best lecturer of the academic year 2012/2013 at the Faculty for Mathematics and Natural Sciences at the University of Bergen and nominated for the IAMAS early career scientist medal in 2013.
I lead a science outreach project together with the Bergen Philharmonic Orchestra in which we featured four concerts as part of the regular concert series for the season 2019-2020. The themes of the four concerts are: Space, Ocean, Climate, and Humankind. More information about the project can be found on https://nestesteg.w.uib.no/.
Research areas
- Atmopshere-Ocean-Ice Interactions
- Jet Stream Dynamics and Variability
- Polar Lows
- Teleconnections
- Baroclinic and Diabatic Intensification of Extratropical Cyclones
- Heat Lows
- Orographic Slope and Valley Winds
- Flow over and around Topography
- Convection
Formidling
I lead a science outreach project together with the Bergen Philharmonic Orchestra in which we feature four concerts as part of the regular concert series for the season 2019-2020. The themes of the four concerts are: Space, Ocean, Climate, and People. More information about the project can be found on https://nestesteg.w.uib.no/.
Undervisning
Courses:
Introduction to Methods in Weather Forecasting (GEOF321)
Dynamics of the Atmosphere (GEOF326)
Advanced Atmospheric Dynamics (GEOF352)
Mesoscale Dynamics (GEOF328)
Seminar in Atmospheric Sciences (GEOF351)
Polar Meteorology and Climate (AGF-213)
The Arctic Atmospheric Boundary Layer and Local Climate Processes (AGF-350)
Supervision:
Kristine Flacké Haualand: Diabatic intensification of baroclinic evolution and the role of surface fluxes. 2016-2020
Leonidas Tsopouridis: Air-sea interaction processes in the Gulf Stream and Kurishio Rregions. 2016-2020
Clemens Spensberger: New approaches to investigate the influence of orographic and dynamic blocking on large-scale atmospheric flow. 2011-2015
Annick Terpstra: Dynamical perspectives on the formation and intensification of polar lows. 2011-2014
Mathew Reeve: Monsoon onset in Bangladesh: reconciling scientific and societal perspectives. 2010-2015
Stefan Keiderling: Jet Dynamics, Evolution, and Forcing. 2013-2017
Qi Kong: Interactions of Cyclones with steep Topography. 2011-2013
Supervision:
I regularly supervisor Master and PhD students as well as postdoctoral research fellows. So far, I have supervised 29 Master students, 14 PhD students, and 8 Postdocs.
Publikasjoner
Poster
- Lutzmann, Johannes; Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas (2024). A Climatology of Frontal Life Cycles. (ekstern lenke)
- Yu, Qidi; Spensberger, Clemens; Magnusson, Linus et al. (2024). Attribution of forecast errors to weather features in the ERA5. (ekstern lenke)
- Yu, Qidi; Spensberger, Clemens; Magnusson, Linus et al. (2024). Forecast Error Attributed to Synoptic Features. (ekstern lenke)
- Yu, Qidi; Spensberger, Clemens; Linus, Magnusson et al. (2023). Attribution of Forecasts Errors to Weather Features in the ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5). (ekstern lenke)
- Yu, Qidi; Spensberger, Clemens; Magnusson, Linus et al. (2023). Attribution of Forecasts Errors to Weather Features in the ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5). (ekstern lenke)
- Chripko, Svenya; Spengler, Thomas (2023). Effect of marine cold air outbreaks on water masses and circulation in the Nordic Seas. (ekstern lenke)
- Rheinlænder, Jonathan Winfield; Davy, Richard; Olason, Einar et al. (2022). Breaking Up is Hard to Do – Simulating Extreme Sea-Ice Breakup in the Beaufort Sea. (ekstern lenke)
- Rheinlænder, Jonathan Winfield; Korosov, Anton; Olason, Einar et al. (2022). Simulating extreme winter sea-ice breakup in the Beaufort Sea. (ekstern lenke)
- Lutzmann, Johannes; Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas (2022). Towards an Objective Climatology of Frontal Life Cycles. (ekstern lenke)
- Duscha, Christiane Anabell; Kähnert, Marvin; Palenik, Juraj et al. (2021). Probing atmospheric convection in a local valley system. (ekstern lenke)
- Lutzmann, Johannes; Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas (2021). Towards a Climatology of Frontal Life Cycles. (ekstern lenke)
- Lutzmann, Johannes; Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas (2020). Lifecycle of fronts of mid-latitude cyclones and their role in maintaining extratropical storm tracks PhD Candidate (Supervisor: Thomas Spengler). (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2019). How Do Latent Cooling and Surface Heat Fluxes Influence Baroclinic Development in an Idealised Framework?. (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2019). Local versus Remote Influence of Surface Fluxes in Idealised Baroclinic Development. (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2019). Diabatic Effects on Baroclinic Development. (ekstern lenke)
- Tsopouridis, Leonidas; Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas (2019). How do Extratropical Cyclones respond to the North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Front? . (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2018). Midlatitude Storm Development and Intensification. (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2018). Effects of Surface Fluxes and Latent Heating on Extratropical Cyclones in an Idealised Linear Framework. (ekstern lenke)
- Tsopouridis, Leonidas; Spengler, Thomas; Spensberger, Clemens (2018). Influence of the SST Fronts on the evolution of North Atlantic Storms. (ekstern lenke)
- Michel, Clio; Terpstra, Annick; Spengler, Thomas (2018). Polar Mesoscale Cyclone Climatology for the Nordic Seas. (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Weijenborg, Christian (2018). Maintenance of Baroclinicity: Global Climatology of the Slope of Isentropic Surfaces and their Tendencies. (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Weijenborg, Christian (2018). Global Climatology of Baroclinicity and its Variations: Role or Air-Sea Interactions. (ekstern lenke)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Spengler, Thomas (2018). Difference between Mean and Instantaneous Wind Direction associated with Air-Sea Fluxes. (ekstern lenke)
- Stiller-Reeve, Mathew Alexander; Stephenson,, David; Spengler, Thomas (2017). New Tools for Comparing Beliefs about the Timing of Recurrent Events with Climate Time Series Datasets. (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2017). Latent heating and surface fluxes in baroclinic development. (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2017). Impact of moisture on storm development. (ekstern lenke)
- Tsopouridis, Leonidas; Spengler, Thomas (2017). Air-Sea Interaction Processes along the Gulf Stream region. (ekstern lenke)
- Tsopouridis, Leonidas; Spengler, Thomas; Ogawa, Fumiaki (2017). Influence of the Gulf Stream Sea Surface Temperature Front on the evolution of Storms. (ekstern lenke)
- Michel, Clio; Spengler, Thomas (2016). Climatology and Genesis Environment of North Atlantic Polar Lows. (ekstern lenke)
- Michel, Clio; Terpstra, Annick; Spengler, Thomas (2015). Environmental Conditions for Polar Lows in the Nordic Seas. (ekstern lenke)
- Michel, Clio; Terpstra, Annick; Spengler, Thomas (2015). Present and future climatologies of polar lows over the Norwegian Sea. (ekstern lenke)
- Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas; Li, Camille (2015). Disentangling the co-variability of the jet location and intensity. (ekstern lenke)
- Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas; Li, Camille (2015). Relating objectively detected jet axes, blocking and wave-breaking events. (ekstern lenke)
- Kong, Qi; Spengler, Thomas; Shapiro, Melvyn A. et al. (2014). Two types of westerly Greenland tip jets. (ekstern lenke)
- Michel, Clio; Spengler, Thomas; Terpstra, Annick (2014). Climatology and dynamical aspects of polar lows over the Nordic Seas. (ekstern lenke)
- Keiderling, Stefan; Wettstein, Justin; Li, Camille et al. (2014). Tropical Diabatic Heating and its Influence on the Extratropical Jets during Winter . (ekstern lenke)
- Keiderling, Stefan; Spengler, Thomas (2013). Low Level Jet Streams at the Ice Edge-Numerical Studies using WRF. (ekstern lenke)
- Keiderling, Stefan; Spengler, Thomas (2013). Low Level Jet Streams at the Ice Edge-Numerical Studies using WRF. (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Shapiro, Melvyn A.; Papritz, Lukas (2013). Synoptic Evolution and Dynamic Characteristics of the Extreme Norwegian Winter Storm Dagmar. (ekstern lenke)
- Terpstra, Annick; Moore, Richard W; Spengler, Thomas (2012). The Diabatic Rossby Vortex as a mechanism for polar low initiation and intensification. (ekstern lenke)
Vitenskapelig artikkel
- Konstali, Kjersti; Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas et al. (2024). Global Attribution of Precipitation to Weather Features. (ekstern lenke)
- Okajima, S.; Nakamura, H.; Spengler, Thomas (2024). Midlatitude Oceanic Fronts Strengthen the Hydrological Cycle Between Cyclones and Anticyclones. (ekstern lenke)
- Lin, Ting; Spengler, Thomas; Rutgersson, Anna et al. (2024). Impact of sea spray-mediated heat fluxes on polar low development. (ekstern lenke)
- Konstali, Kjersti; Spengler, Thomas; Spensberger, Clemens et al. (2024). Linking Future Precipitation Changes to Weather Features in CESM2-LE. (ekstern lenke)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Spengler, Thomas (2024). Influence of mid-latitude sea surface temperature fronts on the atmospheric water cycle and storm track activity. (ekstern lenke)
- Marcheggiani, Andrea; Spengler, Thomas (2023). Diabatic effects on the evolution of storm tracks. (ekstern lenke)
- Outten, Stephen; Li, Camille; King, Martin Peter et al. (2023). Reconciling conflicting evidence for the cause of the observed early 21st century Eurasian cooling. (ekstern lenke)
- Woollings, Tim; Li, Camille; Drounard, Marie et al. (2023). The role of Rossby waves in polar weather and climate. (ekstern lenke)
- Duscha, Christiane Anabell; Palenik, Juraj; Spengler, Thomas et al. (2023). Observing atmospheric convection with dual-scanning lidars. (ekstern lenke)
- Spensberger, Clemens; Li, Camille; Spengler, Thomas (2023). Linking Instantaneous and Climatological Perspectives on Eddy-Driven and Subtropical Jets. (ekstern lenke)
- Svensson, Gunilla; Murto, Sonja; Shupe, Matthew D. et al. (2023). Warm air intrusions reaching the MOSAiC expedition in April 2020- The YOPP targeted observing period (TOP). (ekstern lenke)
- Watanabe, Shun-ichi I.; Niino, Hiroshi; Spengler, Thomas (2022). Formation of maritime convergence zones within cold air outbreaks due to the shape of the coastline or sea ice edge. (ekstern lenke)
- Renfrew, Ian A.; Huang, Jie; Semper, Stefanie et al. (2022). Coupled atmosphere–ocean observations of a cold-air outbreak and its impact on the Iceland Sea. (ekstern lenke)
- Rheinlænder, Jonathan Winfield; Davy, Richard; Olason, Einar et al. (2022). Driving Mechanisms of an Extreme Winter Sea Ice Breakup Event in the Beaufort Sea. (ekstern lenke)
- Geerts, Bart; Giangrande, Scott E.; McFarquhar, Greg M. et al. (2022). The COMBLE Campaign: A Study of Marine Boundary Layer Clouds in Arctic Cold-Air Outbreaks. (ekstern lenke)
- Spensberger, Clemens; Thorsteinsson, Trond; Spengler, Thomas (2022). Bedymo: A combined quasi-geostrophic and primitive equation model in σ coordinates. (ekstern lenke)
- Bui, Hai Hoang; Spengler, Thomas (2021). On the Influence of Sea Surface Temperature distributions on the Development of Extratropical Cyclones. (ekstern lenke)
- Stoll, Patrick; Spengler, Thomas; Terpstra, Annick et al. (2021). Polar lows - moist-baroclinic cyclones in four different vertical wind shear environments. (ekstern lenke)
- Reeder, Michael J; Spengler, Thomas; Spensberger, Clemens (2021). The Effect of Sea Surface Temperature Fronts on Atmospheric Frontogenesis. (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2021). Relative importance of tropopause structure and diabatic heating for baroclinic instability. (ekstern lenke)
- Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas (2021). Sensitivity of Air-Sea Heat Exchange in Cold-Air Outbreaks to Model Resolution and Sea-Ice Distribution. (ekstern lenke)
- Palenik, Juraj; Spengler, Thomas; Hauser, Helwig (2020). IsoTrotter: Visually Guided Empirical Modelling of Atmospheric Convection. (ekstern lenke)
- Tsopouridis, Leonidas; Spengler, Thomas; Spensberger, Clemens (2020). Smoother versus sharper Gulf Stream and Kuroshio sea surface temperature fronts: effects on cyclones and climatology. (ekstern lenke)
- Pariyar, Sunil Kumar; Keenlyside, Noel; Sorteberg, Asgeir et al. (2020). Factors affecting extreme rainfall events in the South Pacific. (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2020). Direct and Indirect Effects of Surface Fluxes on Moist Baroclinic Development in an Idealized Framework. (ekstern lenke)
- Tsopouridis, Leonidas; Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas (2020). Characteristics of cyclones following different pathways in the Gulf Stream region. (ekstern lenke)
- Tsopouridis, Leonidas; Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas (2020). Cyclone Intensification in the Kuroshio Region and its relation to the Sea Surface Temperature Front and Upper‐Level Forcing. (ekstern lenke)
- Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas (2020). Feature-Based Jet Variability in the Upper Troposphere. (ekstern lenke)
- Weijenborg, Christian; Spengler, Thomas (2020). Diabatic Heating as a Pathway for Cyclone Clustering Encompassing the Extreme Storm Dagmar. (ekstern lenke)
- Spensberger, Clemens; Reeder, Michael John; Spengler, Thomas et al. (2020). The connection between the Southern Annular Mode and a feature-based perspective on Southern Hemisphere mid-latitude winter variability. (ekstern lenke)
- Ogawa, Fumiaki; Spengler, Thomas (2019). Prevailing Surface Wind Direction during Air-Sea Heat Exchange. (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2019). How does latent cooling affect baroclinic development in an idealized framework?. (ekstern lenke)
- Heinemann, Günther; Claud, Chantal; Spengler, Thomas (2019). Polar low workshop. (ekstern lenke)
- Michel, Clio; Terpstra, Annick; Spengler, Thomas (2018). Polar Mesoscale Cyclone Climatology for the Nordic Seas Based on ERA-Interim. (ekstern lenke)
- Egger, Joseph; Spengler, Thomas (2018). Non-Uniqueness of Attribution in Piecewise Potential Vorticity Inversion. (ekstern lenke)
- Sergeev, Denis; Renfrew, Ian A.; Spengler, Thomas (2018). Modification of Polar Low Development by Orography and Sea Ice. (ekstern lenke)
- Schäfler, Andreas; Craig, George; Wernli, Heini et al. (2018). The North Atlantic waveguide and downstream impact experiment. (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Claud, Chantal; Heinemann, Günther (2017). Polar Low Workshop Summary. (ekstern lenke)
- Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas; Li, Camille (2017). Upper-Tropospheric Jet Axis Detection and Application to the Boreal Winter 2013/14. (ekstern lenke)
- Egger, Joseph; Hoinka, Klaus-Peter; Spengler, Thomas (2017). Inversion of potential vorticity density. (ekstern lenke)
- Spensberger, Clemens; Egger, Joseph; Spengler, Thomas (2017). Synoptic Systems interacting with the Rocky Mountain Barrier: Observations and Theories. (ekstern lenke)
- Yanase, Wataru; Niino, Hiroshi; Watanabe, S. et al. (2016). Climatology of polar lows over the Sea of Japan using the JRA-55 reanalysis. (ekstern lenke)
- Terpstra, Annick; Michel, Clio; Spengler, Thomas (2016). Forward and reverse shear environments during polar low genesis over the North East Atlantic. (ekstern lenke)
- Papritz, Lukas; Spengler, Thomas (2016). A Lagrangian climatology of wintertime cold air outbreaks in the Irminger and Nordic seas and their role in shaping air-sea heat fluxes. (ekstern lenke)
- Sergeev, Denis; Renfrew, Ian A.; Spengler, Thomas et al. (2016). Structure of a shear-line polar low. (ekstern lenke)
- Woollings, Tim; Papritz, Lukas; Mbengue, Cheikh et al. (2016). Diabatic heating and jet stream shifts: A case study of the 2010 negative North Atlantic Oscillation winter. (ekstern lenke)
- Schultz, David; Spengler, Thomas (2016). Comment on "Incorporating the Effects of Moisture into a Dynamical Parameter: Moist Vorticity and Moist Divergence". (ekstern lenke)
- Reeve, Mathew Alexander; Stephenson,, David; Spengler, Thomas (2016). New Tools for Comparing Beliefs about the Timing of Recurrent Events with Climate Time Series Datasets. (ekstern lenke)
- Reeder, Michael J; Spengler, Thomas; Musgrave, Ruth (2015). Rossby waves, extreme fronts, and wildfires in southeastern Australia. (ekstern lenke)
- Egger, Joseph; Hoinka, Klaus-Peter; Spengler, Thomas (2015). Aspects of potential vorticity fluxes: Climatology and impermeability. (ekstern lenke)
- Reeve, Mathew Alexander; Syed, Mohammed Abu; Spengler, Thomas et al. (2015). Complementing scientific monsoon definitions with social perception in Bangladesh. (ekstern lenke)
- Papritz, Lukas; Spengler, Thomas (2015). Analysis of the slope of isentropic surfaces and its tendencies over the North Atlantic. (ekstern lenke)
- Terpstra, Annick; Spengler, Thomas; Moore, Richard (2015). Idealised simulations of polar low development in an Arctic moist-baroclinic environment. (ekstern lenke)
- Terpstra, Annick; Spengler, Thomas (2015). An initialization method for idealized channel simulations. (ekstern lenke)
- Reeve, Mathew Alexander; Spengler, Thomas; Chu, Pao-Shin (2014). Testing a flexible method to reduce false monsoon onsets. (ekstern lenke)
- Spensberger, Clemens; Spengler, Thomas (2014). A new look at deformation as a diagnostic for large-scale flow. (ekstern lenke)
- Potter, Sam; Spengler, Thomas; Held, Isaac M. (2013). Reflection of Barotropic Rossby Waves in Sheared Flow and Validity of the WKB Approximation. (ekstern lenke)
- Reuder, Joachim; Ablinger, Markus; Ágústsson, Hálfdán et al. (2012). FLOHOF 2007: an overview of the mesoscale meteorological field campaign at Hofsjokull, Central Iceland. (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Egger, Joseph (2012). Potential vorticity attribution and causality. (ekstern lenke)
- Kristjansson, Jon Egill; Barstad, Idar; Aspelien, Trygve et al. (2011). The Norwegian IPY-THORPEX. Polar Lows and Arctic Fronts during the 2008 Andøya Campaign. (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Egger, Joseph; Garner, Stephen T (2011). How does rain affect surface pressure in a one-dimensional framework?. (ekstern lenke)
- Smith, Roger K; Spengler, Thomas (2011). Dynamics of Heat Lows over elevated terrain. (ekstern lenke)
- Moore, Richard W; Martius, Olivia; Spengler, Thomas (2010). The Modulation of the Subtropical and Extratropical Atmosphere in the Pacific Basin in Response to the Madden Julian Oscillation. (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Egger, Joseph (2009). Comments on "Dry-Season Precipitation in Tropical West Africa and Its Relation to Forcing from the Extratropics". (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Ablinger, Markus; Schween, Jan H. et al. (2009). Thermally driven Flows at an asymmetric valley exit: Observations and Model Studies at the Lech Valley exit. (ekstern lenke)
- Våge, Kjetil; Spengler, Thomas; Davies, Huw C et al. (2009). Multi-event analysis of the westerly Greenland tip jet based upon 45 winters in ERA-40. (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Smith, Roger K (2008). The dynamics of heat lows over flat terrain. (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Reeder, Michael J; Smith, Roger K (2005). The Dynamics of Heat Lows in Simple Background Flows. (ekstern lenke)
- Jackson, Gordon E; Smith, Roger K; Spengler, Thomas (2002). The Prediction of low-level convergence lines over northeastern Australia. (ekstern lenke)
Nettsider (opplysningsmateriale)
- Kong, Yuen Man; Spengler, Thomas (2022). Finally – Thank you for a fantastic CHESS Annual Meeting on Hurtigruten after 2 years’ delay!. (ekstern lenke)
- Trabolt, jens; Spengler, Thomas (2022). Termik-praktikere møder termik-forskere. (ekstern lenke)
- Kong, Yuen Man; Spengler, Thomas (2021). Hybrid CHESS Annual Meeting 2021 successfully concluded!. (ekstern lenke)
- Haualand, Kristine Flacké; Spengler, Thomas (2019). Report: Winter School on the Influence of Diabatic Processes on Atmospheric Development. (ekstern lenke)
Vitenskapelig Kapittel/Artikkel/Konferanseartikkel
Vitenskapelig oversiktsartikkel/review
Mastergradsoppgave
- Haukeland, Magnus; Spengler, Thomas; Michel, Clio (2016). Climatology of polar lows impacting Norway. (ekstern lenke)
- Lars Andreas, Norheim Selberg; Spengler, Thomas; Moore, Richard (2016). Dynamics and Predictability of the Extreme Extratropical Cyclone Nina. (ekstern lenke)
- Green, Linda Elisabeth; Spengler, Thomas; Terpstra, Annick (2014). Influence of surface fluxes of polar low development: idealised simulations. (ekstern lenke)
- Keiderling, Stefan; Spengler, Thomas (2013). Low Level Jet Streams at the Ice Edge-Numerical Studies using WRF. (ekstern lenke)
- Spengler, Thomas; Crezee, Sebastiaan (2013). An objective climatology of Polar Lows: structure and forcing mechanism. (ekstern lenke)
- Villanger, Cecilie; Spengler, Thomas (2013). Extreme winds in Norway - an analysis based on observations and reanalyses. (ekstern lenke)
- Tronvoll, Elin; Spengler, Thomas (2012). Cyclone Interaction with the Topography of Greenland. (ekstern lenke)
Sammendrag/abstract
Short communication
Populærvitenskapelig artikkel
Doktorgradsavhandling
Prosjekter
Bias Attribution Linking Moist Dynamics of Cyclones and Storm Tracks (BALMCAST)
2020-2025 (12 Mio NOK)
Summary
There is a dichotomy between theoretical understanding and modeling of weather and climate, where the former mainly assumes a dry atmosphere while the latter relies on parameterizations of physical processes, especially related to moisture and phase changes that can yield a significant feedback on the dynamics. With prevailing model biases in jet streams and storm tracks often being tied to these processes, we thus lack a theoretical underpinning that can aid a physical attribution and alleviation of these biases. For example, while the development of cyclones is traditionally thought to reduce the midlatitude temperature gradient that gives rise to storm development, latent heating within these storms enhances the temperature gradient, sometimes even yielding a net increase. These cycles are most likely associated with events of cyclone clustering with significant socio-economic impact. While the mechanisms by which cyclone lifecycles alter temperature gradients must be determined by frontal dynamics, we lack a detailed understanding of the interplay between processes along fronts and their relation to cyclone clustering as well as storm track intensity and variability. We therefore propose to develop a framework combining moist dynamics across fronts, cyclones, and the storm track.
Our framework will clarify the pertinent mechanisms and the role of frontal lifecycles and cyclone development in storm track variability and thereby aid our understanding of prevailing model biases. It will also contest our understanding of cyclone development, as our new paradigm allows for cyclones to increase temperature gradients. As our new moist storm track model will explain the positioning, intensity, and variability of storm tracks in terms of moist processes, it will allow us to physically attribute model biases and formulate alternative hypotheses about the cause for future shifts of storm tracks.
Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions over Key Regions of the Arctic and Their Linkages to Midlatitudes (ARCLINK)
2022-2026 (10 Mio NOK)
Summary
State-of-the-art weather and climate prediction models suffer from significant errors due to misrepresentations in both atmosphere-ocean interactions and atmospheric weather patterns. We aim to improve models by identifying processes and weather events leading to significant forecast errors. Our findings will guide model development in the polar regions with benefits for global weather and climate models. In particular, we will focus on atmosphere-ocean interactions during cold air outbreaks, which are large excursions of cold polar air masses over the relatively warmer ocean. These cold air outbreaks comprise the majority of the overall atmosphere-ocean heat exchange in the polar regions. Several recent and upcoming field campaigns provide valuable data to assess the fidelity of our models.
As the aforementioned weather events are connected to the larger-scale setting of the atmospheric circulation, we will investigate coupling mechanisms between the polar and lower latitudes. Particular focus will be on incursions of heat and moisture into the Arctic. It has recently been argued that these incursions are becoming more frequent with climate change, though a thorough assessment of the representation of these events in our weather and climate models is still lacking. We will characterize these teleconnection events to identify and attribute model errors.
Our results will explain errors in weather and climate models associated with atmosphere-ocean heat exchange and the representation of weather events. Given the importance of the atmosphere-ocean heat exchange in the subpolar regions, our findings will leave a profound impact on the weather and climate research community.
Kompetanse
Employment history
2014–today Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway: Professor for Dynamic Meteorology
Jul-Dec 2015 School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK: Visiting Research Scientist
2010–2014 Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway: Associate Professor for Dynamic Meteorology
2009–2011 Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University, New Jersey, USA Postdoctoral: Research Associate
Feb 2009 Monash Weather and Climate, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia: Visiting Scientist
2008-2009 Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Switzerland: Postdoctoral Research Assistant
2005–2008 Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Switzerland: Doctoral Research Assistant
2004-2005 Meteorological Institute Munich, University of Munich, Germany: Research assistant
Professional Organisations
2011–today International Commission on Dynamic Meteorology (ICDM) of the International Association for Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (IAMAS), since 2019 elected presidenc of ICDM
2013–today Atmospheric Working Group (AWG) of the International Arctic Science Committee (IASC), from 2015 until 2019 elected Chair of the AWG
Awards and Nominations
2013 Best Lecturer at the Faculty for Mathematics and Natural Sciences at the University of Bergen
2013 Nominee for the IAMAS Early Career Science Medal